Hon Dr MICHAEL CULLEN (Minister of Finance) Link to this
It is with great pleasure that I move, That the Taxation (Personal Tax Cuts, Annual Rates, and Remedial Matters) Bill be now read a third time. What a fun time we have had in the House since about 5 o’clock yesterday! The National Party started off looking like a bunch of rabbits that had just been rolled over. Mr English told National members not to promise anything, because Dr Cullen had actually spent up to the limit. That line was held to very strictly by National Party members for at least 10 to 15 minutes of the debate; they could talk about anything else, but they could not make promises. But then Lockwood Smith PhD took over the running of the campaign, and, suddenly, National Party members were fiscally camping it up all over the place as the debate proceeded from then on. He is the man who staunchly opposed the Working for Families package, saying it was a terrible insult to New Zealand families. Now, it is pretty good, and the National Party is supporting the enhancements in this particular bill. Before we had this bill, he said that Working for Families was an insult to the average working New Zealander—an insult, a terrible thing.
We have learnt that National Party members have an obsession with cheese. I get the impression—I thought it was only Gerry Brownlee, but apparently it is all of them—that their every spare penny is spent on cheese. And they eat it! That party over there is the “Bigger Block Party”. When something goes up in price, people should buy more of it. That is the attitude of those members towards family budgets. People should not buy chicken, fruit, veges, or something else that has not gone up in price; they should buy more cheese. That is those members’ approach to life.
Throughout this debate, we have learnt some wonderful things. While National Party members have been arguing away in here, and, indeed, have been fighting to the death a bill they support, right down to the final moment—and they will be gone by lunchtime today; they will go off to explain to people that, in fact, they support this bill to the death, and will continue to do so—Mr Key has been out there giving interviews. Mr Key giving an interview is always an exercise in watching the changing picture as it moves along. In the immortal words of John Campbell, he is “as slippery as a snake in wet grass.”, unable to give a clear answer on anything. Mr Key has given quite different answers from the answers that Dr Lockwood Smith is giving. Dr Lockwood Smith tells us that this tax package is nothing like big enough. It has to be much bigger to satisfy Dr Lockwood Smith; at least three blocks of cheese have to be in this tax package, for Dr Lockwood Smith to be satisfied. But the economists are saying that the fiscal package is a bit too stimulatory.
Hon Dr MICHAEL CULLEN Link to this
“Really.”, he says. Yes! That is the trouble with his standing in front of the mirror, practising his poses for the House—he forgets to listen to what people are saying out there. When he promises huge blocks of cheese for everybody on 1 April next year, he had better understand that they cannot be paid for.
How will National Party members pay for all of that? They said, firstly, that they will not rebuild Government House. Well, that is fine, but it will fall down around their ears if they do not rebuild it. Secondly—and Mr Peters was not here for this—the other great offer-up to pay for much bigger tax cuts is to cancel the increased funding for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade.
Hon Dr MICHAEL CULLEN Link to this
Well, as soon as National Party members become the Government—if they become the Government—that is the plan. I thought that Winston Peters—in case he had some plans about possible arrangements with other political parties—might want to be forewarned, in order to have ready the arguments necessary to support his stance on that. Dr Lockwood Smith is happy for Winston Peters to be just the member for Tauranga, but he might have other ideas in that regard.
We learnt more from Mr Key today. We learnt today that Mr Key is now saying he will not change one bit of the Working for Families package. Did Dr Lockwood Smith know that Mr Key had said that? He would not change it one bit. He says that it is badly structured, but he will not change it. That is a man with ambition. He is surrounded with things he thinks are badly structured, and he says: “I will not change them. I am firm in my resolve to make no impact upon this country, moving forward.” That is our friend the Leader of the Opposition.
And he said clearly that he will not repeal the first tranche of tax cuts. That is brave. They will be in force on 1 October; it is a bit hard to repeal them. What he did not say was that he would keep the second and third tranches. What he did say was: “Well, we may have bigger tax cuts, but they may not be more expensive.” He said that on the radio this morning: “Well, we may have bigger tax cuts, but they may not be more expensive.” I can see Mr Tremain trying hard to understand that; he is working out how to get his 4 percent on that particular statement—if he is ever in a National Government. Well, it does not add up, except if one changes the second and third tranches of this package, takes away the increase in the bottom threshold, and redistributes it upwards; then there can be a bigger tax cut at the top end that is not more expensive. So the workers will not get more cheese, at all—no, not even enough for a mousetrap. There will be no more cheese at all, but the big cheeses will get all the blocks that are going. That will be the National Party programme running into the election.
Of course, National Party members have also said they will not announce their programme until 4 weeks out from the election. By then there will have been a pre-election fiscal update. They had better be careful about what that might say to them, as well, about the forward fiscal position. I think it is time for National to start listening to Bill English’s caution, rather than following the gambling instincts of Mr Key in this respect.
We also learnt from Mr Key in the New Zealand Herald this morning that Government spending is nice, but it is sometimes a luxury. What does that mean? In respect of early childhood education, is it 20 hours’ free education? Is it support for KiwiSaver? Is it the money to reduce class sizes for new entrants? Is it the money for the cancer vaccine for women? Is it the money for the oral health of children and adolescents? Is it the money that the district health boards require to continue to maintain their services? You see, there is not much point in people having an extra half a block of cheese if they cannot afford to go to the doctor to discuss their obesity problems. There is not much point in it, at all.
That is where the National Party is getting it all wrong. Those members do not understand the importance to ordinary families of not being able to afford to go to the doctor, of worrying about it costing too much, with the result that they do not go and the kids’ illnesses get worse; of worrying about the cost of prescriptions, with the result that they do not have scripts filled and they do not take the medicines that they need to take; and of worrying about the cost of sending their kids to early childhood education, with the result that their kids do not go, and they do not get a good start in life compared with kids from more affluent backgrounds. All of those things matter. Ordinary families do not want to worry about their future retirement income; they do not want to feel unable to afford to save, with the result that in retirement they do not have as good a standard of living as other people do.
We learnt also, from Mr Tremain, that the National Party does not oppose these tax cuts; it just opposes the Budget. Well, what else in the Budget do National Party members oppose? Which bit of this Budget do they oppose, apart from the tax cuts?
Hon Dr MICHAEL CULLEN Link to this
Oh, they oppose the broadband roll-out. They oppose a much more efficient way of leveraging broadband growth than throwing $1.5 billion at Telecom New Zealand. They always were the political wing of Telecom, and they still are the political wing of Telecom within Parliament. Maurice Williamson has always been the bought and paid for “MP for Telecom” within this House. Our programme of broadband will—for much less money—leverage a result that is just as good, in a more competitive environment, and that is more technology neutral. So those members should not say that they oppose that one. And they are proposing to spend over a billion dollars more on broadband than the Labour-led Government is planning to spend.
