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Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill

In Committee

Friday 20 May 2011 Hansard source (external site)

(continued on Friday, 20 May 2011)

Debate resumed.

Part 1 Annual rates of income tax (continued)

WoodhouseMICHAEL WOODHOUSE (National) Link to this

I thought it was very important to come back and complete my call, given the confused look on the face of Labour’s spokesman on revenue when I tried to explain the answer to the question that Mr Cunliffe posed in his last call in respect of why top tax rates are sacrosanct. Well, I would not say that they are sacrosanct, but they are certainly at the appropriate place. He simply could not believe that the total tax paid by a family earning $90,000 a year with two children under the age of 13 was 676 percent more than the same family earning $60,000. The journey from $60,000 to $90,000 under the present regime is steep. The effective marginal tax rates are somewhere in the region of 56 to 58 percent, depending on the earning trajectory. But it is challenging and it is one of the reasons why many people faced with that hurdle choose to go somewhere else, like Australia, for low effective marginal tax rates.

We heard yesterday an absolute admission that Mr Cunliffe’s party will campaign this year on increasing the top tax rate or creating a new top tax tier. Labour members denied that when I challenged them on it yesterday. It means that the top tax rate of $70,000 will probably stay at $70,000. Those really big income earners in that earnings bracket, like senior nurses and policemen—you know, the real uber-rich that Labour is calling the rich pricks—will suffer the extra tax that that party would put in place were it to attain the Treasury benches.

I am very grateful to Deloitte for its Budget 2011 perspective report, which was released yesterday afternoon. It firmly confirms that last year’s tax switch was, indeed, fiscally neutral, according to the tax bands. I paraphrase from page 18 of that report. In 2008-09, earners of over $70,000 a year contributed 46 percent of the income tax base. This year, after the tax switch, which Labour members bang on about, those earners of over $70,000 will, according to Deloitte—on reliable information that is better than the information Mr Nash got, I have to say—contribute 51 percent of the income tax base. So rather than tax cuts for the rich, that group is contributing another 5 percent to the total tax base.

About 12 or 13 percent of the earning population are paying more than 51 percent of the income tax in this country, and Labour wants to punish that group further. It is punitive. It adds to the confused fiscal and monetary policy that that party is coming out with: raising tax rates, loosening monetary policy so that interest rates go up, and increasing spending, which will plunge our children into more debt by about $45 billion. At some point the rot has to stop. This legislation is really sensible and sound. If we put those top tax rates back, of course, the sorts of things that the Minister in the chair, the Minister of Revenue, talked about yesterday will certainly come back.

HodgsonHon PETE HODGSON (Labour—Dunedin North) Link to this

Clause 3 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill is a piece of law that says that tax rates are not going to change. This side of the Chamber asks why the hell not. When the global economic crisis struck, we all became Keynesians around the world, and we all did two things: we increased expenditure and we reduced taxes. This country increased expenditure and reduced taxes. The April 2009 tax cuts all went to rich people—that is a matter of fact. Now it is time to wind back from that Keynesian impulse and start to get our deficit of $17 billion under control.

There are two ways of doing it: one is to reduce expenditure, and one is to increase taxes. We did both the first time round, but we are doing only one the second time round. We want to know why when tax cuts came they went to rich people, but when costs are to be increased they are borne by low and middle income earners. That is what we want to know. It is the essence of this Budget and of the past 2 years.

When David Cunliffe spoke he laid out the costs of the Labour tax cuts in October 2008, the tax cuts in April 2009, and the tax switch of last year. He laid it out and added up the millions. He told us where that money went and how much was lost to the Government accounts. He made it clear that the amount of tax that had been cut over the past 2½ years under successive Governments had reached the point where it ought to be partially reversed. But we are not doing that in clause 3—we are not doing it. We are leaving tax rates exactly where they were. The net result is that the rich have done better over the past 2 or 3 years and the low and middle income earners will do worse.

Take me: I am on $130-something-thousand. [Interruption] That seems to have caused a whole lot of interjection from a bunch of people on the other side of the Chamber, all of whom are also on $130-something-thousand. My story is the same as theirs. Let us hear what that is. Roughly, I am $100 or so a week better off as a result of the changes that this Government has made over the past 2 years. I am roughly $100 or so a week better off, or a bit over. I have not been hurt by this Budget one iota. I have been asked to give back nothing.

BennettDavid Bennett Link to this

Put it in your KiwiSaver.

ShanksKatrina Shanks Link to this

Give it to charity.

HodgsonHon PETE HODGSON Link to this

People across the way are telling me to save it or give it to charity. They think they are being helpful. I am making a point: I am one of those well-off people who have had a significant increase in income under this Government and have not suffered one little bit from this Budget. That seems to have evoked quite a lot of emotional—almost visceral—reaction from my colleagues opposite. I simply say it as a matter of fact: I am, and people like me are, better off; people on half the income that I am on are worse off. That is not fair. It is not fair and it is to be found in the inaction of clause 3.

Some interesting things have happened in the course of this debate. A couple of things have come from members on the other side of the Chamber that I think are revealing. One is that they all have notes that say something like this: 50 percent of tax is paid by 15 percent of the people, or whatever it is. Those members have a research note and they have been parroting it. That means that the people on the other side of the Chamber think that the tax system as it is now is too progressive. That is what it means. Otherwise they would not bother to start parroting that stuff.

They parrot something else. They say that they must take care of the wealth creators—they must take care of the wealth creators. That is an awful, ugly, right-wing argument. It basically says that low and middle income earners cannot succeed. That is what it means. It says that low and middle income earners cannot succeed; only the rich people can create more wealth, so we must tax them in an ever-lighter way in order for that to happen.

Then we get on to the silliness about dairy farmers and how much tax they pay. Let me just say that on this side of the Chamber we understand very well that taxes go up and down in business year by year. We know very well that the taxes paid by those farmers of only $1,500 a year, or whatever it was in that year, were low because the milksolids price for the previous year was not very flash, and that tends to carry over into the profits for the following year and the taxes that are paid. We know that the tax paid by dairy farmers the year before would have been higher, and the year after will be higher. We know that.

But when we look at the average tax paid by dairy farmers over years—I have been to DairyNZ to find out—we see that it is a little over $20,000. If one has a business that is paying $20,000 or $30,000 in taxation but is using something like $2 million or $3 million worth of debt—and these days dairy farms in New Zealand are—then that is a very bad use of capital. It is a bad use of capital. Basically, people are capitalising the gains and socialising the losses. We know that; it is known on both sides of the Chamber.

That has been a pretty interesting debate, but it got more interesting. Mr Dunne, the Minister of Revenue—I do not want to upset him in any way—made a contribution stating that it was to do with classification. Stuart Nash received the answer that some dairy farmers had declared themselves as dairy farmers and were considered in a group, and other people had not. Those others had called themselves Agribusiness, or whatever, so they were classified as “other”. Mr Dunne went on to make the point that the figure that the dairy farmers paid, whatever it is—$2.5 million or $25 million—

HodgsonHon PETE HODGSON Link to this

—$26 million—was too low. I agree with Mr Dunne on that. But the figure of $1,500 per dairy farm did not change. That does not change. There is no way in the world that there will be any correlation where people who describe themselves as dairy farmers pay low tax, as opposed to other dairy farmers who describe themselves as being in Agribusiness and pay high tax. That does not work. Do not run that argument around here; it will not work, I say to Mr Dunne. The point is that there is an unfair incidence of burden in this Budget and it is not a good look.

I will make another couple of points. We have one of the lowest top tax rates in the world—one of the lowest top tax rates in the world—but we never hear that from the other side. We have a whole thesis in this country that says that if there is a gap between a company rate of 28 percent and a trust rate of 33 percent, then that 5 percent gap is tolerable, but if there is a gap between a company rate of 33 percent and income tax rate of 39 percent, then that is intolerable: 5 percent is OK; 6 percent is intolerable. I tell those members to look at other nations. They will see that their trust rates, company rates, and top personal tax rates do not align. Then these members should ask themselves why the growth of loss attributing qualifying companies is exploding in this country, and why the growth of family trusts is exploding in this country. Those members should ask themselves whether it is because our tax law needs fixing, or whether it is something to do with the accounting profession’s culture in this country. But they cannot say that we have to reduce taxation in order to avoid avoidance. That just will not work. It is just not logical by any international comparison. It will be true at the margins somewhere, somehow—I absolutely acknowledge that—but I believe that it has been grossly overstated.

We heard from the member who has just resumed his seat, Michael Woodhouse, an argument on the effective marginal tax rate. He was wrong on every count.

FossCRAIG FOSS (National—Tukituki) Link to this

There is an old adage in politics: “Explaining is losing”. I admire the more senior departing member Pete Hodgson for trying to go to the rescue of his colleague Mr Nash, who found himself on the front page of the paper the other day discussing things related to taxation, and promoting, perhaps, the Labour turnover tax or whatever it may be called. Other members have tried to come to Mr Nash’s rescue. Even his party leader tried to come to his rescue. The sad truth of it in terms of Mr Nash’s career is that he is the Labour Party spokesperson on revenue, and because that is his portfolio I presume that one day he would like to sit where the Hon Peter Dunne sits as the Minister of Revenue. But Mr Nash is now for ever tainted in the sector that he wants to become the Minister in charge of, if you will: the financial sector, or at least part of it. Every time that he gets up to speak we will be asking him, and the public will be asking him, to tell us about the turnover tax he promoted on the front page of the Dominion Post.

I am sure—and we know that explaining is losing—that in order for that kind of story to get out, it would have gone from Mr Nash to Mr Cunliffe, and then it would have gone to the inner sanctum of Mr Goff, so it would have had the total approval of the Labour Party and its hierarchy. There is a fair bit of back-pedalling and re-explaining going on. That does not matter. Mr Nash got on to the front page, but I think it was for all the wrong reasons.

What is the obsession that Labour has about increasing taxes? What is the obsession about that? We can recall way back, to when Labour brought in GST. It went from zero to 10 percent and there was no compensation, although Labour had increased taxes. When GST went from 10 percent to 12.5 percent, Labour increased taxes but there was no compensation. The only time that Labour did provide compensation was when Dr Cullen was looking at the polls in 2008 and decided even he could not trust himself, so he legislated to provide for the first tax cuts in about 9 years under the Labour Government. I cannot understand that obsession.

The previous speaker talked about fairness. What could be fairer? About 72 percent of New Zealand taxpayers face a highest marginal tax rate of no more than 17.5 percent. How could that be made fairer? That is what is confirmed in Part 1 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill. How could that rate be made fairer? Although GST is not income tax, GST has been confirmed as staying at the current rate of 15 percent. What could be fairer than providing that those who spend more pay more tax? The gentleman talked about progressive tax. Well, there we go. If someone is on a higher income, that person spends more and pays more GST. I do not understand the Labour members’ obsession. They try to use the word “fairness”, yet they really get it wrong.

Interestingly, to go back to the story on the front page of the Dominion Post, the allegation was that farmers do not pay, or the rural sector does not pay, their fair share of tax. That is an interesting argument, and I will address it, as I am sure others will.

Yesterday there was a protest outside Parliament. I did not know about it until I read about it somewhere. Just like Mr Cunliffe’s polling on the Budget, which was conducted 2 days before the Budget, a protest against the Budget was apparently held 2 hours before the Budget was delivered. But, most interestingly, I believe that the protest was organised by the Unite union. If we are talking about fairness in terms of tax, and about an organisation that supports the Labour Party and that owes the Inland Revenue Department $200,000 to $300,000 of PAYE from its employees, then I say that is not fair. That was in the newspaper. Next time I will bring to the Chamber the article from Stuff; it was from about a year ago. That is not fair. If members on the other side of the Chamber want to talk about fairness or otherwise, I suggest that they think a bit more carefully.

Finally, these income tax rates also have the effect of confirming lower interest rates for longer for New Zealand. The ability to meet the cost of living by lifting after-tax incomes, which is confirmed by Part 1, is enhanced not only by this bill but by the actions of this Government over the past two Budgets and the Budget we are talking about today. Fairness is enhanced, the ability to own a home is enhanced, and the ability to fund a mortgage is enhanced by record low, short-term interest rates. Floating mortgage rates are at a record low, and in some instances are almost half what New Zealanders had to suffer under the previous regime, when those rates hit 10 percent and higher. When Labour members talk about fairness, let us hear them talk about the fairness of the double-digit mortgage rates that we had under the Labour Government, versus the single-figure 5 and 6 percent mortgage rates that we have under this Government, as confirmed by the tax rates in Part 1.

NashSTUART NASH (Labour) Link to this

It is very kind of Craig Foss to be concerned about my career. He said that he is concerned about my career, but I say to Mr Foss that he should perhaps worry about his own career. With that sort of attitude, Mr Foss’s chances of holding the Tukituki electorate have just diminished, let alone his chances of sitting in the same chair that the Minister of Revenue is sitting in at the moment. Mr Foss, unfortunately, may never realise his ambition of being a Cabinet Minister, because with this sort of Budget, with that sort of speech, and with that sort of attitude I do not think that this Government has much longer to go.

Mr Foss asked what Labour’s obsession was about raising taxes. I would turn that round: what is that Government’s obsession with cutting taxes for those who do not really need it? We are talking about Part 1, “Annual rates of income tax for 2011-12 tax year”, and these are the very same tax rates for someone on a million dollars. The Inland Revenue Department told me that 650 New Zealanders had a declarable income of a million dollars. If a taxpayer earned a million dollars, then that person last year received a tax cut of a thousand dollars a week—a thousand dollars a week—extra, in the hand. A person on the median wage in Napier received about $5 a week extra.

Mr Foss and other Government members have trumpeted the fact that 72 percent of New Zealanders are on one of our two lowest tax rates. But I have to ask whether it is really a fact to trumpet that we are such a low-wage economy that the vast majority of our taxpayers are on a low tax rate. I actually do not think that it is anything to be proud of, at all. In fact, I think that the fact that so many of our workers are on such a low rate of tax is quite shameful. Goodness me; I would have thought the aim of any Government was to drive wages up, because through increased productivity, increased wages, and increased growth the economy would grow and people would be better off. But, no; it is apparently a point of competitive advantage when we have a low-wage economy.

Pete Hodgson nailed a further point, and it was confirmed by John Hayes. Pete Hodgson said that he is better off under these tax cuts—under the rates we are debating in clause 3. But do members know what John Hayes said? He told Mr Hodgson to put the money in KiwiSaver or save it. Do members know the problem we have? The problem we have at the moment is that the tax cuts that were implemented last year, the rates we are debating in clause 3 at the moment, have had absolutely no positive effect on this economy. This is “Keynesian Economics 101”. It says that if tax cuts are given to the very wealthy in times of recession, the very wealthy will save the money from those cuts; they will not spend it. But if tax cuts are given to those who really need it, those who are really struggling, then those people will spend the money from those cuts, and that will help to drive economic growth in this country, which is what we need at the moment. That is what we need—economic growth. We need incomes to rise, and we need people to be spending money in this economy, which is one of the problems we have with the cuts to KiwiSaver, and the cuts to Working for Families. In Napier and in Hawke’s Bay, Working for Families pumps about $120 million into the local economy. If we take that money out of the local economy, it will have a huge impact on the people of Napier, and a huge impact on the people of Hawke’s Bay.

