Hon CLAYTON COSGROVE (Labour—Waimakariri) Link to this
I am delighted to again speak in this debate on clauses 1 and 2, the title and commencement. I note with interest that we are privileged to have the Minister of Defence, the Hon Wayne Mapp, in the chair. He has assured me this morning that, unlike the Minister of Finance, he will be available for exhaustive questioning, commentary, and analysis on this very important bill. I know that my whip may not appreciate this, but I am very happy to yield to the Minister if he would pick up where last night’s debate left off and answer the myriad of questions that the Opposition put up on what is a very important bill, which, I have to say, has the support of the Labour Party and, I believe, most, if not all, parties here. It is a very, very important bill. We are here under urgency because of the nature of this bill, and I see that the Leader of the House is here and that the reinforcements have arrived. The Minister of Defence is in the chair and the 25 pound howitzer is in the Chamber as well. So a military connotation is taking over this debate—the blunderbuss is on the way!
I just reiterate a number of the questions that colleagues put up last night in this debate, because we are under urgency. This is an important bill, but we fail to see the Minister of Finance—but I am sure this Minister in the chair, Wayne Mapp, will be equal to the challenge—taking up and responding to a number of important questions that the Opposition raised.
Hon CLAYTON COSGROVE Link to this
The member said that, yes, he did. Well, she is right that last night, at about 3 minutes to 10, he took, I think, the longest call he has taken in the whole debate. He got up and answered a couple of questions. Of course, I would have thought that this deposit guarantee scheme would be very close to the Minister of Finance’s heart, not just because it is the responsible thing to do, which, of course, we did when we were in Government. At its very essence this bill guarantees the deposits of Kiwi investors, as we know. We put money in the bank and the Government provides a deposit to agencies that have a BB rating, and those deposits for deposit holders are secure. If it was the case, for instance, that someone was renting a property and getting maybe 700 bucks a week per house—as the Minister of Finance was—I am sure that the Minister of Finance as the Minister in the chair would be very, very much in support of this bill, which would guarantee his $700 a week deposit in a bank or financial entity that had a BB rating.
Hon CLAYTON COSGROVE Link to this
Even in a time of restraint, my colleague says. I think that anybody who has discretionary income of around 700 bucks a week—perhaps on rent on a property—would be absolutely in need of a commitment from the Government of the day to guarantee that $700 per week deposit. I think that is imperative, and it is interesting that the Minister of Finance, of course, is sponsoring this bill. I would never accuse the Minister of Finance of having some pecuniary interest in this bill, because that would be unparliamentary and it would not be appropriate.
Hon CLAYTON COSGROVE Link to this
And he would declare it, anyway, as my colleague says. I just note that those people who are in the privileged position of renting out their own properties, perhaps, and gaining rents in the order of 700 bucks a week will sleep easy in their beds tonight as we pass this legislation.
I ask the Minister in the chair, Dr Mapp, the Minister of Defence, who has kindly parachuted into the Chamber, whether he will answer some of the questions. Of course, some of the questions pertain to why the criteria and the eligibility for the BB rating are in the hands of the Minister of Finance and not put in statute. We have asked repeatedly why that is and whether there is a risk that smaller financial institutions cannot meet the BB rating. Mr Gilmore, who has been there, done that, climbed the mountain, done everything, and qualified for everything, said that it is easy for a financial institution to get a BB rating, and that one just sort of pays the money and people rock up—just like when he got his qualification at university; he paid his fees and they handed it out to him.
Well, to get a BB rating from a financial agency, especially if one is a smaller financial institution, requires a high level of commitment and cost. It is not just a matter, as I said yesterday, of people rocking up to McDonald’s and saying they will have the double meat hamburger and chips, paying the money, and getting it. For a lot of these financial institutions it is a huge commitment, and the question is, of course, whether there will be a flight of capital if those institutions do not meet that BB rating. I said yesterday that no one wishes that on anyone—no one is predicting it and no one is wishing it—it is a question we are asking, and I ask that question of the Minister of Defence.