So is it the money for health? Is it the money for education? Is it the money to improve the lives of superannuitants? What in this Budget do the National Party members oppose? When we know that, we will know what they will take off the great bulk of families in New Zealand to make life worse for them, then say: “Please be grateful; we have bought you another block of cheese.”
Dr the Hon LOCKWOOD SMITH (National—Rodney) Link to this
We would have thought that in that 10-minute third reading speech on the Taxation (Personal Tax Cuts, Annual Rates, and Remedial Matters) Bill, Dr Cullen may have just said something in defence of his tax cut package. Did he say anything, at all, to defend his package? Not a thing! He just gave personal abuse. You know, it shows that he does not actually believe in it, at all. In fact, if Labour were not so far behind in the polls, we would not be seeing this tax cut package, because Dr Cullen does not believe in it. If he believed in it for one minute, he would have defended it and explained why the structure of the tax cut package made sense—why it was the best way to restructure income tax in New Zealand. We would have thought, if he believed it, that we might have heard something like that.
There was not one word defending that tax package, because we all know that personal income tax cuts cause Dr Cullen to choke. He can hardly say the words, and we know why: Dr Cullen genuinely—and I do not say this unfairly—believes that he knows far better how to spend our money, New Zealanders’ money, than we do. Ordinary New Zealand people are far too stupid, according to Dr Cullen, to be trusted with their own money. Dr Cullen knows far better how to spend it! Of course, the Rt Hon Helen Clark takes the “Labour Government knows best” approach. I think Labour members genuinely believe this; they think they know how to spend our money so much better. All I can say is that New Zealanders are sick of it. They are heartily sick of this Government telling them how to run their lives, how to raise their children, and what to have in the school tuck shop—all those things. New Zealanders are sick of this Government telling them how to lead their lives. Taxes have a lot to do with it, because people do not have the freedom to lead their lives the way they want to when they are overtaxed. Right at the heart of freedom is the issue of excessive taxation—not enough money being left in people’s own hands for them to actually enjoy freedom in their lives.
People find it an insult, after 9 years of a Labour Government, to have a tax cut package, just a few months before an election, that gives them the equivalent of a block of cheese. That is just so insulting, because New Zealanders are seeing—if they look at these Budget documents—a Government that has taken money from ordinary New Zealanders, to the point where ordinary New Zealanders struggle to fill the car with petrol, struggle to pay for the groceries at the supermarket, struggle to get on with finding the money to buy the clothes, the uniforms for the kids for sports teams, and that sort of thing, to enable the children to take part in weekend sport. They struggle with all those things, while Labour has been lining its own pockets—the Government’s pockets. If we look at the Budget documents we see the Government has been taking money from New Zealanders and putting it in the Government’s coffers over these last few years, in a way that will make New Zealanders angry. The Government has been lining its own pockets, at the expense of ordinary New Zealanders and they are totally sick of it. It is little wonder that so many New Zealanders will be angry when we get a block of cheese in October this year and have to wait 18 months to get any more tax relief from this Government, and that will be just half a block of cheese.
It is interesting that the current Minister of Finance, Dr Michael Cullen, was an Associate Minister of Finance when Labour was last in trouble in 1990 and going out of office. He was also Minister of Social Welfare in 1990. Those of us who were around at that time remember the Budget in 1990, when Dr Cullen and his colleague David Caygill, the Minister of Finance, came into this House and presented a Budget that claimed there was an $89 million surplus. From memory, they had in their supplementary estimates something like $160 million. Before that election in 1990, Dr Cullen, who is the current Minister of Finance, had, without appropriation from this Parliament, far exceeded the provisions in that Budget for supplementary estimates. He and Phil Goff, who at the time was Minister of Education, simply spent money, illegally, to try to win that 1990 election. I say that, without any sort of hesitation. I can say that without hesitation because I took over as Minister of Education from Phil Goff, and I had to make legal his illegal spending as Labour desperately tried to win the 1990 election. The very first contact I had with the Ministry of Education was with its financial controller. Within 2 or 3 days of becoming Minister of Education he came to my office and told me there was stuff I just had to know. He laid out in front of me the spending by Phil Goff, for which he had no authority whatsoever, to try to win votes heading into the election. Dr Michael Cullen did the same thing.
That is why I was so interested, in this tax bill, to examine whether it covered the Government’s full promises around Working for Families, and what we discovered was it does not. Working for Families has four basic tax credits; this bill indexes only two of them, and it does not address the in-work tax credit and theparental tax credit. We discovered during the Committee stage on the bill that the Government currently has a review, and that review reports before the end of June. This matter will be in front of Cabinet before the end of June. Does this Budget provide for any increase in in-work payments or parental tax credits under the Government’s flagship Working for Families policy? It says, in fact, on page 144 in respect of Working for Families that the review of rates is an “unquantified risk”. In other words, there are no provisions in here for it. It is an unquantified risk. This Government, I will bet, if it is behind in the polls after this Budget and heading towards the end of June as the review of the Working for Families tax credits—the in-work payments and the parental tax credits—comes up, will take no notice of the fiscal provisions in this Budget. The Government will just spend the money, if it is behind in the polls. We have seen it before. Dr Cullen and Phil Goff, in 1990, when Labour was last on its way out, just spent the money without legal authority. I bet the Government will do it again, if it is desperate.
That is why New Zealanders cannot trust this Government. They are sick to death of this “Big Government knows best” approach from Labour. They are sick to death of being told how to run their lives. They want some financial freedom to get on with their own lives, and that will not happen under this Labour Government because this Labour Government will always tax them far more than is necessary, to enable these politicians opposite us to do what they want to do. It is time New Zealanders had the chance to be treated with respect—to be treated by a political party that values freedom and understands the value that New Zealanders put on their freedom. Come this next election, if National can win that election, New Zealanders will once again have the chance to enjoy the privileges of freedom from excessive taxation. It will be the last of the “block of cheese” insults.
Hon PAREKURA HOROMIA (Minister of Māori Affairs) Link to this
Well, well, well! It was very interesting to listen to the previous speaker, Dr the Hon Lockwood Smith, talking about going back on pledges, because in that same year—1990—he made a promise to students that if he did not get rid of interest rates on student loans and halve them, he would resign. Did he? No, he did not. He had to climb out of a window to escape the students. He is still here now. That is what the National Party is known for in the sense of the claptrap summary we heard yesterday by its leader. It was insincere, and that member in his speedos does not want to remember that. That is the truth.