I would like Mr Dunne to take a call, and I would like Mr Dunne to chastise the first speaker of the day, Michael Woodhouse, because Mr Woodhouse said he would trust the figures from Deloitte much more than he would trust my figures. Do members know where my figures came from? They came from the Inland Revenue Department. They came from that Minister’s department. I tell members I have much more faith in the figures provided by the Inland Revenue Department than I do in the figures provided by Deloitte. In the Finance and Expenditure Committee we hear a lot from the Inland Revenue Department, because a lot of tax laws go through that committee, and my experience of the Inland Revenue Department is that it does a very good job. The figures that the Inland Revenue Department provides are first class. The advice that the Inland Revenue Department gives is normally very, very robust and very, very sound. In fact, I think the Minister presides over what I would say is one of the better ministries—one of the best ministries—of this Government. I congratulate the Inland Revenue Department, and that is why I find it quite insulting that Michael Woodhouse would say that the figures from Deloitte are much better than the figures from the Inland Revenue Department.

When I look at the figures from the Inland Revenue Department with regard to this Budget, I have some grave concerns about the fundamental premise of the figures provided by Mr Key and Mr English yesterday. Why? There was a $4 billion discrepancy between the forecast from the Inland Revenue Department, and the forecast from Treasury on which this Budget is based—a $4 billion discrepancy. As I said, my dealings with the Inland Revenue Department through the Finance and Expenditure Committee have been very, very good. I think it is a very professional organisation. In fact, I was saying to the Minister the other day that of all the written questions I send to all ministries, I think those from the Inland Revenue Department come back in the quickest time and provide the best data. So I ask why the Government would trust Treasury, which has constantly got it wrong, over the figures from the Inland Revenue Department. There is a grave concern when advice from the Government’s tax collectors is ignored. There is a grave concern there; of that there is no doubt.

Mr Woodhouse and all the members on that side talk about Labour’s obsession with raising tax rates. They talk about our obsession with taxing the very wealthy. Well, I say that our system is called a progressive tax system. How a progressive tax system works is that those who can pay the most tend to carry a little bit more of the burden, because they can. It is exactly the same sort of system that citizens have in Australia, and exactly the same sort of system they have in the United Kingdom, and in the United States. In fact, every single OECD and developed country in the world has a progressive tax system. As Pete Hodgson said, our top tax rate is one of the lowest in the OECD; it is one of the lowest in the world. In fact, Australia’s top tax rate is 45 percent and ours is 33 percent. The Australians have not given $1,000 a week to someone who earns a million dollars; I think that is actually quite reprehensible. When John Key was asked about it, he gave that classic, very wealthy man’s response: “Well, I earn so much, so why should I have to pay so much?”. We asked him to pay only 39 percent; that is all he was paying. He was still getting 61 percent of everything he earned, in his back pocket. Goodness me! Was 39 percent too much to ask?

BennettDavid Bennett Link to this

Is that what you want—61 percent? Can we quote you on it?

NashSTUART NASH Link to this

It is called a progressive tax system, I tell Mr Bennett, and it is the foundation of our tax system.

But I must admit that when I read this Budget I wondered whether the Government was going to put up the business tax rate. The Fiscal Strategy Report on page 55 of the Budget documents states that the tax policy will be “consistent with a broad-base, low-rate tax system that raises revenue in the most efficient manner to support the medium-term goal of reducing and aligning personal, trust and company tax rates at a maximum rate of 30%”. Is the Government planning on raising the tax rate? One thing that Mr Cunliffe said was that Labour would not raise the company tax rate. Yet the Government’s Budget document says that it is planning to raise the company tax rate to 30 percent. I ask Mr Dunne whether there will be an announcement on that. Could the Minister perhaps stand up and say whether there is a plan to raise the company tax rate to 30 percent, as it says in the Fiscal Strategy Report on page 55 of the Budget documents. If the Government is going to do that, then I think businesses in New Zealand deserve to know. I must admit that if we look at the commentary from business on this Budget, we see that the sector has come out very strongly against this Budget. In fact business has said that this is not a Budget that will promote growth, and it is not a Budget that will promote efficiency. In fact, Matthew Hooton—and we could hardly call him left-wing—

DunneHon PETER DUNNE (Minister of Revenue) Link to this

I am happy to put Mr Nash out of his excitement over the status of the company tax rate. Legislated for in Part 1 of this Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill is a company tax rate of 28c in the dollar. The Government has no intention of changing that. It is not in our forecast and it is not on our horizon. The reference the member makes, if I recall it correctly, actually relates to provisions in confidence and supply agreements, written after the 2008 election. It is a commitment, really, about the alignment of rates. We have achieved two-thirds of that, in terms of the trust and personal rates being aligned. The outlier is the company rate. Any alignment will be downwards, not upwards. I assure the member of that point.

NashStuart Nash Link to this

I’m just quoting from the Budget documents.

DunneHon PETER DUNNE Link to this

I am simply responding. The member asked a question; I am giving him a response that is accurate in the circumstances.

I have listened to some of the discussion this morning about the ongoing argument about high tax versus low tax. I will say to the Committee that, frankly, our international competitiveness is important. It is a reality that a small, isolated trading nation has to deal with, every day of the week, every week of the year. Therefore, our tax rates, however they are structured, cannot afford to be too far out of line with those of major competitors. Having said that, I am not particularly interested in international league tables, because really we have to do what we see is best for our own interests in this country.

If we turn it on its head, the reality is that if we have a high tax-rate system, such as the one that Mr Nash seemed to be advocating, going back to a top tax rate of 39c in the dollar, at a time when there is already an argument that people feel that the grass is greener on the other side of the Tasman, all we will do is fuel that fire. Then the argument about who is the last person to turn out the light becomes that much stronger.

I will reiterate the point that Mr Foss made, because it is the key here. The Opposition argument about the unfair incidence of tax might have a sliver of merit, were it not for the reality that as a result of the changes we made last year in reducing particularly the bottom two rates, we now have a situation where nearly three-quarters of all taxpayers face a marginal tax rate of no more than 17.5c in the dollar. That is something we should be lauding extremely loudly, because we are well placed in terms of any comparable society—notwithstanding my earlier comments—in terms of the low incidence of personal tax on the bulk of our population.

Opposition members seem to be fixated, but not on that. I would have thought, given their concern, they would be out there championing that tax rate, because it is for the constituency they claim to represent. What they seem to be fixated on is not the 17.5c but the fact that a few people—and Mr Nash made the point that they are a few people—have a tax rate of just 33c in the dollar on their income. The reality is that if Opposition members actually looked at where New Zealand’s tax revenue comes from they would see that it falls unevenly on those people at the top. We do not have the wealthy middle class that the United States has, for instance. We have a very long, slow progression to a comparatively small group of people at the top of the income scale.

The Opposition argument—and I am not sure whether they are talking about tax cuts for people down the scale—certainly seems to be, for some sort of ideological reason and no other, as far as I can see, that the people at the top should pay more and should always be charged more. What we are saying here is that the tax rates in this bill are in balance with the country’s requirements. It is important—and it is great—that we have a marginal rate of 17.5c for three-quarters of our population. The fact that we have not gone into—I think Mr Woodhouse used the comment—uber-taxes for those at the top end of the scale demonstrates a fundamental sense of equity. If we go down the path the Opposition members are talking about, we would be saying that if people earn to a certain point, we will keep a relatively low tax structure in place, but if people earn beyond that, we will penalise them. That approach is not about celebrating achievement; it is about penalising success. That is the fundamental divide. Part 1 puts in place a tax regime that is fair and equitable and will last.

ShearerDAVID SHEARER (Labour—Mt Albert) Link to this

It is a bit rich for Peter Dunne to stand up and say what he said. The Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill is not what he talked about. It is simply about ideology. It is about the ideology of bringing down tax rates and rewarding those people at the top of the tax pile.

The reason we are here today talking about this bill is that we will be stripping out provisions on Working for Families and KiwiSaver, and making changes that will affect the middle-income people we do not have enough of, according to the Minister. We are doing that because we have a $16.7 billion deficit. This Government came in on a $5 billion surplus, and we now have a $16.7 billion deficit—in 3 years. That is extraordinary. How can a Government fail so comprehensively in 3 years? The only comparable thing I can think of is when the man who is now the Minister of Finance took over the National Party when it was polling at 30 percent and drove it down to 21 percent in 3 years, between 1999 and 2002. That is the only thing I can think of that is comparable to such a failure as taking a $5 billion surplus and turning it into a $16.7 billion deficit.

Because the Government has restructured the tax rates so inequitably, we are now sitting here debating how we will strip out the KiwiSaver provisions, undermine people’s confidence in KiwiSaver, and hit those people whom Mr Key calls “richer people” on Working for Families. My God, those people are not rich. They are the people who come into my electorate office.

TischThe CHAIRPERSON (Lindsay Tisch) Link to this

Changes to KiwiSaver and Working for Families are in Part 2. Although you can mention them now, we are actually on Part 1. If you tie your comments back to Part 1 that is fine, but do not spend the rest of your time on KiwiSaver, otherwise I will have to stand up and pull you up.

ShearerDAVID SHEARER Link to this

The point is that a tax bill like this one is really looking to try to pull money back to fund a deficit that has blown out to $16.7 billion, which is seven times higher than the projected deficit in 2008.

Stuart Nash mentioned the projections. When we look at the projections from Treasury we see they have been consistently above the reality. The Inland Revenue Department probably has it much, much closer to the truth. Here is what Standard and Poor’s said: “The budget foresees an operating deficit … of NZ$16.7 billion (8.4% of GDP) in fiscal 2010/11 compared to the $11.1 billion deficit (5.5% of GDP) foreshadowed in the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update announced in December 2010.” Literally 5 months ago we were looking at an $11.1 billion deficit, and now we have a $16.7 billion deficit. I do not understand how on earth Treasury can get it so wrong so consistently for so many years, unless this Government is pushing Treasury to raise the forecast to make it more optimistic.

People are starting to realise that. They are starting to realise that not only is this Budget gutting the many provisions that middle-class New Zealanders need, but also it is based on a whole bunch of false promises and false projections—false promises and false projections. It means that as we struggle to curb this deficit that seems to be out of control—because those projections will not come true any more in the next 2 or 3 years than they have in the last 2 or 3—we are not funding the very things that are growing this economy. If one thing is absent from this Budget, it is a plan to grow the economy. There is absolutely no plan to grow this economy.

I looked at some of the provisions in research and development and in tertiary education. There is nothing that would give me any confidence that this Budget will try to grow our economy any more.

QuinnPAUL QUINN (National) Link to this

This is extraordinary: we are into the third year of this Government’s outstanding stewardship of this country, and for the third year we hear the same rhetoric and the same arguments. I am intrigued as to when Labour members will work out that the arguments they have been running for the last 2½ years have got them only 20 percent—and falling—support from the populace. They need to change their story. If they are going to succeed—

TischThe CHAIRPERSON (Lindsay Tisch) Link to this

We are on a tax bill.

QuinnPAUL QUINN Link to this

In terms of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill, Labour members keep going on about the fact that we are hurting the middle-income earners, the fact that we are hurting the low-income earners, and the fact that all the benefits from the tax changes we have made have gone to the rich. They base that on percentages. Well, in the same way that they can regurgitate the record, I want to remind them of something I said last year, and that was this: if my friend Parekura Horomia loses 10 percent of his weight, and I lose 10 percent of my weight—

ChadwickHon Steve Chadwick Link to this

I raise a point of order, Mr Chairperson. This seems to be far off Part 1 of this taxation bill.

TischThe CHAIRPERSON (Lindsay Tisch) Link to this

Yes, we are moving into dangerous territory with the comments you are making. Let us keep the focus on the tax bill. It is a very important bill and we should focus our efforts on Part 1, which is about taxation rates.

QuinnPAUL QUINN Link to this

Point of order.

TischThe CHAIRPERSON (Lindsay Tisch) Link to this

No, I have ruled.

QuinnPAUL QUINN Link to this

I will give an example to the Committee about how percentages work. If I lose 10 percent of my weight, then, clearly, in absolute terms, I lose less in absolute terms than Parekura Horomia if he loses 10 percent of his weight. That is how the tax system works when we make percentage changes versus absolute terms. If the Opposition cannot understand that, then I am afraid that is just another classic example, like the one we had in terms of the headline and the Opposition not understanding the difference between revenue and net income—another classic example of the Opposition not understanding how calculations work and how systems work.

HodgsonHon Pete Hodgson Link to this

Why are all your heads down?

QuinnPAUL QUINN Link to this

Of course, we heard earlier from the grand old man who is about to go out the back door, who talked about the fact that we have the lowest—the lowest—tax rates in the Western World. Well, so what—so what? When we had the emissions trading scheme debate, the Opposition talked about wanting to be a world leader. Those members pick and choose; they want to be world leaders, but when it does not suit them, they want to be “fast followers”. Well, I say from this side of the Chamber, in terms of tax rates, big deal. If we are the world leaders, then so be it. We are an innovative country, and we are an innovative party. We reward success. We do not penalise success; we reward it. If that means that we are world leaders in terms of our tax rates, then so be it. That will attract more people. That will attract the innovators to come to this country because they know they will be rewarded for success.

HodgsonHon Pete Hodgson Link to this

And are they coming? Where are they?

QuinnPAUL QUINN Link to this

They are—they are on the way. The other thing I want to talk about is it would be nice if the members sitting opposite were to tell me what the appropriate tax rate is for middle-income earners. And what is middle income? Let us hear from those members as to what middle income is. In terms of the changes—and I stray into the phrase “Working for Families” only by way of example, because I am tying it to the tax rate—I want to understand from the Opposition what middle income is. When we get to Part 2 I will point out to the Opposition that the 7,000 people earning more than $100,000 are actually coming off Working for Families. So are we penalising the people who earn $100,000? Is that middle income? What is middle income?

BurnsBRENDON BURNS (Labour—Christchurch Central) Link to this

I start by expressing some disappointment in the Minister in the chair, Peter Dunne, because he has made it his hallmark to represent the middle classes of New Zealand. That has been his rallying cry. His political rhetoric has been built around assisting middle-income New Zealanders to get ahead. But this Budget, in my view, is doing nothing to assist middle-income New Zealanders to get ahead.

I think he has bought into the rhetoric that was very much in prominence back in 2008. Basically, the deal from National to the New Zealand electorate was that people could have their cake and eat it as well. The New Zealand electorate could have everything that the Labour Government had provided to it. They could have Working for Families and KiwiSaver, and they would be given tax cuts as well, as picked up by Part 1 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill, which enshrines the tax cuts that have been put in place by this Government.

But here is the reality: as we see in this bill, those tax cuts, as enshrined by Part 1, are only part of the equation. They are being eroded—they are being eroded—by all the other measures that are included in this bill, and by other Government measures we have seen in the recent past, such as the cuts in early childhood education and resulting increase in fees, increases in accident compensation levies, and the like.

I also note that that set of tax cuts, as implemented by Part 1, was affirmed as feasible and realistic by National when in Opposition in 2008, just as the world’s financial markets were falling apart. New Zealanders were told that those tax cuts, as enshrined by Part 1, were affordable, even after Goldman Sachs had collapsed and the US economy was in turmoil, and even after Merrill Lynch had collapsed and had to be bailed out by the taxpayers of America to the tune of $3 billion.