Hon DAVID PARKER (Labour) Link to this
I am awaiting a response from the Minister in the chair. I have made this point in the first and second reading debates on the Crown Retail Deposit Guarantee Scheme Bill, and I make it now in the debate on the title clause of the bill, about how we propose to transition out of the deposit guarantee scheme, given the distortions that it causes in the financial markets. I repeat my concern, because the current Minister in the chair, Dr Mapp, is not the Minister who was there last night. I raise with Dr Mapp the issue that is touched upon in the regulatory impact statement: the distortion that is caused between different classes of investments.
The bill says one of its objectives is to minimise those distortions. That is tantamount to an admission that it creates them. The regulatory impact statement itself highlights one of the distortions that have been caused, and that is in the finance company sector. Because some of the risk that is normally faced by depositors in finance companies is being taken away by the Crown guarantee, the amount deposited into finance companies has increased quite substantially, against a prior trend where, because of perceived risk, the amount deposited in that sector was decreasing. That is one distortion that we have caused; we have had an increase in finance company deposits.
A related but different distortion is that we have seen a flight of funds away from safer investments than traditional finance companies, such as investments in mortgage trusts. Mortgage trusts are where people invest their money in a trust vehicle. It can be a group investment fund or a unit trust under the Unit Trusts Act, and in some cases it can be a contributory mortgage. But in all those three cases, the investor is effectively investing in a first mortgage over land. The nature of investors’ security is a debt security; they are owed money. It is not nominally a debt security within the definition of the Securities Act, but it is very similar to other debt securities in that investors invest a dollar amount, it is secured—in this case, over land—and their right to repayment is the right to repayment of the capital they are investing plus the interest that they get. Effectively that is the interest paid by the mortgagors under the mortgages. That is a far more secure sort of investment than a finance company investment, yet it is not covered by this guarantee scheme. So one of the distortions we have seen under this financial guarantee is increased money going into the more risky end of the market—the finance companies—and we have seen a run on the funds invested in the mortgage trusts. They have been serious runs on funds.
We in this Committee all know that one of the two primary reasons that we have this legislation is to ensure liquidity and protect against runs on funds. Without this guarantee scheme, effectively there were concerns that there would be runs on financial institutions. We were already seeing that occur in the finance company sector, and that contagion could easily have spread to the banks. Confidence is all in financial institutions, and no financial institution can easily withstand a run on its funds. All those institutions anticipate having reasonably secure deposit books. We have a distortion being created, and we have not yet heard from the Minister about how he plans to exit from the scheme.
Through this legislation we have some new rules. A minimum credit rating of BB is required for anyone to participate in the retail deposit scheme, and that will in itself cut off some of the smaller financial institutions. That causes another distortion that we are creating here: we are preferring large institutions over small institutions by virtue of the nature of this guarantee. Again, I have a problem with that, because I think that in New Zealand we are overly reliant on a small number of very large institutions. Hyman Minsky, a now deceased American economist, has had recent accolades for his prediction of some of the things that went wrong in the recent financial crisis around the world. He believed that financial institutions, rather than being self-correcting and essentially levelling, would always participate in riskier and riskier behaviour the longer the period of stability was, and he was right about that. One of his other theories was that financial institutions should reflect the size of the economy. He believed that a small economy that had a lot of small businesses should have a large number of smaller financial intermediaries, rather than being reliant on a small number of large intermediaries. This legislation goes in the other way from that, because it gives preference to the interests of the big end of town.
Hon LIANNE DALZIEL (Labour—Christchurch East) Link to this
I want to pick up the point that my colleague David Parker was referring to and come back to the detailed regulatory impact statement, which is to be found only on the Treasury website. I repeat how disturbing I find it that the detailed analysis that this statement contains is not available to the general public by way of the Crown Retail Deposit Guarantee Scheme Bill, which is the normal place to find the full regulatory impact statement. I think that is an undesirable course of action.
I refer to a couple of matters that are in the statement. I would like the Minister of Finance to take a call to explain them. One of the matters is directly related to an issue that we were debating last night around collective investment schemes. First of all, paragraph 26 of the regulatory impact statement states that “Blanket retail deposit guarantees are generally undesirable because of the economic distortions they create.” That is exactly the point that my colleague the Hon David Parker was making. “Economic distortions include encouraging guaranteed depositors and deposit taking institutions to make riskier investment decisions since gains are privatized and losses are socialised.” This is from Treasury, which actually gets the problem that we face when we privatise the gains but socialise the losses. This has a huge distortionary impact on the market and is described as a moral hazard.