This Budget will go down as one of the finest time-breaking, platform-setting Budgets in this country’s history. Why? It is at the top of what this Government has done well in the last 8 years. One just has to understand basic financial ideology to understand that it is full of wisdom and carefully crafted. We have made sure the country does well, going forward.
Mr Chris Tremain talked yesterday of his fear when people keep talking about the past. I want to make this a “Do you remember?” speech. I want Mr Tremain to understand. Does anyone remember by how much the previous National Government, in its 9-year reign, increased the minimum wage?
Hon PAREKURA HOROMIA Link to this
No; it raised it by 58c an hour. We have raised it nine or 10 times, and lifted it up to $12 an hour, so working-class people understand where they are at. That is one thing this Government needs to be commended for. That is one thing that Michael Cullen has made sure about, and is consistent about in going forward. He has been very clear, and he will be recognised as one of the greatest, if not the greatest, financial administrators of any Government or party in power. That is what we have done to make sure that it goes forward.
We heard from Dr Lockwood Smith. I am thankful to Dr Smith for raising the matters he did, as people are thankful to those who discuss health issues. I will not talk on obesity—and members know why not—but we are sure and safe when we visit our medical doctor. This Government has done more for the health movement than has been done at any other time by any other Government in this country’s history. It has done that in Hawke’s Bay. It has made decisions in Hawke’s Bay and the community is thankful that those decisions were made.
Michael Cullen has shown clear courage in producing something that can be sustained. When Mr Key was asked yesterday “How much?” with regard to the tax cuts, we just heard that member say: “That will be only a deposit or a first instalment.” It is fascinating to wonder where National will get the rest of that from.
What is so bad about this Budget? Is it that it has built on 14 weeks’ parental leave? That is what working-class people want. That is what families want. Is it about under-6-year-olds getting free health services? Is that what is so bad about this—that more funds have been available made for the health sector? Is it about progress in early childhood education? We have said for a period of time that what is done for youth and for preschool children, in whatever forum, goes well.
Is it about the global tenacity that Winston Peters has shown? National members pooh-poohed that. They pooh-poohed the fact that we have to address the impacts from the global world at the moment. They pooh-poohed the fact that we should strengthen the forum for exporters. Dr Lockwood Smith is a farmer. He breeds bulls—blue bulls. It is a bit weird, but he breeds these bulls. What is really important is that this Budget sets up a great avenue on to the global stage to make sure that future Budgets can be paid for.
John Campbell’s quote about a certain leader being as slippery as a snake on wet grass is something we have to take cognisance of. The grass does not even have to be wet for half of that crew in the Opposition to be slippery; they are slippery all of the time.
I want to tell people about the tax cuts for superannuitants—the strengthening of superannuation. At least superannuitants in this country are guaranteed that they will be looked after and they will be cared for, like the people on benefits. They will be looked after.
I hear crocodile tears from members opposite, who are saying: “Boo hoohoo, I care for the working class. Boo hoohoo, it is unfair that you have given tax support to those most in need rather than giving it based on principles of greed.” That is what they are saying. That is what they are saying clearly. We understand that if those members rifle up and exercise with the big corporates, and they overplay, then the purchasers and owners of newspapers and the media in this country can carry on their dastardly game of deceit, but, on the ground, New Zealanders know what this Government has done for them. They know that this Budget is about going forward. They know that this Budget is futuristic. They know, most certainly, that this party in Government is a caring and sharing party, not one that flip-flops whenever it wants to. It is not one that says it will give more tax cuts and, by the way, it will borrow the money from overseas. People already know that, so the Opposition is making rash promises.
Members opposite want to talk about broadband and the advent of taking our place into the future. They want to talk about Telecom. Maurice Williamson narrowed it so much that he is stuck with just a single band in relation to the initial band with Telecom. And National wants to narrow the market again. What sort of honesty is that? What sort of financial nous is that? If you grow up being a price-taker, if you go about sabotaging the small people and picking the pickings and the profits out of the top, closed-eyes earnings, then you bring that practice into Government.
That is what that leadership is doing on the Opposition side of the House. You attack the frail and the weak, you attack those people most in need, and you give it all up to these people—
Hon PAREKURA HOROMIA Link to this
I am sorry, Mr Deputy Speaker. Those members attack everybody else, and we can hear the first initial stage of them knocking over the bureaucracy, knocking over the Public Service, and knocking over all those fine organisations that support the communities in their hour of need rather than greed.
We certainly feel the hypocrisy when we hear there are 36 to 38 people in John Key’s office and half a dozen of them are there in relation to image correction. What is that about? Those members should not try to re-image themselves and make out that they care about the working class. Those members should not try to re-image themselves and make statements that Māori families are worse off than they were before. That is what that earlier speech from John Key was about. I am not too sure how he works his sums out, because when we came into Government one out of three to four Māori families were unemployed and we have taken them off the unemployment list. The percentages were in double points—20 percent to 21 percent. We have put two-thirds of those people into work.
John Key’s mathematics, or that of the 36 advisers, has told him that Māori families are worse off because they get less income in the household, but the advisers have not said that, by the way, two-thirds of those who were unemployed before have been added to the workforce. That is how the sums are done. So we trust nothing that the Opposition is putting forward about the Budget. There are more Māoris in work and more Māoris in tertiary participation. There are struggles for Kiwis in this country, but certainly this Budget has been very, very good for this nation. It has been very good.
I would be more than interested to see how National members will counter the Budget and whether somebody has the gumption and the nicety to tell us how much his or her tax cut will be. Dr Lockwood Smith has recognised that it has been a great Budget. He has accepted that. I say to Dr Smith that I am very, very thankful for his support. I am very, very thankful that he has recognised the greatness of Working for Families—something that was much needed. I am very, very thankful to Dr Smith because Working for Families, KiwiSaver, early childcare funding, free health costs for children under the age of 6 and all of those issues are real things that families want. They are real things that families feel the need for in this country. We will see those members at the next Budget, and they will be over on the Opposition benches, listening to us talk about what we are doing.
JUDITH COLLINS (National—Clevedon) Link to this
There leaves Parekura Horomia, one of Labour’s best members. Next time I will ask for his speech to be delivered in Māori so that we can understand it; I could hardly understand a word he said.