Where do we end up? Part 1 has the tax rates that will apply through part of this year, as set out by this legislation. What is the legislation trying to deal with? It is trying to deal with a deficit of $16.7 billion—$16.7 billion. That is what the tax revenue is attempting to address. As my colleague David Shearer pointed out, when this Government came into office there was a surplus of $5 billion, so that is a turn-round of more than $20 billion. We now have 16 billion tonnes of debt upon our backs, and this part of the bill is attempting to have tax revenues offset some of that debt.

I ask the Minister in the chair how secure the revenue predictions are that underlie Part 1 and the tax rates that will apply in the financial year ahead. I ask that because already we are hearing through the media today that employers are saying that the other measures in this bill in respect of KiwiSaver will have to be met by their cutting back on the tax they pay and putting increases on to their employees. We have heard Alasdair Thompson of the Northern Employers and Manufacturers Association say that the employers’ KiwiSaver components in Part 2 will be coming out of the wage increases—the wage increases—of employees. How can we set any store by the tax-projected revenues incorporated in Part 1 of this bill, when employers are saying that they will not be meeting the KiwiSaver ramifications included in Part 2? Instead, they will be looking to their employees to meet those costs. I ask the Minister what revenue implications that will have. What revenue implications will it have for Part 1 of this bill?

I also point out the difference between the Inland Revenue Department’s projections and Treasury’s projections, as outlined in the Budget’s Economic and Fiscal Update. The difference is in the order of $3.5 billion over the next 4 years, which is nearly $1 billion a year. That is a huge component, as we know, in respect of Part 1 of this bill.

TremainCHRIS TREMAIN (National—Napier) Link to this

Just before I start my speech on the unfair incidence of taxes, an issue that the Opposition has been raising today, I want to put on the parliamentary record that those of us on this side of the Chamber have been enduring about 80 or 90 decibels—[ Interruption] in fact 95 decibels—from Mr Quinn. I was thinking we would quite possibly have to bring in the Occupational Safety and Health Service before I commence my speech.

HenareHon Tau Henare Link to this

The decibel counter!

TremainCHRIS TREMAIN Link to this

The decibel counter—yes, it was indeed up there.

We are talking about Part 1 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill. In Part 1 we are talking about the taxation rates that will apply for the coming year. On this side of the Chamber we have been listening to Labour members talk about the unfair incidence of tax, so I thought I would stand up and take a brief call on that. I will talk about the unfair incidence of tax that occurred through the 9 years of the previous Labour Government. If we are talking about people who should not be at the highest marginal tax rates, then I am thinking about nurses, police, teachers, wharfies, and welders. I am thinking about highly qualified blue-collar workers. What happened over the 9 years of the Labour Government? Many, many of those people ended up paying the highest rate of marginal tax. That party on the other side of the Chamber called teachers, welders, wharfies, and nurses “rich”. Now, that shows that a party is starting to lose it—Labour called those guys “rich pricks”. Well, by no way or means were those workers rich. That was an unfair incidence of tax.

When National became the Government we changed that, so that on any level of the marginal or progressive tax rate, people in New Zealand are paying lower tax rates on their income and earnings. That is a fact. Let me talk members through the particular rates. Right now, people earning under $14,000, based on this tax bill, will pay no more than 10.5c in the dollar. That is down from 12.5c—a 2 percent drop in the tax rate. People earning between $14,000 and $48,000 will pay no more than 17.5c in the dollar. That is down from 21c. That is a big drop for those middle-income earners. On the other side of the Chamber, members are arguing that middle-income New Zealanders did not receive decent tax cuts, but in fact there has been a huge, a massive, drop. In fact, if we take the 10.5 percent on income under $14,000 and the 17.5 percent on income between $14,000 and $48,000, the average tax rate is even lower than 17.5 percent, and that is absolutely fantastic.

On income between $48,000 and $70,000, people now pay only 30c in the dollar, and many people—the nurses, the police, the doctors—in this country sit within that range. We delivered them a lower tax rate. We do not believe they are rich. They are hard-working Kiwis who do not deserve to be on the top tax rate, but they were put on the top tax rate by the Labour Government—not by this Government. But people on the higher tax rates, people earning over $70,000, still pay the highest progressive tax rate in this county. That is down from 38c to 33c. The top 13 percent of people in this country pay 51 percent of the tax. They should pay a higher tax rate—I have no problems with that. But those people are often the entrepreneurs, the people who invest their own hard-earned capital into businesses that employ other people and create jobs. On this side of the Chamber we are not all about endless rinky-dink schemes created by the Government to create jobs. We believe that it is businesses that create jobs. It is people who are prepared to put their money on the line, to mortgage their houses, to invest in their businesses, who create jobs, and actually, yes, if they do that and they make a profit, we believe they deserve to keep a fair bit of it—in fact, a lot of it.

Many years ago, when my dad was working, Muldoon had set the highest marginal tax rate at—I think it was—66c in the dollar. My dad came home one day and he said: “You know, CJ, it ain’t worth working any more. Every time I earn a dollar I get to keep only about 30c of it.” I rest my case.

DouglasHon Sir ROGER DOUGLAS (ACT) Link to this

I think it is worth asking the Minister of Revenue to advise the Committee whether he is confident that Treasury has its predictions right. More particularly, if Treasury’s predictions are wrong, what does that do to the Budget and what does it do in terms of New Zealand’s credit rating, etc.?

I have had my staff look at recent predictions made by Treasury, and those predictions do not give me a lot of confidence. If we look at Treasury’s predictions of GDP, we see they are all in the band between slightly higher than 1 percent and 4 percent. I have here a graph showing the actual GDP line. We are being told in this Budget that growth will be up near 4 percent initially and then will tail off. That is one side of the ledger, and one has to feel that Treasury predictions of growth, and wage growth in particular, are pretty high. But if we look at Treasury predictions of core Crown expenditure from 2005 through to 2010, we see that the one consistent factor is that every year the predicted expenditure is lower than the actual. It is lower by an average of 6.8 percent, which is about $4 billion. So if the predictions are wrong again this year, we will have a deficit of $20 billion. Treasury is actually saying that over the next 2 or 3 years Government expenditure will not go up by the $4 billion to $5 billion that it has been going up by each year; it will go up by only 1.4 percent.

This graph shows us the difficulty we have. It shows the amount of growth consumed by Government spending. The green line shows the increase in nominal expenditure, and another line shows the increase in Government expenditure over 3-year periods. We get to a stage where the Government—

HodgsonHon Pete Hodgson Link to this

It is not a zero-based graph.

DouglasHon Sir ROGER DOUGLAS Link to this

It is the actual nominal. We are talking nominal.

HodgsonHon Pete Hodgson Link to this

I am saying that the graph does not start at zero.

DouglasHon Sir ROGER DOUGLAS Link to this

It starts at 1999-2000, and it is in 3-year periods. But members should look at the next 3 years. We are led to believe that nominal GDP growth will be 23 percent, but guess where we have been told Government expenditure will be? At 1 to 2 percent. If someone believes that, I think that person will believe almost anything.

If I look at the numbers in the back of the book I see that, for example, Vote Corrections expenditure went up over the last 4 years by $350 million. We are told that in the next 4 years it will actually go down by $3 million. Maybe that is right; maybe that is wrong. But some of these estimates seem to be fairly tough. It we look at primary education in the last 4 years, we see that expenditure has gone up by $630 million and student numbers have gone down by 4,000. In the next 4 years, student numbers will go up by 25,000, but expenditure will go up by only $100 million.

So all I am asking is how confident the Minister is that he has it right, both in terms of revenue and in terms of expenditure. I am not particularly confident, given that if we look at every year from 2005 through to 2010, we see that Government expenditure every year has averaged 6.8 percent more than the estimate, and that GDP growth has been lower than the estimate by a considerable amount. How confident are we? If we get it wrong both on lower revenue and on higher expenditure, then we have some very real difficulty.

MahutaHon NANAIA MAHUTA (Labour—Hauraki-Waikato) Link to this

Kia ora. I am happy to speak to the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill, and in particular focus on Part 1, “Annual rates of income tax”. I listened very carefully to contributions from members of the Government. I came out with three very clear points. First, the member Craig Foss promoted the idea that if one talks about something long enough, maybe people will believe it. He made the point that 13 percent of people pay 51 percent of tax. If we take that tag line alone, it explains exactly why most of the tax cuts go to top income earners. But I do not think people are convinced by Mr Foss’s argument. In fact, I think they are more perplexed with that rationale because it justifies the unfairness of the current tax system and the fact that the Government is prioritising investment that does not benefit a lot of people.

Then I listened to Mr Paul Quinn. He operates by the standard that if he talks loud enough then maybe people will hear him. But we all know that once the decibels start to rise, people turn off. In fact, I could not quite figure out what point he was making with regard to Part 1 of the bill. Then I listened to the member Chris Tremain. He operates by the edict that if he says it often enough then maybe even he will believe it. One of the points he made was just how much middle-income earners are benefiting under this Government’s tax cuts.

I present a response, particularly in relation to Mr Tremain’s points about income tax for middle-income earners. He highlighted these groups specifically: nurses, policemen, teachers, wharfies, and builders. He made the point that under Labour they were paying a higher marginal tax rate and under National they are not. Let me say this: those same people are parents, those same people have kids, those same people utilize public services, and those same people are saying—we are listening to them—that they did not bet on the rate of GST increasing, on paying more over the counter for their kai, or on rising petrol prices. They say that when they take their kids to the doctor the after-hours costs are as much for them as they are for anyone else, and they are still paying the mortgage. Some of them are paying higher rents, particularly in areas like Auckland.

Those nurses, policemen, teachers, wharfies, and builders are making the same noises in terms of concerns about where this Government has got its priorities wrong. Even though they are middle-income earners and they have a lower marginal tax rate, they have to pay exorbitant costs at the other end because this Government has its priorities in the wrong place.

The Government has ripped out the guts of the public health sector. It says it is moving resources to the front line. It says it is moving resources to the front line, but backroom functions cannot be absorbed by front-line staff. Those members might not like that, but they know it is true. Those middle-income families are parents, they have kids, they are paying the same costs as low-income families, and they have the same concerns: paying more for their kai, paying more for petrol, and paying more for after-hours general practitioner services—paying more and getting less. Their wage is worth less under this Government than it ever was before. Why? Because they are feeling the pay at the other end.

MahutaHon NANAIA MAHUTA Link to this

The member for Hamilton West may say it is rubbish, but we can find middle-income earners in the Hamilton West electorate who are making very clear complaints about after-hours health care because they have to pay more. If they go to Waikato Hospital, albeit to a well-developed accident and emergency service, they have to wait for 8 hours, so rather than wait for 8 hours they pay $69 for after-hours health care.

I go back to Part 1 of this bill. The Government’s members are saying it long enough, loud enough, and often enough, but they are still not convincing middle and low income earners that their tax cuts are benefiting them in the long run. The concerns we hear day after day show that prices and the cost of living are higher for middle and low income families.

Those members are very quiet now. Their heads are down now. They know that the cost of living—[Interruption] They know that when they talk about middle-income earners and the tax cuts that have been promoted by this Government, they are not talking about the costs at the other end. I challenge members of the National Government to talk about the costs at the other end. They talk about tax cuts at the front end but not the costs accrued by those same families at the other end. Policemen, nurses, teachers, wharfies, and builders are parents. They have kids and they have mortgages. All those costs are adding up. The price and the cost of living for those same families—

QuinnPaul Quinn Link to this

20,000 more elective surgeries.

MahutaHon NANAIA MAHUTA Link to this

There we go again. That member operates by the edict that if he says it loud enough maybe people will hear him. They actually turn off.

Those people are parents. They have children and they are paying at the other end. I see the Minister in the chair, the Minister for Building and Construction, smiling, because he knows exactly what I am talking about. Government members might be able to promote the benefits of tax cuts at the one end, but they cannot justify the increased pressure of costs on families at the other end. That is what we are saying. The tax promotion that this Government is making is creating an inherent imbalance and unfairness. National is creating greater inequality between middle and low income families.

Government members say that the top 13 percent pay 51 percent of the taxes. They are trying to justify it so that that 13 percent get most of the benefits. People can see through that. It does not matter whether members opposite talk long enough, loud enough, or often enough; people can see through that. They do not believe that the proposals at one end offering tax cuts are offset by the cost of living pressures at the other end.

QuinnPaul Quinn Link to this

You’re still prattling on about the same things you were in the previous 2 years.

MahutaHon NANAIA MAHUTA Link to this

I will say it again and again, because members on this side of the Chamber are presenting those issues. We know that the cost of living pressures are not being alleviated by the solutions that the member Paul Quinn is promoting in this Chamber.

I am happy to speak to Part 1 and to reject the proposition that it is promoting better opportunities for middle-income families. There is just no balance between tax cuts for middle and low income families at one end and the increasing pressure of costs at the other end. There is a greater imbalance, greater unfairness, and greater inequality in the treatment of those groups of people: nurses, policemen, teachers, wharfies, and builders. I am happy to speak to Part 1.

MacindoeTIM MACINDOE (National—Hamilton West) Link to this

I am delighted to follow the Hon Nanaia Mahuta. Of course, we represent the same area—her electorate is a little bigger than mine, but we are in the same region. I particularly thank her for acknowledging that under this Government tax rates have come down and that this Government has been focusing particularly on the needs of vulnerable New Zealanders, those on low and fixed incomes, who have needed protection through the worst impacts of the current economic recession.

ChadwickHon Steve Chadwick Link to this

Tell us about cuts to family violence.

MacindoeTIM MACINDOE Link to this

It is about focusing on the things that matter to New Zealanders, I say to Ms Chadwick—things such as the huge improvements that Tony Ryall has secured in the health system, or the fantastic work that Anne Tolley is doing in the education system.

But I need to come back to tax, because that is what this debate is about. Nanaia Mahuta reminded us of that old political principle that if one repeats a lie often enough, people will start to believe it. That, frankly, is Labour members’ strategy at the moment. That is their entire plank in the current election year, as they go towards 26 November. Those members have nothing positive to say, they do not have a credible plan, and they do not have any ideas of their own, so they will keep misrepresenting what is actually being done in the hope that enough people will believe it to get them over the line.

In fact, Labour has taken one of the oldest political maxims of all time and slightly adapted it: no taxation without misrepresentation. That is the Labour mantra that we now have to put up with. The really fascinating thing when one listens to Labour members is that they never talk about the figures. They never actually get down to the detail. They hate that. It is always “cuts” here and “National’s rich mates” there, but they never give an honest analysis of who pays the tax, how it is used, and what the overall impact of tax policy is on commercial activity, encouraging savings and investment, and Government spending. They love to do the spending, but they just cannot get it right in terms of how to provide for that.

The first thing to remember—and the Minister of Revenue reminded us of this when he took a call about half an hour ago—is that last year’s tax package was essentially fiscally neutral. It was about rebalancing the overall tax imposition on all New Zealanders to create fairness—I repeat that phrase for Ms Chadwick, because she is pretty concerned about it; to create fairness—to give extra support to vulnerable New Zealanders, and to stimulate investment in manufacturing, primary production, small and medium sized enterprises, and so on because, I say to Ms Chadwick, those are the kinds of activities that protect and create jobs, and generate wealth for this country. They generate wealth, and Labour members cannot stand that word. Next I will be saying “profits” and I will be hounded out of the Chamber by the Hobbit haters and the muppets, and the envy brigade opposite. But, actually, profits are a pretty important thing to protect and to ensure we can get in an economy.