I come to paragraph 43, which states: “There is a significant degree of uncertainty associated with what could happen if the current DGS is left to expire on October 2010. This reflects uncertainty about whether and how quickly the economy will recover over the next 18 months, whether financial markets will continue to stabilize, and what will happen to asset prices. It also reflects uncertainty about the position of entities in the scheme, the extent of likely contagion resulting from the failure of any entities in the scheme, and the extent of any possible deposit flight to Australian guaranteed banks due to the mismatch of guarantee periods. The impact will also depend in a large part on depositor sentiment, which is very difficult to predict.” In the report the officials say that the banks do not think there is any risk of this flight to Australian guaranteed banks. I have to ask the Minister why we are doing this. I honestly think that some larger contribution to the debate could have been made if we had had a couple of days at the select committee, where we could have debated the detail with officials. I am not saying that we are opposed to it; in principle, we are not, and we support the passage of the bill. But we think that it is an important issue that the Minister should respond to in some detail. The strongest argument for this change is in order to match with Australia, yet the very reason why we would match with Australia is not regarded by the banks as a priority in the decision making in this area. In fact, according to the regulatory impact statement, the banks do not support the extension of this scheme.
Last night I was asking the Minister in the chair—who was the Minister of Finance, Bill English—about collective investment schemes. I said to him that these were not dealt with in detail in the regulatory impact statement. He referred me to page 20. Page 20 is one of the annexes to the regulatory impact statement. So, yes, the collective investment schemes are dealt with in this particular part of the statement. But I advise the House that the detail there does not answer the question that I raise.
Let me again read into the record what the regulatory impact statement says: “Removing this limited category of CISs from the extended DGS’s coverage would be consistent with the core coverage of the DGS.
It would also reduce one of the boundary issues that has arisen between CISs and other institutions (such as mortgage trusts)”— this was the point that my colleague the Hon David Parker was making—“with similar legal structures (but different investment approaches) that are not covered by the present DGS, and result in slightly reduced administration costs associated with managing separate deeds of guarantee. There may be some shifting of investors from CISs to guaranteed deposits, but this would be minimal.” What is that based on?
Hon LIANNE DALZIEL (Labour—Christchurch East) Link to this
The point I am making is about the claim that there may be some shifting of investors from collective investment schemes to guaranteed deposits, but that this would be minimal. What is that claim based on? What have the officials based that advice on? How much shifting is classified as minimal? Why are we again allowing a potential risk to our collective investment schemes, the portfolio investment entities that are all registered there at the moment, when we do not what the risk is? The statement says the risk would be minimal, but how do we know? What is the basis for it?
The statement says: “Retaining CISs in an extended DGS would not cause any particular issues, other than potentially raising again the boundary issues with non-guaranteed schemes. The extended DGS proposes excluding CISs, in order to assist with moving toward tighter and more limited coverage.” Well, that goes against the whole theory of the extension, which is to allow for an orderly transition out of the scheme. I have this terrible fear we are delaying the inevitable, because it will not be the case that all finance companies that are currently in the scheme will be able to opt into this scheme with the BB rating requirement that will be in place from October next year.
I think we are entitled to ask these questions in this Chamber when debating a bill that has been introduced under urgency, a bill that we did not see until it was laid on the Table of the House. We have been denied the opportunity for a select committee hearing, which Treasury officials themselves recommended take place for 1 to 2 days, and which would enable us to ask these questions and have a proper discussion about it. I think we have been denied the opportunity to properly scrutinise this legislation. As my colleague the Hon David Cunliffe has said on many occasions, this is only framework legislation. It will allow the Minister to extend the scheme on whatever conditions are negotiated or agreed with Cabinet. I think Parliament ought to have a greater say over this legislation.
This week is Financial Awareness Week. I am almost speechless at the way the Government celebrates the fact that a lot of investors in this country have absolutely no idea of the level of risk they are taking with their hard-earned money. The Commerce Committee is undertaking an inquiry into certain elements relating to the collapse of the finance companies. Why? Because there are gaps and, clearly, a lack of understanding of risk. The other thing we have seen is that finance companies that have failed have, almost without exception, underpriced the level of risk in order to disguise from their potential investors the level of risk they were taking with their hard-earned money. This scheme is almost saying they are off the hook for another year before they have to face up to the reality of the market in this situation.