One of the most disappointing things about this Budget is that it will not address any of the issues that New Zealanders think are really important. National members will, of course, vote for the tax cuts today, because we do not believe that Labour will go ahead with them unless we do. That is one of the really important things that New Zealanders want to talk about. This Budget has been called the “block of cheese Budget”, but in the good old days when Norm Kirk led the Labour Party and when Labour said it represented workers—and it did in those days—this would have been called the “cheddar cheese Budget”. Nowadays, under the current Labour Government of Helen Clark and Michael Cullen, we have the “Budget of gruyère cheese”. That is really all it is—full of holes and pretty stinky. That is about it.
Nowadays, Labour members only ever want to talk about the arts and things like that. They want to tell people how to live their lives and how to bring up their children. Labour members want to tell people what they can eat, what they can do, and what they can watch. They say that they will fight obesity by telling people not to eat, and that they will fight child abuse by telling people not to abuse their children, as if somehow that is going to matter.
Unfortunately, there is nothing in this Budget and nothing in the tax package that will do anything about child poverty. Once upon a time in the 1990s the Labour Party in Opposition talked constantly about child poverty. It talked about it up hill and down dale. Labour members said they would do something about the benefit cuts that happened in 1991. And did they? They did not. We can hear the absolute sound of silence from the Labour benches. Those members did nothing. They just talked and talked.
What did Ruth Dyson say 2 weeks ago, when she was told that this year we had had the biggest drop in employment in one quarter in the last 19 years? She said: “Oh well, I don’t think that this is bad news at all, actually.” That is what she said. That is what the Labour Minister of Social Development and Employment, which is what the Labour Government now calls it—or social welfare; I will put it into plain language—said about our having the highest drop in employment in one quarter in 19 years, this year. That is what she said. When I asked her whether she stood by that statement, hoping that she might say she should not have said it, that it was a silly thing to say, or that she was misrepresented, she said yes. She said that she stood by that statement. A couple of days later I asked her again and she still said that she stood by it.
Did Ruth Dyson care about the people who have lost their jobs at the meatworks recently? No, she did not care about that, either. She told them that they could go on a benefit. That is what she said. Did she go down to see the 300 Sealord workers who have been told that they are losing their jobs? No, she did not.
The member Jill Pettis, who is taking herself out of a job—she was actually sacked by the Labour Party; that is the awful thing—should be quiet for a little bit and listen, because she would be interested to hear that there has been a loss of 11,000 jobs in the construction industry. What did Ruth Dyson say about that? Well, she did not think there was much wrong with that, either. What did she say about the 6,000 jobs that have been lost in the manufacturing industry alone in the past year? That did not seem to be really important, either.
I ask what is in this tax cut bill for those people. There is absolutely nothing. When Labour members talk about this bill, they say that it is all about spending every cent that the taxpayers have given them—every single cent—so that there is nothing there for National to spend. That is what this is all about.
One of the things my colleague Dr Lockwood Smith said was very, very pertinent. He said that when the previous Labour Government went out in 1990, in a massive landslide, it said that there was an $89 million surplus. That is what it said. That was the previous Labour Government of Michael Cullen and Phil Goff, and that is what it said. It said there was an $89 million surplus. The members opposite have gone very quiet; they do not like hearing that. But what was the truth? The truth was that National came in in a landslide victory in 1990 and it found that there was a $1.5 billion deficit—a $1.5 billion deficit. The previous Labour Government had not just spent everything that was there but also spent everything that would be there for years to come. That $1.5 billion deficit went out to $3 billion over the spending that the previous Labour Government had made. It spent money that it did not have the authority of Parliament to spend. That is what the previous Labour Government of Michael Cullen and Phil Goff did, and, by the way, it was also the previous Labour Government of Helen Clark, because, as I recall, she was the Deputy Prime Minister at the time. That is what those members did. The fact is that Labour cannot be trusted with people’s money.
In looking at some of the things that National will not be spending money on, should we be privileged enough to lead the next Government, I promise people that we will not spend $96,000 for a study on “boganology”. We will not do that, but this Labour Government has. We will not, I promise people, spend $795,000 of taxpayer money on an interesting little number entitled More than Bricks and Mortar, which is a study of social networks. Of course it would be a social networking study, would it not? That study cost almost $1 million. We will not, I promise, spend $600,000 of taxpayer money on a little study called The Impact of Economic Shocks on the Well-being of New Zealanders. I can tell members opposite, who have gone so silent, that those of us who live and work in South Auckland have seen the impact of economic shocks on the well-being of New Zealanders. We see it in mortgagee sales all over Auckland. We are seeing that now. That is the economic shock that has happened to New Zealanders. Why has it happened? The reason is that the cost of borrowing has gone through the roof.
This Labour Government, supported by New Zealand First and others, has spent money like it is water. It has spent money as though it will always be there. It has not given money back to the people who earned it. It has not given money back to the very people who get up every day, go to work, do an honest job, and look after their children without having to be told to do it—the very good people of New Zealand.
It is good to hear something from Harry Duynhoven, because I know that the Labour Party is trying to get him out of his New Plymouth seat. I know that. It is not fair; he has done a good job. But it is trying to get him out. All that those members can say to people after 9 years is that they will give them a block of cheese—a big, holey one that smells a lot. That is all they will do.
Labour members are beside themselves because they know that the people of New Zealand have switched off from them. People do not want to know about the personal insults that Labour members throw at members on this side of the House. They do want to know why, after 9 years of very good economic times in terms of our international prices, beneficiary debt is $730 million under a Labour Government. Why are the poor poorer than they have ever been? Why do 185,000 New Zealand children live in poverty after 9 years of a Labour Government? Why is it that every time this issue is raised Labour members scream their little hearts out and turn to personal insults?
Why do we need an embassy in Stockholm? I have to tell Labour members that a lot of New Zealanders are asking themselves where Stockholm is. Well, I tell them that it is in Sweden. The Prime Minister likes Sweden better than she likes New Zealand, and we know that because we know about her travel plans. We know that people are wondering why we have spent tens of millions of dollars on the single core benefit policy. Do members remember that? We have been having that discussion since 1989. Those members have wasted taxpayer money like never before. They have wasted it and wasted it. Whatever happened to the single core benefit? Whatever happened to that?
But we do know that the good thing about the next election will be that at least people like Jill Pettis will not be pretending to represent the people of Wanganui. Chester Borrows already got rid of her last time, and he will continue to do that. I say to Mrs Pettis that she will never represent those people, because they have moved on.
R DOUG WOOLERTON (NZ First) Link to this
I was looking forward to the delivery of the Budget and, more than that, I was looking forward to the debate afterwards. I thought we would see something that has become a bit of a tradition in this House, and it is something that we subscribe to. We said what we would like to see in the Budget. We put out our wish list, and I thought it would be interesting to see the alternative Budget from the National Party. I honestly and truly believed that would happen, because that is what has traditionally happened in this House in an election year. The Opposition has come forward and, to its best endeavours, put out an alternative Budget. If we had had that, then we would have had a truly interesting and meaningful debate that would have filled the whole of this Friday. But we have not had that from the National Party, and I think it is sad.