The tax switch last year is already playing an important role in building the platform for economic growth and putting more money in the pockets of low and middle income New Zealanders. Labour members hate the fact that most of last year’s income tax reductions went to those on modest incomes, whom they profess to represent in this House, but when one listens to what those members are actually saying about this bill, one can tell that they have abandoned that group completely.

As the Minister of Revenue reminded us when he took a call, Labour members never admit that the bottom two rates were reduced in last year’s Budget to the point where nearly three-quarters of the population pay a marginal tax rate of just 17.5 percent. So I can tell the Hon Nanaia Mahuta, who challenged me a short time ago about how my constituents are faring in the current conditions, that most of the electors in Hamilton West who are on middle incomes or lower incomes were absolutely delighted by that change, and I was pleased to be part of a Government that delivered it for them.

What a fantastic achievement that was, especially in the challenging economic circumstances that we inherited from the outgoing Labour Government. That Government had the best global conditions of any Government for at least a generation and it squandered the lot—blew it, spent irresponsibly, and made no provision for the bad times that would inevitably come with economic cycles. It just blew the lot. Well, I say that we should celebrate what this National Government and its support partners have been doing and are continuing to achieve.

Labour avoids the figures, but the figures are quite clear. Let me return to the Deloitte analysis, which Mr Woodhouse talked about a short time ago. In terms of total Government revenue, the 2011-12 forecast is for $64.1 billion. The large majority of this—$47.4 billion—will come from GST, corporate tax, and individual income tax.

JonesHon SHANE JONES (Labour) Link to this

Tēnā tātou. Greetings, Mr Chairperson. It is a pleasure to stand and—unlike the previous speaker, Tim Macindoe—to direct our attention to Part 1 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill, which is to do with the tax rates. Mr Chairperson, given that you have provided a level of latitude to the man who has put to sleep what will remain of the farming community, unless it starts to pay its way in areas such as Matamata, Morrinsville—

JonesHon SHANE JONES Link to this

Actually, I must talk about Wairarapa at the moment. There will be a monumental change in Wairarapa, and it is called the removal of the member. That is about to come as a consequence of our passing the discredited script that is otherwise known as the Budget.

All societies need to contribute, we know, towards meeting the costs of the apparatus of Government. All societies need to contribute towards meeting the costs of any vision, any aspiration, etc., that a Government seeks to implement—although this Government is devoid, despite its rhetoric, of such aspiration or vision. But we have a concern, and we will repeat it. John Key invited members on the Opposition side of the Chamber to meet him on the hustings, and we cannot wait for that to begin. Actually it did begin yesterday, because his speech was not a parliamentary speech but a hustings speech. He was entitled to make it, but it is very difficult for us to be serious when he directs such belligerence to this side of the Chamber and forgets that the vast majority of women, for example, who heard his speech found it to be a very discreditable presentation. It overlooked the actual suffering, discomfort, and fear that many New Zealand families now feel and that will get worse as a consequence of this document.

The tax rates, at one level, are a quantitative reality, but the issue is about their burden. We on this side of the Chamber know that the burden must fall evenly, but, more important, that we actually need the revenue. I am concerned that the tax rates may have been changed, and that it will do damage to the conservation budget for endangered species. We know on this side of the Chamber that that member over there is an endangered species. He will not be back in 2012; he will not beat Trevor Mallard. As National gets to the end of its list, the member will drop off. So I say to Paul: “UB40 for you.”

RobertsonThe CHAIRPERSON (H V Ross Robertson) Link to this

The member must use the member’s full name.

JonesHon SHANE JONES Link to this

Of course I must. Unfortunately, I was borrowing from the biblical expression of robbing Peter to pay Paul; that is all that I was doing. I was not taking in vain, either, the name of this fearless champion of the vanquished. Unfortunately, when he hopped in the limo he forgot about them. I was just talking about the new status for Paul Quinn, which will be unemployment.

But let me come back to the bill. I will talk about the burden that falls upon society. We genuinely believe that if tax relief is to be offered through the rates, it ought to fall on those people who are under the most pressure. Our belief is based on a different vision that members on the Opposition side of the Chamber have from the vision of Government members, in relation to who ought to pay. They have been telling us over the last 24 hours that there is a small slither of people in New Zealand who are the wealth generators. Those members believe, unfortunately, that they are a proxy for the wealth-generating community. But they are not. The reality is that every single New Zealander whom we know wants to do the right thing by their own family and their community. But if they are not treated fairly through the taxation system, then whatever initiative they have is stifled.

Of course we need tax revenue in order to overcome the mountain of debt. I personally think that all New Zealanders, especially those who are living through the misfortune of having used their homes as ATM machines, know at a personal level that we have to bring debt down. Mr Dunne is right in his press statements to challenge all members of Parliament to think seriously and to chart a course forward as to how we can do that. But when we manipulate the taxation system and the spread is grossly uneven, we do not create a system whereby those who have the ability to contribute towards substantially reducing the burden of debt upon us are paying their full share. That is a reasonable, debatable point. We will take it forward and debate it up and down the country during the latter part of November, when, as a consequence of Helen Clark’s having brought the Rugby World Cup competition to New Zealand, we will celebrate the victory of the All Blacks. We will remind people that just as we look for fairness and for aggression in sport, we were hoping to see something fair in the taxation system. OK, we know the Government will not be bold. We know it is vacuous, and that is why the philosophy underlying these rates, etc., favours a narrow caste of economic players in the economy.

NashSTUART NASH (Labour) Link to this

Mr Jones actually nailed it on the head. A Government can use the tax system in a number of ways. What the Labour Government fundamentally believes—it is one of Labour’s basic principles, and what Phil Goff has said many, many times—

FossCraig Foss Link to this

There is no Labour Government.

NashSTUART NASH Link to this

Sorry, I was looking in the crystal ball and I had a vision 6 months ahead; I apologise. The Labour Party believes that a Labour Government will be the next Government to deliver a Budget. I can promise members it will not have the same level of inequality as this Budget has. [ Interruption] There is no doubt about that, I say to Mr Foss. What the Labour Party believes, and has always believed, and what Mr Goff has said time and time again, and what he will continue to tell Mr Key when he meets him on the hustings, is that the tax system should be used for good. The tax system should be used to promote equality. The tax system should be used to promote fairness. That is what the tax system should be used for. The tax system should not be used to reward those who do not need it.

Let me give one example. When the chief executive officer of Westpac looked at these rates, I think he probably would have been a little embarrassed. I think he would have been a little embarrassed when he received a tax cut of $5,000 a week. I have to ask: is that fair? Is that equitable? Is that the sort of society we want—that there are some at the top who amass huge wealth? He has a salary of about $5.2 million; about $5.2 million. He has had an increase of about $5,000 a week.

WilliamsonHon Maurice Williamson Link to this

What does he actually pay in tax already?

NashSTUART NASH Link to this

I tell the Minister to ask his Minister of Revenue and ask the Inland Revenue Department, whose figures the Government does not trust. The Government does not trust the figures from the Inland Revenue Department. What the Government does is use Treasury’s figures. I think that Minister should ask the Inland Revenue Department what the chief executive officer of Westpac earns as a salary; ask how much he gets in his hand every week. I think even that Minister, a Minister earning a Cabinet salary, would be slightly disgusted. I do not know of any way to justify a tax cut of $5,000 a week, let alone the amount of money he is receiving in the hand every single month. In fact, I have no doubt it is more than the vast majority of his employees receive in a year; I have no doubt about that.

This is what Labour stands for: Labour stands for using the tax system to promote equality and fairness. With regard to the rates we are talking about, I have heard from that bloke from Hamilton, Mr Macindoe, and Mr Woodhouse, that the tax cuts have been fiscally neutral. What do they quote? They quote a Deloitte report. But I can inform this Committee that Dr Bollard, for whom I have the utmost respect, has sat in front of the Finance and Expenditure Committee and said, well, the tax cuts are not fiscally neutral. In fact, it has cost us. This is what last year’s Budget told us, that these tax cuts would cost the country about a billion dollars. But it has cost more than that, and I will tell members why it has cost more than that: because Treasury got the figures wrong. Last year GST receipts were down by about $270 million dollars. That is what GST receipts were down by. That equates to a decrease of about $2 billion in spending on goods and services. This Committee was told that these rates were neutral, that an increase in revenue from GST would easily match the amount of money—I think it is about $23 billion over the term of the Government—it would cost to implement these tax cuts. Well, that is wrong, because that has not been the case. In fact, $2 billion has been taken out of the economy since this tax switch. That is shown by the drop in the GST receipts. That is why I have grave concerns when the Government uses the tax revenue forecasts put forward by Treasury and not the Inland Revenue Department. That is why I have grave concerns that it is the forecast—Mr Chair—

RobertsonThe CHAIRPERSON (H V Ross Robertson) Link to this

I call the honourable member Stuart Nash.

GoodhewJo Goodhew Link to this

I raise a point of order, Mr Chairperson. I ask whether you could assure me that that member has not had more than his allowable number of calls in this debate.

RobertsonThe CHAIRPERSON (H V Ross Robertson) Link to this

I will just check that for you. This is the fourth call now.

NashSTUART NASH Link to this

I know it seems like we have been talking about the inequality of the tax system for a long time, but it is not just me. I think it is the whole of Labour. Everyone on this side of the Chamber has talked about the inequality of these tax rates for a long, long time.

HayesJohn Hayes Link to this

It’s boring.

NashSTUART NASH Link to this

That member may say it is boring, but I think the vast majority of New Zealanders do not find it boring. They find it a little bit shameful.

As I was saying, one of the major concerns I have about the Government using Treasury data and not the Inland Revenue Department data when it promotes its forecasts is the fact that Bill English stood up and said the Government will create 170,000 new jobs. Bill English said the Government will create 170,000 new jobs, and this is what the revenue forecasts are based on. But when he was questioned on television this morning, he was asked where the jobs would come from. Where will those 170,000 new jobs come from? Do members know what he said? He said commodity prices will go up, and he thought there would be a lot of jobs created in the commodity sector. That was a very enlightening comment. The reason I say that is that the opposite is happening.

I will give members an example. In the forest industry we are exporting a record number of unprocessed logs. That is causing major stress for domestic processes, mills are closing, and people are losing jobs. The prediction of 170,000 new jobs is actually a little bit of a fallacy. I think it is a “let’s hit it and hope” strategy, in which those members close their eyes, pick a figure out, and hope like hell that if they say it long enough, people will believe it. Government members believe that all they have to do is get to the election, and if they get elected—which they will not—people will believe them. Well, the people are not silly. I think this Government has treated the people of New Zealand with contempt for too long. I think the people of New Zealand deserve to know what the plan is for creating these 170,000 new jobs. We admit there will be more jobs out of the reconstruction of Christchurch, but there will not be 170,000 new jobs. That is just a one-off sort of event; it is not sustainable, long-term economic growth. That is why Michael Cullen delivered nine Budgets of surplus.

FossCraig Foss Link to this

Based on Treasury forecasts.

NashSTUART NASH Link to this

That is a very good point that Mr Foss brings up, because never before has there been such a discrepancy between Treasury figures and Inland Revenue Department figures. When the Budget document is being put together, Treasury models it and the Inland Revenue Department models it. Those departments make similar sorts of assumptions, as we would imagine, but usually the models are pretty close. This time there is a discrepancy of $4 billion over 5 years.

NashSTUART NASH Link to this

There is $4 billion over 5 years. The Government says there may be a little bit of risk in relation to that. That is the understatement of the century. There is huge risk in the Government’s figures, because the Inland Revenue Department has said the Government will be $4 billion short over 5 years. That is a major concern.

As I was saying, Michael Cullen believed that a Government creates economic growth by creating jobs. When a Government creates jobs, people pay tax. When the Government creates jobs, the taxpayers pay tax. When taxpayers pay tax, the Government gets revenue. When the Government gets revenue, it can pay down debt. That is what Michael Cullen did. Michael Cullen left this country in such sound shape that when the global financial crisis hit, the economy was doing OK. Despite the mismanagement of this Government—despite the gross economic mismanagement of this Government—the economy is in not too bad shape, because Michael Cullen had 9 years of Budget surplus based on 3 percent unemployment. We now have double the unemployment, thanks to this Government, that we had when Michael Cullen read his last Budget. We have 150,000 people who are not contributing.

All we wanted to see was a plan—a plan for growth, a plan for creating jobs, because when there are jobs, people pay their tax. That is my huge concern. Minister Dunne actually admitted that we do not have a great middle class like the United States has. He said we have a very few up the top, but we do not have that great middle class like the United States has, and this is a major problem.

GoodhewJO GOODHEW (Junior Whip—National) Link to this

I move, That the question be now put.

BeaumontCAROL BEAUMONT (Labour) Link to this

I appreciate being able to speak on the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill. I am very pleased to follow my colleague Stuart Nash. He has been making outstanding contributions in this debate and has enlightened a lot of New Zealanders on issues to do with our tax system, and that is very important. Part 1 is about our current tax system, and I want to make some comments following on from Mr Nash’s comments. Perhaps I should seek leave of the Committee to allow Mr Nash to make some more comments. I think he has done an exceptional job in enlightening New Zealand on how unfair our current tax system is.

It has been a deliberate decision of this National Government to create a less fair tax system. Let us be clear about what we are talking about here. We are talking about tax rates that were changed so that the top 10 percent of earners in New Zealand had significant tax cuts—tax cuts that they do not need, and tax cuts that have not actually benefited our economy. On this side of the Chamber we do not believe in the trickle-down effect that members on the other side of the Chamber seem to be so reliant on. We do not believe that just because those at the top are given more money in their pockets, they will spend it in a productive way that assists the economy. We believe that the people who need assistance from the Government are low and middle income New Zealanders.

As Mr Nash pointed out to us, the Government tried to sell those tax cuts as being fiscally neutral. It said that they were a tax switch. Members across the other side of the Chamber must think New Zealanders are very silly. I certainly do not, but you must think they are—

RobertsonThe CHAIRPERSON (H V Ross Robertson) Link to this

Order!

BeaumontCAROL BEAUMONT Link to this

I am sorry, Mr Chair; you, of course, do not. Members across the other side of the Chamber, however, clearly do think the public are silly if they think the public believe this tax switch nonsense. Out there in the real world, low and middle income New Zealanders know that things cost them more. They know that, through the increase in GST, they have effectively had to bear the cost of tax cuts being given to the wealthy. It has not been fiscally neutral. There is a hole in the Government finances.

I find it bizarre that people across the other side of the Chamber can go out there and talk about the reason for the deficit being the Christchurch earthquake and the global economic crisis. Yes, of course, those are elements in it, but some of it was a deliberate decision of the Government to cut its own revenue—to give tax cuts that were unfairly weighted in favour of those at the top. So take responsibility for the deficit and do not ensure that the costs are all borne by low and middle income New Zealand. That is our message to members opposite. Of course, it is not going to be listened to. Members across the other side of the Chamber are out of touch if they think New Zealanders buy that the deficit is nothing to do with the Government. People do not buy that. They do not buy the tax switch notion.