I have some really serious concerns about the quality of the debate around this important matter. We have seen this debate deliberately shut down on many occasions so far. The Minister of Finance has taken about three calls in the entire Committee stage of this bill, and they have been very short calls, pointing me to annex 2 of the regulatory impact statement on page 20, for example, on the collective investment scheme, and basically reading out a paragraph from the regulatory impact statement. That is not the sort of quality discussion that one would expect to occur in such an important debate. I am very disappointed in the way the Government has chosen to treat this particular issue.
As I say, the Opposition is not opposed to the concept of extending the scheme. But I think we ought to have a much clearer exposition from the Government as to why the extension is a year long, why conditions have been attached to the extension, and why collective investment schemes are excluded from the ability to renew their coverage under the deposit guarantee scheme when the new one comes in. The Minister has not even discussed the issues around the content of the agreement.
STUART NASH (Labour) Link to this
I will back up a lot of what my colleagues have said around the Crown Retail Deposit Guarantee Scheme Bill. Labour supports it for a number of important reasons. The first of three main reasons relates to the fact that, at the time the retail deposit guarantee scheme was set up by the Labour Government, the world was going through a period of intense financial crisis. I mentioned that the BNZ was literally days away from putting in place its crisis management strategy plan for operating a major financial institution without the ability to raise overseas funds. That was done on a Sunday evening. I think Dr Cullen worked for 48 hours flat without sleep to get it implemented, and I think it was done a day after the Australians announced their scheme. It came in at pretty much the same time. The reason for that, as has been outlined, is that there was a belief that if the Australians had set up such a scheme and New Zealand had not, then there may be a run on funds from New Zealand banks across the Tasman, therefore necessitating the collapse of the New Zealand banking sector. We all know that would have been a complete and utter disaster for our economy.
First and foremost, the measure was undertaken to shore up the financial sector. That was vitally important. The second reason why we support this bill—and it relates to a lot of Part 2—is that a social cost is involved. It is disappointing, because I do not think the National Government has once mentioned the social benefit of this scheme.
Ms Adams has mentioned it. Well done. That member did it once. That must be once out of about 30 calls. Mind you, members opposite have stopped taking calls, to shut down this debate. But the social aspect of this is quite significant. Dr Cullen and the Labour Government made it very clear that one of the major reasons Labour was implementing this retail deposit guarantee scheme was to prevent a further deterioration in confidence in our financial sector in addition to that which existed because of the collapse of around 30-odd finance companies. It was 30 or 40; the number escapes me. It is incredible that so many New Zealanders lost so much money.
David Parker and Lianne Dalziel talked at length about the distortions a retail guarantee scheme puts in place, and that is what I will lead into at the moment. The banks are now debating their continued participation in this scheme. There is a huge difference between now and a year ago due to the nature of the crisis. Global liquidity has freed up to a certain extent. To be part of the scheme, banks had to pay money, so they are now undertaking a cost-benefit analysis around it. The concern I have relates to the non-bank sector. In respect of retail companies, we saw a lot of savers versus investors. There is a very important distinction there. Savers are those people who are putting their money away and who have paid taxes all their lives. They have put their money away for their retirement, for their children’s education, or for their grandchildren’s education, for whatever reason. But they squirreled away money in those companies, and they have lost it. They have nothing to go back to. I firmly believe they did not price risk. As mentioned, this week is actually financial literacy week. I firmly believe New Zealanders have very much a DIY attitude to their financial management, which is not the right way to go about it. When they see icons like Sir Colin Meads stand up and say that an investment is as solid as houses, or as solid as the proverbial—
I am sorry; Sir Colin Meads. He said it was “solid as”, and many New Zealanders believed him without pricing risk, without going through the disclosure statements, and they lost their money. I believe that the shift towards finance companies has gone from savers to investors. Investors understand that their funds are guaranteed under the current scheme. Evidence of that is $880 million in deposits put into finance companies since the scheme was implemented. That is an increase of 19 percent in funds in a sector in which the deposits had begun to shrink. They had absolutely begun to shrink. My one major concern is that investors are now the main contributors to finance companies. What will happen when the scheme runs out? There are two options—two things might happen. Investors, who are probably in a better position to price risk, will say that investment in a finance company has now—
Hon DAVID CUNLIFFE (Labour—New Lynn) Link to this
I appreciate the opportunity to take a quick call on this discussion on the bill’s title and commencement. I will pick up on a couple of themes that my colleagues have raised. My colleague Lianne Dalziel has rightly raised the issue of process and the lack of consultation, and she was very effective in that regard. I also realise that we have had some important discussion by the Hon Lianne Dalziel and the Hon David Parker around collective investment vehicles and the fact that they are excluded from the coverage of the bill.