However, I am pleased, and New Zealand First is pleased, to see that National has at last backed a tax bill that has been put forward by the Labour Government. That is a first in 9 years and I think it is great. I hope those members keep on doing that, because New Zealand First has said on the record many times that we will support tax cuts from whomever proposes them—and we have done so.
Obviously, we have said we would have liked to see some incentive for our exporters. Everybody knows that following the problems in America and around the world, things are in a bit of a slow-down mode. We believe that the people who can get us out of that situation are exporters, who in this country are mainly farmers. We believe we should have seen incentives provided through the taxation system to assist them to get up and help us. We would have liked to see that, and we said so. We would have liked to see the first $5,200 of taxpayers’ salaries be tax-free, and we will be pursuing that in future years. We put those things forward, hoping that we would be able to compare proposals from the various parties, but we have not been able to do that. We also said we would have liked to see, and we will be pursuing this also, a reduction in the rate of GST to 10 percent—2.5 percent being taken off. We think that would be fair, would not be costly, and would not be administratively difficult. We would have liked to see that.
However, we have seen some things that we are very happy with. We have seen the relativity of superannuation for our seniors retained. We have had promises that it will be increased, and that is fantastic. We have also seen, and we applaud this because it is our initiative, an undertaking be given that if the price of electricity goes up because of the emissions trading scheme—and we will see whether that gets through, in the fullness of time—there will be some support for those people who find themselves in difficulty. We think that is the way we should go throughout this economy. Nobody should be disadvantaged, and the producers, the people who go out and get our markets and earn our money, should be looked after.
We have not heard about any of that from the National Party, either. That is tragic, because what we needed to know today, and last night, from the National Party is how much it would give in tax cuts to the earner on the average weekly wage. If this Budget is as bad as the National Party says it is—and almost every one of its speakers on this issue has said the tax cuts are too little, too late—then I ask how much it would give. Is it not fair that the public should be able to assess a group of people who put themselves up as Her Majesty’s main Opposition—that is what those members say they are—and who say they are looking forward to an election? I ask why they are afraid to tell us the extent of their tax cuts.
I will tell members what timing is. Timing is political.
All through this debate I have heard National members raving on about Labour’s tax cuts being political. They say the cuts are about expediency. But now the National members say they will not tell the public about National’s plan. They will not be upfront with the public, and they will not be honest with the public and allow them to compare National’s tax cuts with those of the Labour Government. This is the day to do it, so that it is a fair comparison. While people are looking at this Budget, it is traditional that they also look at the alternative Budget of the Opposition, compare the two documents, and make a decision. Sadly, they have not been able to do that. I am told by way of an interjection that it is because of political timing. Political expediency is what that is. We understand that, but National has been railing against it, and I think that is double-talk.
My time is not up yet; I have a few more minutes to speak. Sadly, I think it shows a lack of moral fortitude on the part of Her Majesty’s Opposition to be dodging those issues at this point.
I have said what New Zealand First would have liked to see in this Budget. New Zealand First gives notice that we will pursue those things in future years, and that we will do so unashamedly and with vigour.
We are also pleased to see that the Labour Government, at least, has come on board when it comes to what we call strategic assets. Those are mainly assets that the Americans describe as utilities—things that people in our society cannot avoid using, such as electricity companies, transport companies, etc. We believe that instead of hocking those things off to private enterprise—in many cases, to overseas private enterprise—we should manage them within this country and reap the rewards of good management in that instance.
Therefore, we are pleased to see in this Budget the purchase of Toll’s rail and ferry operations, which was announced before the Budget but allowed for in the Budget. We understand that there will be a further infrastructural cost in order to maintain and further develop the rail structure in New Zealand, and we do not have a problem with that. We would have had a big problem if we were just giving subsidies to the tune of $100 million per year, rising, to a foreign-owned company that was managing our rail network. Even then there was some talk that Toll would have needed assistance to redo the rolling stock. New Zealand First would have had problems with that, and we would have been talking about that from the rooftops. We are more than happy for those things to be pursued in future years under the ownership of New Zealanders.
To all of those who compare the purchase of Toll’s rail operations with the old days of New Zealand Rail, we say they should look at Air New Zealand. The Government of New Zealand had to put $800 million into it. Air New Zealand is now a shining example of success. It has slimmed down, has a sensible business strategy, and is thriving in a very, very difficult economy. We in New Zealand First look forward to the rail operation becoming of a similar nature to that, and returning benefits to New Zealanders.
TE URUROA FLAVELL (Māori Party—Waiariki) Link to this
Tēnā koe Mr Deputy Speaker; kia ora tātou katoa. The tax cuts programme is apparently all about fairness and social justice, according to the Minister in his speech earlier. So the question is: what does nearly $11 billion worth of personal tax cuts mean for the wallets of most New Zealanders?
We know in dollar terms that high-income earners will get back 2½ times more tax dollars than those working full-time on the minimum wage, and around 3½ times more tax dollars back than families supported by benefits. So although someone living in poverty will get an extra $12 or $15 or so per week, someone earning $80,000 will receive around $55. I suggest that many New Zealanders would say “Big deal!” to that. With price rises and so on, these days $12 will disappear pretty fast. You see, every day of the week newspapers have headlines describing the scourge of poverty affecting an increasing number of New Zealanders. Insufficient disposable income, substandard housing, inadequately nutritious food, and unequal access to health care all contribute to an increasingly desperate state of health.
This Budget has been a long time coming, and the drive for personal tax cuts has pretty much dominated public discussion for years. So the question is: who gains the most from the Taxation (Personal Tax Cuts, Annual Rates, and Remedial Matters) Bill 2008? Where will the bulk of the $10.6 billion go?
The Minister has been upfront about the fact that personal tax cuts have been specifically designed not to exacerbate inflationary pressures in the economy. Those are flash words, but what do they actually mean? I think they mean that the money has been directed more to those who will be able to save money rather than to those who will spend it, given that consumer spending causes inflation to increase. We know that this Budget is a sweetener for Generation Y. The bulk of the $10.6 billion will also go to those middle-income earners—those classic swinging voters—on the flawed assumption that they will be more likely to save than to spend, and that giving money to the poor is pointless as they will just waste it. In fact, the poor are far more likely to repay debt than to go on a consumption blowout.