I really liked the description my colleague Stuart Nash gave of the importance of the tax system being about taxing to do good. Tax is effectively the income the Government gets to do things. Unfortunately for all of us, this Budget is another do-nothing Budget in terms of rebuilding our economy. If members opposite—if we all—looked at what was needed to grow our economy, we would not see things like cuts in investment in industry training and skills development. It is an absolute outrage that in this country we are not investing in our people so that they have the opportunity to get a job, they have the opportunity to get a better-paid job, and they have the opportunity to keep a job and have greater job security. It is an absolute outrage that we are not investing in our people so that they can be more productive at work and we can transform our workplaces into better, more effective, more productive workplaces that provide the goods and services this country needs. It is an absolute outrage that across the other side of the Chamber there is some view that the Government has no responsibility for growth, for stimulus, and for other things that will lead to jobs.

HayesJOHN HAYES (National—Wairarapa) Link to this

I move, That the question be now put.

Link to this

A party vote was called for on the question,

That the question be now put.

Ayes 68

Noes 51

Motion agreed to.

Link to this

A party vote was called for on the question,

That Part 1 be agreed to.

Ayes 68

Noes 51

Part 1 agreed to.

Part 2 Working for Families and KiwiSaver

RobertsonGRANT ROBERTSON (Labour—Wellington Central) Link to this

This is my first opportunity to participate in the Committee stage of the debate on the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill and we come now to Part 2. It is worth noting that the discussion we were just having on Part 1 often impacted on both the specific changes to Working for Families and to KiwiSaver. As we begin the discussion of these changes in Part 2 we need to look at the wider context in which they are set in this Budget. Essentially these are the big changes for National. The big vision for National in this Budget is to cut Working for Families and to cut KiwiSaver. That is it. There is no big vision about growing the economy. There is no big vision about innovation in our economy. There is no attempt to say how we will create the jobs that will keep New Zealanders in New Zealand rather than going to Australia. Instead Part 2 of this bill, which we debate under urgency, cuts in to low and middle income earners’ income; it takes out income from 1.7 million KiwiSavers. That is what Part 2 does because this Budget has no vision and no plan; it is a defensive Budget.

My colleagues on this side of the Chamber know that I am a fan of sport. For me this Budget, from the Government’s point of view, is all about the All Whites going out on the field to play a game of soccer and putting all of their players inside their own penalty area and having no one upfront trying to score any goals. That is what this Budget is about: it is a defensive Budget with no vision. We heard ambition for New Zealand a couple of years ago from John Key and Bill English. But, instead, as I sat and listened to the Budget speech yesterday I kept waiting for the plan, for the things the Government was going to do. Yes, there were going to be cuts. Yes, we are living in tight financial times. Then we expect to hear the plan. But, instead, the plan is the cuts—that is it. There is nothing else. There is no vision for the future. There is, as we see in Part 2 here, simply cuts to Working for Families and to KiwiSaver.

The promise that National delivered pre-Budget—and it is surprising that anyone would really believe promises that National delivers any longer, after it increased GST when it said it would not—is that it wanted to get at those people on Working for Families who are earning high income levels. It wanted to get at those people earning over $100,000, because they should not be on Working for Families. National says those people are on a kind of middle-class welfare that we do not need. But the reality of the changes in Part 2 is that it kicks in for people earning as little as $36,000 a year. It kicks in for the security guards who work around this building and other places. The level of pay they are getting means they are too rich to be supported. They are the people who do not deserve support for raising children. That is what this Budget says. That is what Part 2 says.

This is not about high-income earners; this is about people who are currently struggling to meet the cost of living, and they are being told that they are the people who have to bear the burden of the financial problems facing New Zealand. It is middle-income earners who have to bear that burden with the cuts to Working for Families. One of the things that are frustrating for people on this side of the House is that when Working for Families is presented, it is presented as being about somebody who is on an income of $70,000. Let us be absolutely clear—this is about family and household income. If a household has an income of $70,000, that can be two earners, each earning $35,000 a year. If they are raising two children in that environment, that is difficult at the moment. They are the people who are struggling to put healthy food on their table. They are the people who need support to ensure that those children get the kinds of opportunities in life that everyone in this House would want them to have.

In Part 2 of this bill, Working for Families has been cut for those people. It has been cut, so the opportunities are simply not there for those people in the future. The problem is that the whole Budget is based upon fiction, figment, and this notion that there will be 170,000 jobs. From where? From where will those jobs come? There are not 170,000 jobs in rebuilding Christchurch. There are some jobs in that, but there are not 170,000.

The Rugby World Cup gets a good play in the Budget, in terms of economic growth. I hate to tell Mr Key and Mr English but the Rugby World Cup finishes in October. It will not be there in the future. The Rugby World Cup ends in October and that is it. That is the end of the plan for the growing of jobs. It is a figment. What is more is that jobs and growth projections in this Budget are based on nothing. Not only do we think so but the Inland Revenue Department thinks so and the Ministry of Social Development thinks so. As my colleague Stuart Nash said in the Part 1 debate, there is a $4 billion gap between the forecast of what the people who actually collect the tax think they will get and Treasury, which is making these bold, heroic projections about growth. What is more, the Ministry of Social Development is projecting that it will be paying out more and more in benefits at exactly the same time as Treasury thinks the number of people employed will be going up. There is a problem there. If Treasury’s projections and forecasts were accepted across the Public Service, then the Ministry of Social Development would be forecasting the main benefit costs to go down. It is not forecasting that; it is forecasting benefit costs to go up.

We have the Inland Revenue Department and the Ministry of Social Development saying that Treasury’s forecasts do not stand up. They are a figment. They are not real jobs, because there is no plan to create those jobs in this Budget. There is nothing about skills, nothing about increased research and development, nothing about innovation, and nothing about supporting exporters. This Budget is built on a fallacy of hope that there will be jobs in the future, and no plan to get there.

When we get to Part 2 we see that the big plan is based on cuts. Here is a message for National: cuts do not amount to a plan for the economy. It is a defensive attitude and not one that will help grow the economy. Why is it that time and time again with this Government, when the belts have to be tightened, it is those at the low and middle-income end who have to do the tightening? In the end, that is about—and Part 2 is about—the fact that nothing has changed for National. It is still about trickle-down economics. It is amazing. The idea has been around for 30 years but it has not worked. It is not working, yet we have another Budget presented to this House that is about a belief and a faith in trickle-down economics, rather than a Government that will do something to help create jobs and to grow the economy.

Part 2 tells us that Working for Families needs to be adjusted because it is not affordable at the moment. I say to National that those people on those low and middle incomes are being affected—for example, the couple I was talking to last night. The husband is a security guard who works full time and the wife is an early childhood education teacher who works part time. They are trying to raise their children. They are losing as a result of these Working for Families changes. They are also KiwiSavers and they are losing out there, as well. They are being hit twice. Their incomes are being hit, while the people on the top tax rate continue to enjoy the benefits of tax cuts that were unaffordable, which is part of the reason we have the deficit in front of us today. Make no mistake; this deficit in this Budget is National’s deficit. It is a deficit that it has created by its lack of an ability to help grow this country and by its short-sighted policies that are not about the long-term future and innovation of the country and that are not about skills.

This Budget is based on a fallacy. It is based on a hope and a faith that jobs will be created. It is not based on a plan. In Part 2 the core of the Government’s policy is to cut Working for Families and KiwiSaver and to look tough. Where is the gain that goes with the pain? I do not see it. New Zealanders know we are in tight financial times. They all want to pull together and work, but New Zealanders also fundamentally believe in fairness. They believe in fairness and they believe that it is important that we look after each other in times of need. When people are trying to bring up children, who will be the future of this country, they deserve support for that. Instead, Part 2 of this bill delivers cuts to those very people in Working for Families and KiwiSaver. KiwiSaver is one of the things that we on this side of the House are proudest of, because it put in place a regime that got New Zealanders saving. That is compromised by Part 2 of this bill.

ArdernJACINDA ARDERN (Labour) Link to this

It is a pleasure to rise and give a contribution on Part 2 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill, which, as my colleague Grant Robertson has pointed out, focuses on the changes to Working for Families and KiwiSaver. I will home in specifically on KiwiSaver.

In light of the fact that members on both sides of House acknowledge that we have a significant issue when it comes to Kiwis’ own personal savings rates, it seems phenomenal to me that this is the third change I have seen in this House relating to superannuation schemes and our preparedness for future generations’ retirement. Members will remember that the first change was to the New Zealand Superannuation Fund. For my first Budget I sat in this Chamber and watched as the Government claimed that out of necessity it would suspend payments to the Superannuation Fund. Our preparation for my generation’s retirement would be suspended, not for 1 year or 2 years but for 10 years. For 10 years we were going to look entirely past the issue of our superannuation preparedness, despite knowing that we would be paying for the baby boomers in the very near future. Those on this side of the House have watched as there have been changes to the one thing in the Government books that looked quite good, which was the Superannuation Fund. Members will note that I am no longer calling it the Cullen fund. Michael Cullen has specifically requested that if the Government will not fulfil its obligations to pay into that fund, then it should hereby be known as the English fund. The Cullen fund was about being prepared; the English fund is about suspending responsibilities.

The second change we have seen to our preparedness for superannuation is a cut to KiwiSaver contributions. Members on this side of the Chamber will remember that Labour specifically legislated that contributions by members of KiwiSaver and by employers would sit at 4 percent. In its first Budget the National Government immediately slashed that to 2 percent, and we protested because we knew New Zealanders needed a high rate of savings if we were to be prepared for our retirement.

Now we come to the third set of changes. I do not know whether the Government thinks it is a sneaky change and perhaps the public will be duped by it, but almost in an attempt to cover up the fact that it has made changes to the Government contributions, the Government has now lifted employer and member contributions by 1 percent. They are now back at 3 percent, but that is still lower than it was when National was elected.

RobertsonGrant Robertson Link to this

A half-reversal.

ArdernJACINDA ARDERN Link to this

That is absolutely right, I say to Grant Robertson. I know that New Zealanders will not be tricked by that. They are much smarter than that, and they will immediately see through it. Why has the Government lifted that rate again, despite saying in the beginning that it needed to be halved? Because it wants to place an extra burden on employers and individual members, in lieu of the Government picking up its responsibilities. That is exactly what has happened. In Part 2 the Government contributions have been halved. They have also been capped. The $1,042 Government contribution amount of the potential tax credit has been replaced by $521. Why does that matter? We know that the three factors we need most if we are to have a stable personal savings scheme for Kiwis are incentive, stability, and income. We have seen three changes from this Government. That is not stability.

FossCraig Foss Link to this

There was a change every year under the Labour Government.

ArdernJACINDA ARDERN Link to this

I will point out that KiwiSaver was created by a Labour Government, and it is one of the things we did that we are most proud of, I say to Mr Foss. Labour acknowledged that my generation was about to be left high and dry, and all the Government has done, I say to Mr Foss, is to prove that it has a short-term view when it comes to politics and electoral cycles. This measure is about the next election. It is not about my generation. If it was about my generation—

RobertsonThe CHAIRPERSON (H V Ross Robertson) Link to this

I refer members of the Committee who do not have the call and are interjecting on each other to Speaker’s ruling 63/7.

ArdernJACINDA ARDERN Link to this

Speaker’s ruling 63/7 is one of my personal favourites, so thank you, Mr Chairperson. I have already covered the incentive element. I will acknowledge that the Government has kept the $1,000 kick-start, and that was an important element of the scheme in terms of drawing people in to join KiwiSaver, as 1.7 million people have done. I will highlight one extra statistic that has not been shared much in this Chamber, and it is that 500,000 of those members are under-24-year-olds.

ArdernJACINDA ARDERN Link to this

Five hundred thousand—it is a significant amount. Whether some parents are enrolling their children very young is an interesting point, and we may need to look into that, but I applaud that figure. Ultimately, this scheme was about making sure that young people in this country are preparing for their retirement, so that incentive was important.

We have covered the stability issue, and the fact that there has been a real lack of acknowledgment on the other side of the Chamber of the importance of stability. I think members would be interested in an interview with a man who is an ex - All Black, I believe, and a national voter, from Eltham. I understand that he said on the radio this morning that in his view the contract he had signed with the Government when he gave his vote to National had been broken. It was his view that the agreement that had existed on what would happen with his superannuation fund, which he had signed up to because he believed that the Government would not honour its promise and ensure that a universal pension scheme would be available when he retired—so he had bought into KiwiSaver—had been broken. I would like to know how many other Kiwis feel exactly the same way. I wager that it will be many. The stability issue is a significant one, and that is, obviously, what we are addressing in Part 2.

But Part 2 specifically acknowledges the role of the employer’s superannuation cash contributions, so I will talk about the third element of importance to a savings scheme, and that is income. Of course, an individual having an income stream is, by default, one of the most important parts of being able to ensure that we have some personal savings. I am sure that all of us in this Committee would acknowledge that if someone is in a state of unemployment, even if they are drawing down Government support it is nigh on impossible to survive, let alone save for their retirement. So income is important. That means that Part 2 is directly affected by the wider stimulus plan that the Government has presented. I use that term loosely, because I am yet to see any wider stimulus package in this Budget, yet the Government has estimated—it has forecasted—that we will see 170,000 jobs as a consequence of this Budget.

I wanted to give the Government the benefit of the doubt, so I searched through the Budget documents, including the Economic and Fiscal Outlook, to try to find the source of those 170,000 jobs—a fair quest, I thought. I came across roughly three things. Higher growth in consumer spending was the first: “Higher growth in consumer spending is expected as households become more comfortable with the state of their own balance sheets …”. I would like to hear a little more background on that. I am not entirely sure how people will become more comfortable with the state of their balance sheets, because I do not hear a lot of comfort now. If we are talking about consumer spending as a proportion of a household’s income, that certainly is increasing as a percentage, because the cost of living is increasing at a ridiculous rate in this country. Beyond that I really have very little other explanation for how people will be finding that extra comfort.

Secondly, the Economic and Fiscal Outlook states that we will see a boost in export volumes, particularly service exports such as tourism. So the Rugby World Cup is one of the answers, but I would have to say that it is unfortunate that it finishes in October. I also point out that that event is in the low-wage sector. I would say that putting all the eggs in the low-wage sector basket again is ill-advised.

Then we come to what I think the Government is pinning all its hopes on, which is the growth coming out of the Christchurch earthquake. It states: “We have assumed nationwide employment is around 15,000 lower by mid-2011 as a result of the earthquake.” So 15,000 fewer people will be in work. How many jobs has the Government predicted we will see out of the residential rebuild?

ArdernJACINDA ARDERN Link to this

It has predicted 12,500, so we will not even come back to the point at which we have been left as a consequence of the earthquake. In fact, that is a deficit of around 500 jobs. I grant that that is only the residential rebuild. If we chuck on an extra couple of thousand jobs as a result of the wider rebuild, we still are left with, I predict, a 168,000 job deficit.

O'ConnorHon DAMIEN O’CONNOR (Labour) Link to this

This is the first opportunity I have had to speak in this debate. Part 2 deals with KiwiSaver and savings. I point to the regulatory impact statement, where I believe a mistake has been made. It states: “The Government has signalled its desire to focus Budget 2011 on measures which will boost national savings …”. No, it should read: “measures which should boost saving National.”, because that is what the Budget is about.

National claims that this is a savings Budget. I ask what savings are being made. First, will this Budget save opportunities for adults who lost the opportunity to upskill, retrain, and get jobs? In the 2009 Budget the Government slashed adult and community education, and in this Budget it has chopped the opportunity for people aged over 55 to get a student loan. Has the Government saved opportunities for older people in retraining? I say no. Has the Government saved opportunities for middle-income New Zealanders to save with security? I say no, again. What it has done, like Rob Muldoon, is destroy the confidence of middle New Zealanders in the need to save for their retirement—absolutely destroyed it. No, it has not saved the opportunity for those people. Has this Budget saved the opportunity for young families to get affordable early childhood education? No, there are no savings there.