The Labour caucus has had particular concern about the status of bonus bonds. Many hundreds of thousands of New Zealanders have bonus bonds. They are an important part of investment for many small investors—rational or otherwise. Bonus bonds are excluded because they are a form of collective investment vehicle. The analysis of the bill is that 70 percent of the underlying securities are covered through various means by the intended legislation. But none the less we considered introducing an amendment to specifically list them. However, we decided that it would do too much damage to the structure of the coverage, and we moved away from an amendment. But I say particularly to bonus-bond holders that the Labour Opposition has specifically considered their case.
Hon DAVID CUNLIFFE Link to this
The member will be pleased to know that I have no particular investments in New Zealand whatsoever, in order to avoid just those questions.
I will touch on a very serious theme, which my colleague David Parker raised—that is, the concentration of risk. There are two aspects. The first is the concentration of risk in entities that are equal to or greater than a BB rating. That will cut from the market those smaller institutions that cannot make a BB rating. We welcome the Minister back into the Chamber. Many of those investment holders will move to larger institutions, primarily the banks. The big banks will increase market share at the expense of small companies. Big banks already hold 95 percent total market share, as reflected in the premium stream. That is the first aspect; that is one side.
The second aspect of concentration of risk is the source of the funds. Ten years ago, about the time I entered Parliament, inbound foreign investment to New Zealand came roughly equally from five sources—Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, and all others. Now 80 percent of it—
Hon Lianne Dalziel Link to this
I raise a point of order, Mr Chairperson. I am sorry to interrupt my colleague, but I thought the Standing Orders require the Minister responsible for the bill to be in the chair when he or she is in the Chamber.
Hon DAVID CUNLIFFE Link to this
Thank you. We welcome the Minister to the chair. He has checked his numbers this morning and found they are still there, which is good. It must be a trying time for his camp, but we wish him well.
Ten years ago investment was from five sources; now 80 percent of it comes from one source: Australia. That situation has pros and cons. The pros are that we are fortunate that the Australian banking system is the soundest in the world. A large share of the world’s triple A rating banks reside in Australia. That is a good thing.
Hon DAVID CUNLIFFE Link to this
The Australian banking system is the most sound in the world, as my colleague says, which is to be welcomed. I am not going on a roo hunt here, but I am worried about strategic concentration of risk, wherever that risk came from. When one has all one’s eggs in one basket, one becomes rather more dependent on the basket. The fact is that when 80 percent of our inbound foreign direct investment comes from one country, we run the risk of what they call in economics the marginal market phenomenon. They are much more important to us than we are to them.
In the banking inquiry a very interesting fact came to light, which was that approaching 30 percent of the book debt of the four big banks in Australia is now denominated in New Zealand dollars or New Zealand securities. It is the old phrase that when one owes the bank $100, one has a problem, and when one owes it $100 million, the bank has a problem. Surprise, surprise! Australia is starting to worry about the systemic risk of its investments in New Zealand. That is why in the last 2 weeks we have had the call from Australia, from Ralph Norris, to merge our regulators and to have the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority take over financial supervision in New Zealand, and we have had John Key fly the kite of a common currency. Make no mistake: when the Prime Minister says that we want to adopt someone else’s currency, he is not doing it by accident. He did not wake up one morning with a rush of blood to the head.
A party vote was called for on the question,
That the question be now put.
Ayes 69
Noes 53
Motion agreed to.