The question that everyone has been asking is: where is the relief for the poor, for Māori, and for Pasifika in this great tax cut package? Where is the tax cut package that will mean that Māori and Pacific Island women whose lives are currently tied up in gambling will have another pathway forward? Where is the real and meaningful tax relief to confront all the other social hazards that are symptoms of poverty, such as the fact that Māori and Pasifika people are especially vulnerable to unethical lending practices? Where is the genuine tax relief that will make a difference to Māori and Pasifika families who are disproportionately affected by reduced housing affordability and, as a consequence, are most likely to live in inadequate, overcrowded housing? Does this tax bill do anything to make a difference to the demands on the Auckland City Mission, where 50 percent of the users of the food banks are Māori, with Pasifika making up another 25 percent?
The tax changes announced today will not eliminate this poverty. We in the Māori Party really do want to see this tax cut programme come in and start to make the difference we urgently need in our personal tax system. But we are genuinely torn by our knowledge that it will not make a tangible difference to those who suffer—those we may refer to as te pani me te rawakore, those who are the most vulnerable members of our community. It is because of what appears to be crumbs from the tables of those of us in this House who are privileged, that we abstain on the basis of principle. We are referring to those whose lives were changed for the worse by the “mother of all Budgets” in 1991. This House will remember that Budget as one that reduced the income of beneficiaries by 24 percent. It was a Budget in which the economy suffered, and the social impact on New Zealanders was immediately felt in health, education, and social services. For the last 17 years, this group of New Zealanders have been struggling to get back on their feet.
We know that this group of New Zealanders were looking for a break, yet just weeks ago the Minister of Social Development and Employment announced in the now infamous Pockets of significant hardship and poverty that beneficiaries are now comparatively worse off than in 1991. We now have a situation where the Budget legislation that was passed by this House in 1991, which slashed benefit levels and forced New Zealanders into recession, has still not been rectified in 2008. What is the big relief in store for those who are most in need? When we really drill down into the detail of the 2008 Budget and look at the breakdown, we find benefit reductions: the unemployment and emergency benefits by $39 million, the sickness benefit by $13 million, the widows benefit by $3.5 million, and special circumstances assistance by about $635,000.
It has been disappointing that much of this Budget debate has been reduced to some comments of ridicule about a bigger block of cheese. As boring as they may be for the purposes of debate, bread, butter, milk, and cheese are vital elements of the daily budget for far too many people. It is in the absence of such basic provisions, for instance, that people are forced to ask for help when they are in severe and significant hardship. It is in the absence of such provisions that people may be catered for through special circumstances assistance—assistance that has now been cut. That appropriation is to assist people in financial difficulty: with clothing allowances, domestic violence and witness protection relocation, home help, civil defence payments, civilian amputees assistance, and other forms of welfare assistance. But all have been cut, reduced, diminished.
It is probably no wonder that cerebral palsy sufferer Helen Capel thinks that beneficiaries are the forgotten people. It is no wonder the Salvation Army has come out and said that there is nothing to support the hard-end group of people who are really suffering. It is no wonder that economist Susan St John has described people who cannot do paid work because of a disability or family responsibilities as being “totally invisible”. The 2008 Budget could have introduced a tax change to restore benefit levels to what they were before the “mother of all Budgets”.
Some of the speakers in this debate have asked what some of the solutions are. Here are a few, and there are more on the way. The Māori Party believes that lower-income people should carry less of the burden proportionately than those on higher incomes. We know that 1.8 million taxpayers are on incomes of $25,000 or less. It is this group that should have benefited from tax cuts, not the other way around. We need to pledge to end child poverty in terms of all poverty measures by 2020, and one part of this is to introduce an official poverty line so we actually know where we are. We could follow the lead of the New Zealand Council of Trade Unions and introduce a new minimum wage of $15 an hour. Food could be exempt from GST on the grounds that it hits low-income people struggling to buy food with the same burden, per dollar, as rich people. It makes the difference at the checkout and the petrol pump.
We need to address Māori unemployment. The fact that unemployment rates for Māori have shot up to 8.6 percent, and for Pasifika peoples to 8.2 percent, compared with 3 percent for Europeans, is really a national shame. One way we could achieve our objective is by encouraging Māori enterprise and encouraging Māori iwi economic development, not just by setting up another Crown agency to call the shots. Why not give us a break? Māori innovation could be a major contributor. Let us determine the solutions; this House might well be surprised.
This is just the start; there is much more to come. The Government could have done this—it could have been bold, and it could have made a difference. Instead, as others have said already, its tax cut package has won some favours and perhaps gained some ground, but for some New Zealanders it has been merely more of the same. This is a Budget where they are forgotten, where they are invisible, and where they continue to suffer.
Mr DEPUTY SPEAKER Link to this
The Labour call is split; there will be 5 minutes for each member, with a bell at 4 minutes.
Hon DARREN HUGHES (Deputy Leader of the House) Link to this
I am pleased to rise in support of the third reading of this bill, which clearly sets out the plan for the future that the Helen Clark Labour-led Government has, starting with a 3-year tax programme going forward, starting on 1 October this year. It is a significant package that the Minister of Finance has outlined to the House. There is one thing I have been thinking about, though, as we have been debating this issue of tax cuts over the past day. It is that after the last general election Labour came to office with some very clear priorities to try to change New Zealand for the better. We said we wanted to make KiwiSaver a priority in this term. We said we wanted to make a priority of lowering the cost of going to the doctor and of picking up prescriptions for ordinary people in our country. We said we wanted to take the interest off student loans for our young people starting out, so that they had the best start in life. We also said we wanted our babies—our young 3 and 4-year-olds—to get 20 free hours of early childhood education, and that has been the biggest single expansion in the public education system in many, many decades. They were the priorities that Labour brought to the Treasury benches. They were the priorities we campaigned on, wrote in our manifesto, and have delivered through this term of Parliament.
If we look through the Labour Party manifesto, we will not find this bill anywhere in it. The Labour Party did not campaign on a programme of personal tax cuts. But today we have brought to Parliament a bill that delivers in that area, on top of all the other things we have said to the people of this country that we would achieve for them and with them—together. I am proud of that. I am proud we have kept our word on those key social issues and on top of that we bring a tax cut programme to Parliament.
National members, throughout the debate, have not got that simple point. They are obsessed with one policy, and one policy only. None of it fits together, there is no theme, and there is no philosophy. There is nothing to tell us what it is they want to do. All they want to do is cut taxes, for no obvious reason, and no plan has been put forward for it. We heard Dr Smith say that New Zealanders need the freedom to spend their own money, as though somehow the National Party does not plan to charge any taxes at all.