So where has National made savings? Well, the regulatory impact statement is incorrect—this is a “saving National Budget”. I asked where the Government saved. Does this Budget save the $1,000 a week tax cut that John Key got? It did, yes, so maybe that is the saving that National refers to. Did it save access to BMWs with heated seats? Yes, it did. This is the “savings Budget” that we are hearing about. Finally, is this “savings Budget” about whether we can save NZX and the stock market? Well, I say that the answer is yes, because that is about all it does. The sell off, or the mixed-ownership—or the mixed-up ownership—model that the Government proposes for State-owned enterprises is just outrageous. It is about savings; it is about saving the New Zealand Stock Exchange, which has been a poor performer. It is about saving opportunities for the people who got tax cuts in the first National Budget. It is about saving opportunities for them to invest and to make nice, healthy profits through the buy-up of State-owned enterprises. Those are the only savings we are dealing with in this Budget.

Part 2 changes KiwiSaver and undermines people’s security into the future, unless those people had a big tax cut in 2009. The people who got that saving will now have the opportunity to invest in blue-chip Kiwi investments that will deliver them a healthy dividend while the rest of the owners—the present owners, those on lower incomes—will lose ownership to those people. That is an outrage. I say it is immoral. This Budget should be totally rejected. Part 2 is a classic case of injustice, and savings for National, not the national savings that this country could enjoy. It is an outrage, and we should all vote down this bill.

I will do my very best to ensure that the savings we are trying to achieve, which Labour advocates for, are for the people who need them, not for the people who do not. This Budget is about saving National, it is not about saving the nation. That is a huge difference. As people go through the figures—try as the Government might to hide them in these lengthy documents—and as we investigate this Budget, more and more New Zealanders will work out that the regulatory impact statement is worded incorrectly and should read that the Government is determined to have a Budget that will save National.

FossCRAIG FOSS (National—Tukituki) Link to this

I thought the previous speaker, Damien O’Connor, was going to speak on behalf of farmers about the proposed Labour turnover tax, his having a farming background, but I guess we will have to wait for another day.

I will make a couple of points in respect of Part 2, which addresses some changes and enhancements to KiwiSaver. I will note a fact that members may be interested in. There are about 1.7 million New Zealanders, I think, in KiwiSaver right now. It actually begs the question why every New Zealander is not in KiwiSaver, because of the $1,000 upfront signage fee. It is interesting that when KiwiSaver was first announced, the predictions were for about 500,000 to 600,000 sign-ups. It has been a roaring success; no one denies that, and it has been acknowledged that KiwiSaver was brought in by the previous administration, and good on it.

HipkinsChris Hipkins Link to this

Well done, Michael Cullen.

FossCRAIG FOSS Link to this

I say to the younger member over there who was talking about it earlier—

CosgroveHon Clayton Cosgrove Link to this

Oh, you old thing you—you old tumbleweed.

FossCRAIG FOSS Link to this

Well, I am feeling a bit like that at the moment. KiwiSaver has been changed in every single Budget—and probably in between Budgets, actually—under every Government since it was implemented. About half of those who are in KiwiSaver are locked into the 4 percent rate; half of them are locked into paying 4 percent. Even when the employer contribution went down to 2 percent, they stayed at 4 percent. If members opposite go to the data instead of starting down the conspiracy route, or something, they would note that not as many people may be impacted by this change as they fear. Those who are on 2 percent now will in about a year and a half’s time go up to “3 plus 3”, but those on 4 percent will not, I am quite sure, go down to 3 percent. When we start to look at the data we see that the numbers that members opposite are raising over there do not really stand the test of the true facts.

Let me talk about KiwiSaver and what some of these changes are all about, and, in fact, how they link into other changes in the Budget. Here is a very sad but quite brutal fact. Under the Labour administration, who could members of the public in KiwiSaver invest their long-term savings in? Where did their money go? It went to finance companies. It went to failed finance companies. Under Labour they could invest in now failed finance companies, and lose their capital. Under National, via KiwiSaver, they have the opportunity to invest in New Zealand infrastructure, New Zealand energy companies, and a further stake in Air New Zealand, which are solid, secure, and long-term investments.

Hon Members

Good grief!

FossCRAIG FOSS Link to this

They do not like that. The mixed-ownership model is also addressed in the Budget, and it is all linked into changes in and around KiwiSaver. In fact, another fund that has not been mentioned on the other side of the Chamber that KiwiSaver funds will have access to is the Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Fund. Those members do not seem to be talking about that. Some of these changes will help enhance the ability of New Zealanders to invest in the reconstruction of Christchurch quite directly. I think members, on the whole, think that is a good thing, and I ask members on the other side of the Chamber to excuse me if I am misrepresenting them on that one—I certainly do not mean to. I look forward to their speeches on that during the debate on the Taxation (Canterbury Earthquake Measures) Bill, which is coming up next.

There is another way in which this Budget and this bill enhance New Zealanders’ savings. Inflation kills financial assets. Under this Government, and under this Budget, inflation has been well inside the Reserve Bank’s band, enhancing the real value of financial assets and savings. Actually, savings also face a 28 percent tax rate; it no longer is the 33 percent or 39 percent rate that there was under the previous administration. Under the previous administration inflation ran north of 5 percent, eroding and attacking the long-term superannuation savings of New Zealanders.

So I do not understand how members opposite can get up and talk about what their views on savings are, without addressing and acknowledging what this Budget does to improve, maintain, and enhance savings for retirement, and the general savings of all New Zealanders.

HodgsonHon PETE HODGSON (Labour—Dunedin North) Link to this

The member who has just resumed his seat is the chair of the all-powerful Finance and Expenditure Committee. He said that he is very proud because inflation is low. He also said that under the previous Government inflation ran north of 5 percent. Well, in which year—in which year, I ask the chairperson of the Finance and Expenditure Committee? The only year inflation has been at 5 percent is the year we are in now—under his Government. That is the truth of the matter. I could pick on any part of that member’s speech, but the last part of it will do. It was full of factual inaccuracies, as has been the case, commonly, in this debate.

This country went into deficit 3 years ago. On the change of Government 2½ years ago, the big deal, a few months later in April 2009, was tax cuts for the rich. Let me say that again: our nation, our official books, started running at a loss and the big public policy response was to cut tax for the rich—not smart. That is the first point. Therefore, we had to borrow more to pay for those tax cuts than we would have, had we not made those tax cuts. That is just arithmetic.

We are borrowing to pay for tax cuts for rich people. That is irresponsible, it is ideological, it is very expensive, and in Part 1 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill we had a chance to revisit it. We argued it for hours, but the Government said: “No, tax cuts for rich people will stay where they are, we are not going to reverse them.” Governments are reversing tax cuts in many other jurisdictions, but not here. The Government will not reverse tax cuts for the rich. So the Government will have to find money from somewhere else. Therefore, we go to Part 2 of this legislation and find that that money is coming out of Working for Families and we find that it is coming out of KiwiSaver.

Remember that the Government says that it does not like the idea of having to borrow to then put money into KiwiSaver accounts. I will quote the Minister of Finance from his speech. It is a very short quote: “it means the Government is borrowing … to contribute to private savings. This does not lift national savings.” That is what the finance Minister said, and he is correct. If the Government borrows a dollar from offshore and puts it into Clayton Cosgrove’s KiwiSaver account, the national savings are not improved. But nor are they worsened. However, if the Government borrows money and gives it to Clayton Cosgrove as a tax cut, dissaving gets worse. We have a Government whose members say they do not want to borrow to sustain KiwiSaver, in Part 2 of this legislation, but they are really happy to borrow until their eyes water to pay for tax cuts for rich people. That is not fair, that is not just, and that is not right. And I am angry about it.

I will tell members something about KiwiSaver. KiwiSaver is not the preserve of rich people; KiwiSaver is something that everyone uses. Labour members, when we got started, were surprised at how popular KiwiSaver was amongst low-income earners and middle-income earners, as well as high-income earners. I agree with Craig Foss when he says that it is not rational not to have a KiwiSaver account, because one gets a thousand bucks for nothing just to get started. I agree with that. So it stands to reason that KiwiSaver is something that can be found across all parts of society, yet all parts of society will now get it in the neck twice. Less money from the Government will go into KiwiSaver—because the Government cannot bear to borrow for that; it will borrow for tax cuts but it will not borrow for that—and then there will be a requirement for half of the contributors to KiwiSaver to lift their savings from 2 percent to 3 percent, because National members are concerned about savings.

If National members are so concerned about savings, the way to fix that is to lift the minimum contribution rate from 2 percent to 3 percent, or from 2 percent to 4 percent if they wish, and to retain the Government contribution and pay for that by reversing the tax cuts for the rich. It is easy. At that point two things would happen. Our savings would get even better—and, boy, do we know that our savings in this country need to get better, especially in the private sector; we know that. The second thing that would happen, the second leg of the double, is that if the tax cuts for the rich were reversed, the current account and the balance of payments would improve, because rich people spend disproportionately on imports. Why? Because they can—the classic example is an overseas trip.

So if we wanted to look at what this country needs most of all, we would see that, overall, it is to reduce our debt by improving our savings—savings not in the Government’s accounts but across the entire economy, so we can own more and more of our own country instead of less and less of it—and to improve our exports. Part 1 of this legislation, by not reversing tax cuts for the rich, therefore makes the current account worse. Part 2 of this legislation, by not backing Kiwis to save, makes our savings record worse. It is not OK to take a scheme as popular as KiwiSaver and make changes as large as these, twice in 2½ years. That destroys confidence. KiwiSaver is an opt-out scheme so that is a saving grace. It may be that people will just continue to fall into it. But, my goodness, this is an economically reckless Budget, for those reasons.

Let us leave aside the effect the Budget will have on an imagined family with so many kids on so many dollars and what will happen to the family’s amount of money per week. Leave aside all that and sticking only with macro-economics, only with what is good for the nation, I ask why we in this Chamber are under urgency deciding that we will not reverse tax cuts for rich people, thereby not improving our current account and further damaging our savings record, which is appalling. Why has this Government, when faced with the choices of needing to get money from somewhere—we earnestly agree with that; the deficit must come down—chosen that way to do it? What is good about it, apart from the fact that it is ideologically suitable for the Government?

It is ideologically suitable for the Government to use the sophistry that tax cuts are fine because they cause people to somehow create jobs instead of spending money on overseas trips—but who believes that—and that cutting the Crown’s contribution to KiwiSaver is also fine because it is mandated that everyone on a 2 percent contribution rate will lose 1 percent of their income because they will have to go to a 3 percent rate, because that is what the Government says. That is not very bright. It is not very fair—but that is another speech. It is economically dumb, and the Government needs to be told off roundly for its economic stupidity.

Let us have Government members get up and defend the Budget. Let us have them get up instead of lowering their heads—every one of them. Look at them. Not one of them is looking me in the eye. Oh, one or two of them are pretending to now. [Interruption] Well, they are now awakened. Even Rodney Hide is awake. Let one of them take the call now and refute my analysis that this country needs to save more, that this country needs to export more, and that both parts of this bill damage both of those goals. That is the essential thesis.

HenareHon Tau Henare Link to this

I saw Clash of the Titans, and he looks like Hades.

HodgsonHon PETE HODGSON Link to this

I wonder whether Tau Henare would like to get up and refute my analysis. It would be an interesting bit of analysis, from him. Let us just hear what he has to say, or what Rodney Hide has to say—or what anyone else would have to say—about that analysis. It would be far better, given we have a $17 billion deficit, to pay attention to reversing the tax cuts and to retain attention on maintaining savings.

DunneHon PETER DUNNE (Minister of Revenue) Link to this

That superficially plausible analysis from the member who has just resumed his seat, Pete Hodgson, does not actually stack up when we start to look at it. I will go through the arguments that he raised.

Firstly, he said that we should reverse the tax cuts for the rich so that we can pay for what is effectively being reclaimed through KiwiSaver to reduce the deficit. It sounds good on the surface, but it does not work in practice, for this reason: the bulk of the tax cut package was delivered to those who were on the bottom two tax rates. So, in terms of the dollars spent, if his argument has credibility—that that money should not have been spent—in fact the people who would bear the brunt of his policy being implemented would be the very people he is seeking to protect, because in relation to income they benefited most from that tax package in terms of the level of expenditure. He also overlooked the fact that the tax package was revenue-neutral. It was funded by the increase in GST. There was an element between the period from October 2010 to April this year that was covered by some very short-term borrowing, but, fundamentally, it was a revenue-neutral package.

He then turned to KiwiSaver, and talked about—well, I do not think he used the word “destruction”, but that was the clear implication of what he said. Let me go through what the situation is prior to the passage of this Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill, and what it will be after this bill is enacted. As of today, right now, someone joining KiwiSaver joins on the basis of a “2 plus 2” contribution rate—2 percent from the employee and 2 percent from the employer. They qualify for a $1,000 kick-start for their savings. They qualify for a member tax credit of $1,040 on an annual basis. There will be no tax on the employer’s contribution to that superannuation contribution. That is the status quo. The destruction that the member talks about sees the person who starts today still starting on “2 plus 2”. When that was brought in as the default position 2 years ago, the Opposition claimed that it was a cut because it should have stayed at “4 plus 4”. Well, we get the chance in 2013 when we go back to “3 plus 3”, and I do not think those members are really opposed to that. So the person who starts today still starts on “2 plus 2”, and still gets the $1,000 kick-start. That has not changed. The only thing that has changed in terms of the impact on the saver is the change to $521 per annum in the member tax credit. Taken over the life of a KiwiSaver contribution, that has minimal impact on their savings. They still get the same benefit at the point that they get their payout at the age of 65. They also will be satisfied, I think, with the fact that the employer will now be paying tax on the contributions they make.

So the point I am making in response to the member who has just resumed his seat, Pete Hodgson—and he normally is someone who gives considered analysis, and I respect him for that—is that his case is factually incorrect, for the reasons I have stated. What the Government is faced with—and I think it is the one point that everyone seems to agree on—is that a deficit of this size in the unusual circumstances we are in is too high. We need to bring it down. We need to look at introducing what the Leader of the Opposition said were “bold measures” to bring the deficit down. That is what this Budget seeks to do. We have not heard any “bold measures” from the Opposition, other than to raise taxes on the rich. But the point I make is that, given where the balance of the expenditure in the tax cut package last year went, if raising taxes on the rich was to be a “bold measure”, we would actually be raising taxes on everyone, and that is not what the Opposition seems to be arguing for. The KiwiSaver changes have a very small impact on the individual saver but taken collectively they save us about $2.6 billion, which is a significant contribution to reduction of the deficit.

If we look at the changes to Working for Families, we see that in fact the picture becomes even more obscure as far as the Opposition’s position is concerned. The changes in the threshold take 4 years to implement, at the rate of $450 of income per year. The changes in the abatement rate in some cases will take as long as 8 years to implement, and in most cases about 4 years. So these are very modest adjustments. There will still be provision for an increase in the rate of payment according to the existing formula, and that will take place next on 1 April next year.