If tax is so terrible, if it is much better for people to spend their own money and not have Governments in the way, let us have no taxes. But, of course, that is not National’s policy. If we take National’s argument and expand it through, it is just a different shade of Labour’s policy. We will have different income thresholds cutting in, and National might have a different rate here and there, but it will still take money off hard-working New Zealanders and spend it on their behalf. As a Government it would still take out about a third of the economy and spend it. These debates that National members are having are absolutely academic, puerile, and silly in trying to argue in that regard.
Labour is putting in a tax cut plan that will cost $10.6 billion over 3 years. That is about the size of the education budget. This Labour-led Government is taking about the same amount that we spend on education for our kids and our young people starting out and returning it to New Zealanders by way of tax cuts. This is a significant tax cut package on top of those key social and economic justice issues that Labour campaigned on and has worked on with other parties in this Parliament in order to achieve.
National members were asked many times what their plan would be. Mr Woolerton from New Zealand First made an excellent point. The Government has put up its programme and it has been voted on by Parliament. Why does the Opposition not put up the mirror of that so that we can have a proper debate on it?
Hon DARREN HUGHES Link to this
The Hon Dover Samuels says that timing is the problem. We had to put up with Nick Smith, the Opposition front-bench strategist, sitting in Parliament yesterday and screaming at the top of his voice “Cynical! Cynical!”. He said that the whole thing was just cynical. Yet National members say that the reason they cannot tell us about their plan is simply timing. Let us have a little bit of honesty in this debate.
There is another thing we need to hear about from National members. The only savings they were able to identify were things like closing one or two embassies and not running one or two arts programmes. They found an arts programme somewhere that they did not like, costing $600,000 or $700,000, and they tried to say they would have tax cuts on the back of that. It is not as simple as that. The people of this country deserve a proper campaign where two sides put their arguments together and fight it, hammer and tongs, on the facts, not on the kind of silliness we heard from the Opposition in that regard. National members cannot say they are not going to have an embassy in Sweden, and that that will deliver a massive tax cut bigger than what Labour has done.
Finally, the area that I think we have not spent enough time talking about is the fantastic win in the Budget, and in this particular bill, for New Zealand superannuitants. On 1 April this year, married superannuitants received an extra $27 a fortnight in their pension pay packet, and single people received $17. That happened last month, on 1 April. That is money already in the bank for our old people. But now, on top of that, through this Budget, an extra $45 a fortnight will go to married couples, and $23 a fortnight extra will go to single people. That is about a $73 and a $40-a-fortnight increase to our pensioners this year alone, on top of KiwiSaver, on top of interest-free student loans, on top of 20 free hours of early childhood education, and on top of lower doctors’ fees and prescription charges. This is a balanced programme from a party leading a Government that has a plan for the future, that cares about ordinary people, and that will be honest with them until the very last day, because we know what we can do working together with the community to make our country a better place for our people. This bill includes everybody, and I am proud to put the vote of the people of Ōtaki behind its third reading.
MOANA MACKEY (Labour) Link to this
Like my colleague Darren Hughes, I too am proud to stand to support this bill in the House. This bill is one of a package of tax cuts that the Labour-led Government has delivered over the 9 years it has been in Government. National members have tried to forget that. They are trying to say that this is it and it is not enough. If we put these tax cuts on top of the Working for Families package, on top of business tax cuts, and on top of the research and development tax credits that this Labour-led Government has delivered, we see that it is significant. We have already delivered $4.6 billion worth of tax cuts. This bill adds $10.6 billion over the next 3 years. That is significant. Have National members ever voted for a business tax cut when they were in Government?
No, they did not. It is interesting that those families around the country that are benefiting significantly, by hundreds of dollars a week, from Working for Families are saying: “We want to know from the National Party whether it will touch it, because if it does, it is history. If National does that, we do not want a bar of it.” But, of course, the National Party will not tell us that.
I point out that in 1999, 6 months before the election, at the time of the Budget, Labour put out an alternative Budget and told the country what it would do, so that people could compare. Labour did this so that people could look at what National was delivering in Government and at what Labour would do in the same position, so that people could make a choice—and they did. In 1999 they voted Labour in so that it could deliver on the promises it said it would deliver on, but National is refusing to do that. It is refusing to tell us what it would deliver.
One of the extraordinary things about this bill and this Budget is that we are in uncertain economic times internationally. We have record high oil prices and record high food prices. Also, there is the credit crunch coming out of the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States. It has put enormous pressure on the international economy.
When we have seen conditions like this in the past in New Zealand we have had slash-and-burn Budgets from National. In 1998, when National faced uncertain economic times, it cut superannuation, it sold State assets, and it stopped investing in health and education. What has this Labour-led Government done? We have increased the amount of money going to superannuitants. In fact, we have increased the amount of money across the board. We have continued to invest in health, in education, and in infrastructure development, and we have bought back a State asset—New Zealand rail. That is the choice that New Zealanders have at the coming election. It is the stark difference between a Labour Government and a National Government.
When we had big surpluses and the National Party was screaming at us to squander them away—there were cartoons of Michael Cullen sitting on huge piles of money—we said no, because we knew that one day we might need that money so that when the tough times came we would not have to take away cheaper doctors’ visits and cheaper prescriptions from the people who need them the most, and we would not have to take away free education in our schools. We will not put charges on our public hospitals, like National did the last time it got to the Treasury benches. We will not do that because we are a Government that believes that when times get tough and people need us the most, that is when the Government should be here. That is when a Government should plan ahead, prepare for the future, step in, and continue to provide all the services that New Zealanders, particularly those at the bottom, need.
I want to talk about the crocodile tears for working people that we have seen from the National Party. This Labour Government has delivered 1,000 extra jobs a week. We have introduced legislation that has stopped the wage gap between New Zealand and Australia from widening. When National was in Government that gap widened by 50 percent because it brought in legislation that meant that workers could not bargain for a fair wage. Australian workers shot ahead; our workers fell behind. Yet National members have the gall to say in this House that they would be a Government that would do well for workers. It would not.
Judith Collins talked about unemployment. We have had unemployment at under 4 percent for 4 years. In 1998 in Gisborne, unemployment hit 21 percent under a National Government. What did National members say? They said that the invisible hand of the market would deliver for places like Gisborne and the East Coast. Well, it does not. I am happy to see $30 million in this Budget to continue the support for Tai Rāwhiti and Northland, for roading infrastructure that our council has struggled to continue funding. I know that our council and our community are grateful for that. They are also grateful for the buy-back of rail and for the money going into coastal shipping, because that is important to our region, as well.