But, overall, both these sets of changes secure these social policy initiatives for the future. I go back to the point that Jacinda Ardern made a little earlier—and I cannot remember whether it was during the debate on the previous part of the bill or on this part—about her generation. This bill is really about her generation, because one of the great tragedies is that New Zealand for so long has had very short-term, selfish thinking. What these measures are designed to do is protect and enhance KiwiSaver long into the future, and make sure that the basis of Working for Families remains and is beneficial to the families that need it. The tax package that, if you like, lies behind all of that is ensuring a fairer and better system. I come back to the point I made during the debate on Part 1. A situation where 75 percent of New Zealand taxpayers—about 2 million people—pay a top tax rate of just 17.5c in the dollar has got to be good. It is certainly the lowest tax rate paid by those households in the lifetime of anyone in this House, and that is something we should be celebrating, not criticising.

HipkinsCHRIS HIPKINS (Labour—Rimutaka) Link to this

I start by complimenting the Minister in the chair, the Minister of Revenue, who has just resumed his seat, on the very polished way he seamlessly transitioned from defending a previous Labour Government to defending the current National Government. I think I will leave my comments simply at that.

However, I want to pick up a point made by Craig Foss. It was ironic for Craig Foss, a National member of Parliament, to stand up in this debate on Part 2 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill and talk about the failed finance companies and the people who have lost their savings, given that National has had 2½ years to do something about that and has done absolutely nothing. But then, that could have something to do with the fact that half of them used to work for the failed finance companies. It is a bit rich for National members to say they will deal with the failed finance companies by hocking off the State-owned enterprises—that is effectively what Craig Foss argued in this Chamber.

I want to pick up the issues around KiwiSaver, and in particular the changes to the member tax credit. This Government will be effectively cutting it in half. But before I do that I want to pick up a comment from the speech made by the Minister of Finance in the House yesterday. People will find the comment on page 27, in the Budget speech—and it also relates to KiwiSaver. He states: “The Government will require agencies to fund the cost of KiwiSaver, and some State sector retirement schemes for their employees. This will generate savings of $650 million.” We should think very carefully about what that actually means. It means that those State sector agencies that will have to pay their share of the cost of KiwiSaver are effectively having their funding cut by $650 million. So if somebody is working in a large social policy area where the salary costs are high—for example, education or health—their funding, in real terms, will be cut, because they will now have to meet the cost of the employer contribution to KiwiSaver. That is a real-terms funding cut. So when the Government talks about increasing funding for areas like health and education, I point out that a big chunk of it is already taken up by the other changes it is making in the area of superannuation, and it is not being upfront and transparent about that. It is a sort of a triple whammy.

I come back to the issue of the tax credit. Let us take the example of someone in the education field, a teacher, for example, who signed up for KiwiSaver. They will find that their member tax credit gets cut in half by the Government. Clause 7 addresses this issue. The tax credit will go down from $1,042.86 to $521.43. Basically, the member tax credit is cut in half. Then they find that the funding of the employer’s contribution means that other parts of their work are being cut—suddenly the money to fund the employer contribution has to be found from somewhere else because the Government has hacked away at that, as well. So they are getting a double whammy. If the Government is taking $650 million out of the employer side of the contributions to KiwiSaver, that has to come from somewhere else. I see the Minister of Revenue shaking his head. I simply turn his attention to the Budget statement on page 27 of the Budget documents. If I have interpreted that wrongly, I would welcome him standing up and clarifying it. I think that is the only way it can be clarified. If the Government is requiring agencies to fund the cost of KiwiSaver, saving $650 million, that money has to come from somewhere else, so that money has to be a cut in real terms. If I have interpreted it wrongly, I look forward to the Minister of Revenue’s clarification of it in his contribution to this debate.

National went into the last election promising New Zealanders that it could afford tax cuts and that nothing else would change. There would be no changes to KiwiSaver other than the changes National foreshadowed in its election manifesto. National said it would not cut Working for Families and it would not cut interest-free student loans. National has broken those promises in this year’s Budget. Here we go again, particularly when it comes to retirement savings. National has a very proud history of taking very good savings schemes introduced under a Labour Government and ripping the guts out of them. That is exactly what Rob Muldoon did in the 1970s after a very good savings scheme was put in place by the Norm Kirk Labour Government. Rob Muldoon bribed New Zealanders with their own money in order to win the 1975 election and sabotaged New Zealand’s savings for over two decades after that. The last Labour Government started to deal with that by introducing KiwiSaver, and, once again, we are seeing the National Government ripping the guts out of it. This is National’s pattern when it comes to savings.

It is a bit rich for Bill English to stand up in this House and bemoan our poor savings record when, as the Minister of Finance, he has consistently undermined it. The first thing he did was to cut the minimum contribution to KiwiSaver in half, from 4 percent to 2 percent. He cut funding for the New Zealand Superannuation Fund. He stopped putting away the funding to pay for the baby boomers’ retirement. Then he turned round and said we had a terrible record of saving for retirement. The Government is not leading by example—but then this Government never leads by example. It tells everybody else that they have to stomach cuts but it is never willing to cut the money it spends on itself. The Government is happy to have new BMWs, new carpet, and so on. The Government is not willing to lead by example, particularly when it comes to savings. The Labour Government led by example when it came to savings. We set up the KiwiSaver scheme and we put the member tax credits and the kickstart in it. We led by example when it came to savings by setting up the Cullen fund, the New Zealand Superannuation Fund, to pay for the baby boomers’ retirement. They are both things that this Government is kicking the guts out of and hacking into.

This Budget has no real vision for the future, and no real plan to get New Zealand moving. It has no real plan to make sure New Zealanders can live a comfortable and safe retirement. It is not there; I have read it. I spent the evening last night sitting in the Chamber reading through the documentation. There is no plan. This must be one of the blandest Budgets; all the Government is doing is cutting: cut here, cut there, cut here, cut there. There are lots of cuts and lots of pain but no real gain. New Zealanders at home will be asking about the gain and the plan. The Government is asking New Zealanders to stomach all these cuts, but New Zealanders are not seeing any light at the end of the tunnel. This Government has mismanaged the economy. It has taken it from a surplus of $5 billion to $7 billion every year to one of the biggest deficits ever recorded in New Zealand’s history. That is what we get with Bill English as the Minister of Finance. He failed when he was the Minister of Finance the first time round in the last National Government, and he has failed again in the tenure of this Government. That is one of the reasons why New Zealanders are going to vote out this Government at the coming election. I tell members that the feedback that has been coming overwhelmingly in the last couple of days is that people have changed their minds about National because of what it is doing to KiwiSaver. New Zealanders know how important KiwiSaver is to the future of this country, and this Government is kicking the guts out of it. This Government is kicking the guts out of KiwiSaver, and I think that is totally wrong. It is short-sighted, and that pretty much sums up the Government’s approach.

The Government is also getting into Working for Families. What was National’s promise before the last election? What was the absolute promise of John Key? He told New Zealanders that National would not touch Working for Families. Hang on a minute, I think there is even a pledge card with the promise on it not to touch Working for Families. It was on a pledge card, but it is not even worth the paper it was written on. It was headed up with the words “My key commitments to you”. I think that National, after this Budget, has broken just about every one of those promises. I do not think there is a single commitment left on that pledge card, with John Key’s signature on it, that he has not broken. He has broken almost every one of them, and I think that is absolutely outrageous. That is one of the things New Zealanders will be keeping in mind when it comes to voting at the next election. They can vote for Labour, which keeps its promises and makes promises we know we can afford, or they can vote for National, which promises before an election whatever it needs to in order to get elected, and then does whatever it wants once it gets the Treasury benches. Nothing sums that up more than the two major changes being made in this part of the bill. There are the cuts to KiwiSaver, which kick the guts out of the Government’s contribution to KiwiSaver. The Government says to New Zealanders that it wants them to save, but it is not willing to do its bit. And the Government is cutting Working for Families, even though it promised it would not do that. Working for Families was another initiative introduced during the term of the last Labour Government. That initiative lifted hundreds of thousands of New Zealand children out of poverty, which is something we on this side of the Chamber are incredibly proud of and will continue to defend right the way to the very bitter end. Working for Families is a good policy. It recognises the fact that those families raising kids face higher costs, and that we as a society should help with them.

MoroneySUE MORONEY (Labour) Link to this

The Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill, which we have in front of us, and Part 2 in particular show just how much of a failure yesterday’s Budget was. We always expect to be debating taxation after a Budget, and this bill allows for that debate. But if yesterday’s Budget was a fair Budget, then we would be debating the $9.1 billion that was given away in tax cuts in the last Budget to the top 10 percent of wage earners in this country. I think everyone believes and knows that, yes, we are in tough fiscal times. The Government has not been able to grow the economy—it has not risen to that challenge—and we have very difficult fiscal times in New Zealand because of the economic mismanagement of the current Government. But we all accept that that is where we are. If that is the case and we all have to tighten our belts, then why is it that this bill asks only hard-working New Zealand families to tighten their belts while the top 10 percent of wage earners continue to have $9.1 billion worth of tax cuts untouched, even in these tough economic times.

That goes to the basic unfairness of what this Government is doing. It means that the Prime Minister, John Key, gets to keep the additional $1,000 a week that he got in last year’s tax cuts. That figure is more than some people earn a week, but that is how much extra he got in tax cuts from last year’s Budget. He gets to keep that, but hard-working New Zealanders get to pay for that Government’s folly by having their money for KiwiSaver cut in this Budget. Hard-working wage earners are the people who will suffer through this part of this bill, because this part attacks KiwiSaver and Working for Families.

It is absolutely clear by now that only a Labour-led Government can save KiwiSaver. This Government is not interested in saving KiwiSaver. Ever since this Government took office, it has diminished KiwiSaver from every single angle it possibly can. The Government started off diminishing KiwiSaver by cutting its contributions in half, from a 4 percent contribution down to a 2 percent contribution. Immediately on taking office, this Government cut KiwiSaver in half.

But not content with that, the very next thing the Government did, with regard to superannuation and the future of savings in this country, was to immediately suspend payments and contributions from the taxpayer into the New Zealand Superannuation Fund, which is the fund on which there was a multiparty agreement that we would continue to put money in, in order to make sure that when we, the baby boomers, got to the age of receiving superannuation, there would be enough money in the Government coffers to pay for that. Forward thinking by Michael Cullen had led to a multiparty accord to forward-fund the scheme, so that there would be money in the scheme for all of us, when, as baby boomers, we needed that money for superannuation. But this Government took the knife to that accord as soon as it took office. In respect of the multiparty agreement, the ink was hardly dry when the new Government came into place, and it broke that accord straight away.

The Government’s record on superannuation is terrible, and it continues with Part 2. The Government is saying that times are tough, that it has not been able to get its act together, that it has not been able to grow the economy, and that it does not have the lift it has been promising now for 2½ years. The lift in the economy is still not with us, so the Government has had to start taking the knife to Government spending.

Where are the areas that the Government has chosen to cut? They have not chosen the area of tax cuts for very, very high earners in this country—tax cuts for the wealthy. We will not hear any member of the Government, any member on that side of the Chamber, even mention the word. It is like not mentioning the war, when those members pretend that people did not get those huge tax cuts in the last Budget. Although the Government pretends that everyone has to tighten their belts, that certainly is not the case for all New Zealanders. For the vast majority, New Zealanders are finding the current economic situation very, very tough indeed.

BurnsBRENDON BURNS (Labour—Christchurch Central) Link to this

I hope that I might get a chance later in this debate to talk about the Working for Families components of Part 2 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill.

Hon Member

That’ll be a good call.

BurnsBRENDON BURNS Link to this

I hope so, too. I will focus my first comments on the changes to KiwiSaver. I note the press release from the Minister of Finance and the Minister in the chair, the Minister of Revenue, about how changes to KiwiSaver “will encourage a higher level of private savings.” That is the opening line of the media statement accompanying the Budget yesterday, but I will refer to the regulatory impact statement, prepared by Treasury and the Inland Revenue Department, that analyses this bill. I note this comment on the opening page of the regulatory impact statement: “Our analysis of the options is therefore dependent on behavioural assumptions, for which there is minimal empirical evidence, about individuals’ and employers’ responses to changes in saving incentives and other regulatory requirements.” In other words, Treasury and the Inland Revenue Department say there is no empirical evidence about the changes made in this bill, or the impact the bill will provide in terms of the overall savings of New Zealanders. I note further their comments that “KiwiSaver is less than five years old. Since its launch … there have been several significant changes to contribution requirements,”—and I tell members that most of them have been made by this Government—and KiwiSaver has not had the time or “any period of stability in which to establish its core products, and this uncertainty and unpredictability is not helpful to either the industry or savers.” That was Treasury and the Inland Revenue Department commenting on this bill, and officials never highlight their comments. They do not put them in strong language, but we can read the tone of those comments. They are saying that they have severe doubts about this bill and its impact on national savings.

I will quote further from the regulatory impact statement. On page 5 it is stated: “The objectives for any changes to KiwiSaver are: to help return the Crown to surplus sooner by reducing the fiscal costs of KiwiSaver, and; to continue to encourage increased levels of private household savings … Each of the options for change … was assessed against a matrix of criteria:”. But then the regulatory impact statement states: “In making this assessment, the strongest weight was given to measures which reduced fiscal costs,”. So the Government has really put to one side the questions about what impact the cuts to KiwiSaver will have both to KiwiSaver and to overall savings by New Zealanders—not the Crown’s savings, but the savings regime of New Zealanders.

Treasury and the Inland Revenue Department go further. They have analysed the impact of the halving of the minimum tax credit, which until next year New Zealanders enjoy under KiwiSaver. They say that it “Will make KiwiSaver less attractive,”. They say it “May mean fewer savings directed from other forms of savings,”. They say, in respect of increasing the employer contribution upwards to 3 percent, that an “Increase in employer costs [is] likely to lead to reduced business profitability in [the] short term, and lower wages over the longer term.”

If we want evidence of that, we should look at One News from last night. Alasdair Thompson from the Northern Employers and Manufacturers Association said that employees will meet that increase out of any wage increases. When employees are already facing 5 percent inflation at the moment, they are going to be told: “Sorry, the Government has told us that we have to contribute more to KiwiSaver. You are going to pay the cost.” What does that say to people who are living on the margins? What does that say to them about encouraging them to invest in their future by putting something aside? The whole damn basis of this Budget was supposed to be to stimulate savings, but Treasury and the Inland Revenue Department are saying that we will see that come only at the cost of lower wages. Where is the gain in that?

I will make a final comment from the regulatory impact statement. Treasury and the Inland Revenue Department say that the increase in employee contribution rates to 3 percent may make some people “stop contributing,”. That is Treasury’s and the Inland Revenue Department’s analysis of this bill. They say, in essence, that there are some high risks the bill will discourage people from saving. We know, and this Government puts at the centre—[Interruption]—Mr Chair, Mr Chair—

RoyThe CHAIRPERSON (Eric Roy) Link to this

Look, do not yell at me. I am allowed to ponder to make sure I get it right.

BurnsBRENDON BURNS Link to this

Thank you, Mr Chair. I promise, Mr Chair, I will never shout at you again, because you are a Chair who makes excellent judgments—almost all of the time.

RoyThe CHAIRPERSON (Eric Roy) Link to this

Careful!

BurnsBRENDON BURNS Link to this

I make reference to another aspect of this Budget. Supposedly, we are trying to get to a position of better national savings, but the Budget figures show that instead of seeing a decrease in the growth of national debt—that is, the money borrowed by New Zealanders overseas and repatriated by companies making investments here and repatriating profits—this Budget’s figures show an increase, from this year’s minus 78 percent of GDP to minus 85 percent of GDP in 2015. So where is the gain for us?

I note the comments of Ganesh Nana from Business and Economic Research Ltd this morning. He analysed the Budget. He looked at the fact that in its text there were 19 references to “debt” and 2 references to “exports”—19 references to “debt” and 2 references to “exports”. The whole focus of this Budget is on cutting, not growing. It is on cutting, not growing. I refer to the comments just received from the Manufacturers and Exporters Association: “The Budget has targeted balancing the books but missed out on balancing the economy by sparking growth in the tradables sector. The Budget focused on cutting costs through to cuts to KiwiSaver and Working for Families.” That is what the national organisation said; it is based in Christchurch but represents manufacturers and exporters nationally. It said there are cuts to the costs of KiwiSaver and Working for Families, but little detail on how to increase growth or shift the balance of the economy towards savings and exports, as the Government has talked about.

We are getting the rhetoric about growing the productive sector and growing the economy, but, in fact, the Government is coming back to the traditional Tory method of cutting, and cutting back on those who are least able to contribute. It is cutting back on working families, on people who have been encouraged, supported, and told they needed to save. They have been encouraged to do that through KiwiSaver, yet there is nothing in the Budget to encourage them; in fact, it is absolutely the opposite. We will see, I am sure, a downturn in people joining and contributing to KiwiSaver, which will be to our net cost as a nation.

I will comment further, and on the sale of State-owned enterprises. I say that not only do I believe that we will see asset sales of State-owned enterprises if a National Government is re-elected but also I note that in the Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Act there is a capacity for the sale of assets that are held currently by the Christchurch City Council. The issue has been aerated publicly over the last couple of weeks. Minister Brownlee confirmed that the capacity is there; it is included in the powers of that Act for the sale of Christchurch’s $2.2 billion worth of assets, including our power company, Orion, our port, and our airport. But I say to the Government that if it starts to look to those assets in terms of sales, it will be doing a disservice that will completely undermine the efforts made on the other side of the ledger in terms of the recovery of Christchurch.

We acknowledge that the Government has stepped up and is putting in place a regime to rebuild Christchurch. That is welcome. But I put this rider on it: if a re-elected National Government starts to use the powers in the Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Act to start selling off the assets of Christchurch, it will have a civil outbreak on its hands that it would not believe. The people of Christchurch know that those assets have delivered over the long term. One of them alone, Orion, has delivered $980 million in dividends—nearly $1 billion in dividends—to the ratepayers of Christchurch over the last 20 years. We know, through this Budget explicitly, that a National Government, if re-elected, will embark on an asset-sales programme next year. It is there in black and white. If members think it is bad enough putting into hock State-owned enterprises like Meridian Energy, Might River Power, and Genesis, they will see nothing in comparison, in terms of public revolt, if the Government tries to sell the assets of Christchurch.

Lotu-IigaPESETA SAM LOTU-IIGA (National—Maungakiekie) Link to this

It is a real privilege to speak on Part 2 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill. We have heard this morning from a number of contributors across the aisle. We have heard the type of negativity that pervades the Labour Party at the moment. We have heard speeches that have not set out any vision for this country, but speeches that appeal to the rabid left—anarchists, communists, socialists, and the lazy.

This Budget has confirmed the competent management that Bill English has displayed in the 2½ years since National took power. We know that the Budget is about setting a credible path to a surplus and helping to lift national savings. We have heard about the changes to KiwiSaver and how they will increase private savings through contributions that are, we might add, from employers and employees. What has not been mentioned by members opposite has been the context in which we find ourselves in May 2011. When we took power 2½ years ago there was a global economic recession. It has bitten many countries.

We heard from the Leader of the Opposition yesterday that this recession is over. Yet we look at countries like the United Kingdom that are going through massive changes and upheaval to their social services and their budgets, and we see that this Government has taken a very firm but very fair and balanced approach to our Budget. Although we hear complaints about the types of policies that aim at the fringes, what we really have is a Government committed to boosting investment in our health and education services. That is something we will not resile from.

We have heard questioning regarding facts. The Opposition continues to advocate taxation of revenue and sales, it advocates increasing taxes on high-income earners, and it seems to be focused on those who earn $1 million, but it has not presented any of the facts. The facts are that in the year to March 2009, only 597 people earned over $1 million—597. Labour members stand here whining and moaning about 597 people who earn over $1 million a year. Of those people, only 120 are salary and wage earners—120. There is all that energy over 120 people.

What Labour members do not realise is that there are people who earn high incomes who provide jobs and provide opportunities. Those people are entrepreneurs, who are investing in productive assets. Yes, it is about investing in the productive assets that will earn the export dollars that will push this economy forward. We have not heard anything from that party opposite, which governed during the best years of our economy, yet exports decreased for 5 consecutive years. We have not heard anyone from that party come up with any answers as to why that happened.

RobertsonGrant Robertson Link to this

Because it didn’t.

Lotu-IigaPESETA SAM LOTU-IIGA Link to this

It did happen. The biggest business in town under the Labour Government was Government services—sad but true. Mr Hodgson, who spoke earlier this morning, asked where the innovation is. I am a little bit disappointed in Mr Hodgson, because when he was the Minister for Economic Development he was the biggest cheerleader for exporters, for productive businesses, and for innovators. Now he sits there and asks where the innovation is. I will tell members where it is. If any member opposite wants to see innovation, I ask them to come to Maungakiekie to visit some of the success stories. I ask them to please come and visit Rakon and Compac Sorting Equipment—businesses that are growing into export markets. Grant Robertson would not know that, because the biggest business in his electorate is what? It is Government services. That is right, it is Government services. When we went to the innovation awards with Mr Hodgson, what did we see? We saw the best in innovation from New Zealanders. We saw Phil Keoghan, of the creative industries. We saw Bruce Farr of Farr Yacht Design. We saw diabetes researchers.

Members opposite sit there and ask where the innovation is. I tell them it is out there. I encourage them to leave their electorate offices, visit some businesses and see what makes this economy really grow, see the people who hire others, and see where the jobs are. I encourage members opposite to get their facts straight and stop advocating taxing overseas trips, stop advocating the taxing of sales of businesses, stop advocating a capital gains tax, and actually present something with a vision. Thank you.

StreetHon MARYAN STREET (Labour) Link to this

It is my pleasure to participate for the first time in this debate, in looking at Part 2 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill. There are a couple of points that I will make, but with reference to the member who has just resumed his seat, Peseta Sam Lotu-Iiga, and some of the other National members who spoke yesterday, I will just remind them that the 9 years of the Labour Government were spent in improving New Zealand’s export opportunities. I ask what those members call the Free Trade Agreement between the Government of New Zealand and the Government of the People’s Republic of China, an agreement that, although some members opposite wish to contest the fact, was signed by the Hon Phil Goff as Minister of Trade. The agreement has resulted, in its first year—no thanks to this Government—in a 62 percent increase in dairy exports alone, not to mention forestry as well. That member opposite needs to get some facts straight about who laid the groundwork for growth.

This Budget goes in exactly the opposite direction. This is a stifling Budget. It is a stifling Budget that does not promote growth. Members opposite had 9 long years in Opposition—9 long years, as they like to say—to come up with a plan for economic growth and for some new, fresh ideas about how to pull this country out of the financial crisis and into growth and recovery. But what did we get? We got the same tired old recipe that we got in the 1990s. We got asset sales and tax cuts. Those members have done the tax cuts, and now in this Budget they are promising to do the asset sales.

In this Budget, and in the part of the bill that is under consideration at the moment, we have the technical bits about cutting KiwiSaver and Working for Families. In 2008 John Key went around this country saying to the people of New Zealand: “You like KiwiSaver; we will keep KiwiSaver. You like Working for Families; we will keep Working for Families. You like New Zealand superannuation; we will keep New Zealand superannuation.” But what did the National Government do? From day one it began to gut all three of those great innovations of the previous Labour Government.

The talk about needing to change our culture to a savings culture, with this bill in front of us, is simply that—it is talk. The cuts to KiwiSaver provide disincentives for people to join the scheme, and disincentives for people to continue their savings. They do not create the kinds of growth and savings that are required if we are to have the investment in jobs and people that is sorely needed for the productive economy in New Zealand.

I will turn now to something to do with the context in which this bill is set. Towards the back of one of the documents we were issued yesterday, the one that contains the speech made by the Minister of Finance, there are assumptions that underpin his speech and this Budget. They are included in upside and downside scenarios. I would like to accentuate the positive and talk about the upside scenario, but draw to the Committee’s attention how deeply, deeply flawed that scenario is. If the upside scenario is flawed, what hope is there for anything good to be done by this Government for our economy? The upside scenario states that it “incorporates a stronger economic recovery led by domestic drivers … with commodity exporters anticipating permanently higher returns and households more confident in house price rises.” It goes on to state: “At the same time, house prices are slightly stronger, growing 5% by mid-2012, rather than 1.8% as in the main forecasts. Higher house prices in the near term reflect current low interest rates and developing housing …”—

RoyThe CHAIRPERSON (Eric Roy) Link to this

I will give the member another call, but I just want to make a comment. Part 2 is about Working for Families and KiwiSaver, but each member has just got a little broader and a little broader again. Although it is very interesting, some of it does not have a lot to do with Part 2. I am not directing these comments specifically at the member who was speaking, although she is perpetrating that as much as some other members have done. I just caution the Committee that I think the debate should be crisply around those issues. Members can make their comparisons, but the issue is Working for Families and KiwiSaver.

StreetHon MARYAN STREET Link to this

Thank you, Mr Chair, and I intend absolutely to abide by your advice. The point about referring to this upside scenario is that it is to do with household income, and Working for Families and KiwiSaver are directly related to household incomes. Let me just make the point. The upside scenario states: “Higher house prices in the near term reflect current low interest rates and developing housing shortages, lifting household wealth.” Excuse me! Does anybody else here hear echoes of a couple of old names, like Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac? Does anybody else hear echoes of the 2000s when household wealth was predicated on the high value of houses, which in turn produced its own credit bubble, and which was then the precipitator of the global financial crisis? My point is that if this is the upside scenario, then God protect us from the downside one! This is going back to the future, and the way it relates to this bill is that for many people—and I think of many families in the Nelson electorate—household income has been dependent upon the supplement of Working for Families. When that is eroded, household income is eroded. The chance to buy the first home is whittled away even further, and escapes further from the grasp of first-home owners. So we have a Budget and a tax bill that are predicated on scenarios that are just not sustainable.

The other thing I want to say about Working for Families and KiwiSaver is that the cuts to the public sector that are represented in the Budget by KiwiSaver contributions having to be found out of baseline in the public service, represent for the foreseeable future no wage increase in the public sector. That pertains to household income. Not only will there be a reduction in household income because State sector bosses will have to find the KiwiSaver contribution from baseline and make $630 million - odd of savings but also there will be cuts to services in order to find the other $320 million—$330 million, or whatever it is—that makes up the nearly $1 billion worth of cuts. This is where KiwiSaver changes impact absolutely on household income. There will have to be trade-offs for no wage increases. If those savings are to be extracted—one might say extorted—from the public sector, then that will make a dramatic impact on what families can earn, and can expect to earn, in the near future.

This is a Budget, and this is a bill, that cuts at the heart of how people in New Zealand make ends meet. It cuts to the heart of family budgets. It cuts to the heart of services that families might legitimately expect in a country such as ours. One cannot pretend, by any stretch of the imagination, that this Budget and this bill represent a plan for growth or a plan for recovery. This is the same old tired stuff that National trawled out in the 1990s. It is doctored up, because there are some better programmes in place now than there were in the 1990s, but it has the same tired, old, failed policies. These cuts will not produce growth. These cuts will not do what that member opposite said was one of the aims—to stimulate the productive economy. Limiting KiwiSaver does not incentivise people to save. It does not provide us with the capital market and the investment potential that we so need to put into our productive enterprises in this country. This is a cutting Budget. It is not a plan for growth. Any plan for growth has completely escaped this Government.

CurranCLARE CURRAN (Labour—Dunedin South) Link to this

I am pleased to speak on Part 2 of the Taxation (Annual Rates and Budget Measures) Bill, as it relates to the cuts to KiwiSaver and Working for Families. This Government makes stuff up, and that is what this Budget is based on. We have heard so much stuff that has been made up. In the time I have been sitting in the Chamber this morning I have heard a lot of it. Before the Budget was released, a few days ago a headline in one of the newspapers said this Budget would be about higher wages and more jobs. What a load of rubbish; absolutely. We have heard today that this Budget is about protecting the next generation. What a load of rubbish that is. Where are the jobs for that generation? Where are the decent wages? What is to stop them from going overseas? That is one of the major issues this Budget should have addressed. We have heard also from another member, who claims that there is so much innovation happening in New Zealand right now as a result of his Government. What a load of rubbish that is. There is nothing in this Budget that promotes innovation, will promote jobs, and will promote strong export-led industries, which is what this country needs. Instead, we have cuts to KiwiSaver and cuts to Working for Families, which is what Part 2 is about, instead of the Budget providing the things we need most. John Key was on Radio Dunedin this morning, just a few minutes before I was. He was asked where these 170,000 jobs would be coming from. He fudged it. He did not have an answer, because there is no answer from this Government in this Budget.

This Budget should have been about hope. It should have given people hope for the future that things will get better, that they will be able to pay their bills, that they are not going backwards, and, worse still, that they will not end up in financial strife. They should have been given hope that their kids will get jobs when they leave school, and that they will not go to Australia. Unfortunately, the Budget is about cuts—cuts to KiwiSaver. KiwiSaver is growing, and is actually giving people an incentive to save. It will provide certainty for people’s futures. But instead we are seeing cuts, we are seeing the burden placed on employees and employers, and we are not, as members have heard from previous speakers on this side of the Chamber, going to see wage growth. Government members are making stuff up. It is not too much to ask for a Budget to provide hope, for a Budget that gives us hope as nation. A Budget that will set a course for the future will show us where those jobs of the future will come from.

Peter Dunne earlier in this debate talked about equity. Equity for whom, I thought to myself—equity for whom? It is not equity for all those hundreds of thousands of families across the country who are struggling with their budgets every week—every week. The do not know whether they will be able to afford pay their bills: their telephone bills and electricity bills, their rent or mortgages—the bills they have to pay—let alone petrol and their food bills. They are not bills just for buying new clothes or going on a holiday but the bills they have to pay to get through the week, and through the month. Where does this Budget address that issue? Nowhere; instead it is a Budget that just makes stuff up. It forecast 170,000 jobs—170,000 jobs. Where will they come from? I heard what Stuart Nash said earlier on today about the forestry sector, and that jobs are going in that sector. We heard that John Key talked about commodity prices strengthening, and therefore jobs will come from that. Where will the jobs come from? They will not come from the manufacturing industry, let me tell members. If this Government actually invested some money instead of cutting KiwiSaver and cutting Working for Families, if this Government invested some money in this economy in a way that actually stimulated the economy and stimulated skills in the economy—

DunneHon PETER DUNNE (Minister of Revenue) Link to this

I am glad the member who has just resumed her seat, Clare Curran, talked about making up stuff, because there has been a lot of that going on from that side of the Chamber during this morning’s debate. Earlier we heard from Sue Moroney, who talked about reversing the $9.1 billion of tax cuts to top-income earners.

[... plus a further 102 contributions not shown here]

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