In relation to broadband, I can tell members that people in provincial regions do not believe that a Telecom monopoly that National will set up, and pay $1.5 billion to, will deliver for rural New Zealand. It will not. Telecom has not delivered so far. It has been an abysmal failure. It says that it will reach 75 percent of New Zealand with its package. I can tell members where the 25 percent that will not get it will be. It will be rural and provincial New Zealand, just as it always has been. Our tax package of $500 million will deliver more for taxpayers, more bang for the buck, and it will do it quicker.
CRAIG FOSS (National—Tukituki) Link to this
It is a pleasure to follow the previous speaker, Moana Mackey, who is well known for singing “The Gambler” at the Labour Party conference. Perhaps she will rewrite the song, because the headline on the front page of today’s Dominion Post is “I bet the bank”, and the gambler is Dr Cullen. I thought I should note that.
One thing seems to be lost on members opposite. In the last half-hour or so Government members have started to speak, on the third reading of this bill and on the Budget in general. I do not think any Government member spoke in the Committee stage of this bill, and Government speakers were few and far between during its other stages—except for the Ministers, of course. The key speakers, Dr Cullen and Mr Mallard, have implied that it is all locked in, that it is about absolute power, and that the numbers are so tight that there is no room for any movement—no room for John Key, no room for Bill English, and no room for the Nats to improve upon it. I will let members into a secret: there is a lot of room. But they seem to have missed the obvious. If we are to believe those speeches from Dr Cullen and Mr Mallard, they have poll-axed Mr Goff. If it is true that this Budget leaves the next Minister of Finance with no room to do anything, then if, by some absolute tragedy, Labour wins the next election—a tragic, tragic event—the next Labour Minister of Finance, whoever that might be, will have absolutely no room to move. Dr Cullen has poll-axed Mr Goff, or Mr Cunliffe, who we know has ambitions, or Mr Jones, who is lining up quietly amongst the undergrowth. He has poll-axed his own caucus.
Obviously, his caucus colleagues are sick and tired of being bullied by him year after year about tax cuts, etc. Now he has finally caved into them. Talk about swallowing rats! These tax cuts have to be the biggest, spikiest, dirtiest, ugliest rat that a Minister of Finance has ever swallowed. The rat that Dr Cullen has swallowed to produce this particular bill is of elephantine proportions.
I note that the name of this bill—Labour does not miss an opportunity; I have to give its communications unit credit for that—is the Taxation (Personal Tax Cuts, Annual Rates, and Remedial Matters) Bill. Was the 1999 bill that hiked taxes called the “Taxation (Personal Tax Hikes) Bill”? Have any of the measures introduced by Labour all the way through its terms been called the “Interest Rate Increase Bill” because of the effect of the prolific and unproductive spending of Labour and its taxation grab? Labour does not miss a trick. One has to give it the nod there—although I wonder whether this bill has been referred to the Electoral Commission because of its blatant advertising.
As I have said in every single speech on this bill, it is an absolute pleasure to be voting, finally, for a personal tax cut bill. It is a bit of a road to Damascus Budget from Dr Cullen, in view of the big, big rat he is swallowing. But it is all about trust. Quite simply, if I do a quick search of Hansard and have a quick look at the old pamphlets and brochures from the 2005 election and at previous Labour Budgets, then contrast them with the Minister’s Budget speech, I realise that he did not write it. He read it out, and he read it well, but I do not think he wrote it. Someone else wrote it. Perhaps it was Mike Williams, or perhaps it was Helen Clark. At least she is reading the political tea leaves in public.
The previous speaker talked about the railways. A member from New Zealand First—the party of contradictions—also spoke about assets and railways. I will give members yet another reason why National will be voting against the Budget—the Budget, not this bill. I refer them to page 153 of the main Budget document, under the heading “Purchase of Rail and Ferry Network from Toll Holding Limited”. I will read out the last paragraph, and members should remember that the Government has put $690 million of taxpayers’ funds into the railways: “There is a risk that if any differential in the purchase price and the value of Toll New Zealand’s rail and ferry assets and liabilities cannot be recovered through rail operations, a write-down in the Government Financial Statements will be required.” We should remember that this Budget is supposed to be produced under New Zealand International Financial Reporting Standards, so everything is supposed to be market to market. Translated, that paragraph means we paid about $290 million too much, and we have seen that reflected in the share price of Toll Holdings.
This part is blatant. I cannot recall it being mentioned in the Minister’s speech yesterday. The paragraph quoted refers to a “write-down”. It does not state “write-up”. That is an admission right there that we paid too much and the taxpayers have been gouged. At what value will the railways etc. that have been bought from Toll Holdings go on the books? What contingent liabilities are about to hit the books? We know all about the subsidisation of the trucking firm, the leases, etc., and the $50 million that taxpayers have granted, essentially, so that Toll Holdings can buy another trucking company. The document states right there—and this is not a Treasury ideological burp; it has stopped burping now; its Minister has taken on board tax cuts, apparently—that Dr Cullen paid too much.
I will tell members another reason for not supporting the Budget. Between the Budget and today, the 3-year interest rate has gone up 50 basis points. In the Budget speech, time after time the Government tried to show its heartfelt feelings for people suffering because of high mortgage rates. It blamed it on the subprime issue. The previous speaker tried to do that, as well. It is more than the subprime issue, because the starting point for New Zealand interest rates is higher than that of interest rates anywhere else. What a change! From before the Budget to after the Budget, 3-year interest rates went up 50 points, the Kiwi dollar went up 1c, and short-term interest rates went up again.
What else is going on? How is this Budget going to be funded? Well, page 102 of the main Budget document talks about $6.4 billion of additional borrowing—additional borrowing. Dr Cullen is failing miserably his third test in respect of tax cuts. Also, the assets that the Debt Management Office has been looking after—basically, the cash stash; where the Minister has been keeping it all—will be sold, or matured. What will the effect of that be? Billions of dollars of assets coming on to the short-term market will hold, at the very least, interest rates, or send them up—that is, 90-day rates, 60-day rates, 12-month mortgages, rolling mortgages, etc., will stay up and stay up for longer.
If colleagues still do not believe me, they should look at the forecast in the Budget itself and at the numbers that are relied upon to produce those forecasts. The Budget Economic and Fiscal Update refers on page 70 to the 90-day bank bill rate. It was guesstimated at the last update to be 8.6 percent, on average, this year; it is now 8.8 percent. It is expected that it will plummet post this Budget to 8.6 percent. That is miles above that of any other OECD country. And those members shed crocodile tears on TV. It is absolutely absurd. The 10-year rate is staying up. It is not even moving around.
Members should look at the current account and the CPI—the cancer on the future of our economy. It is the result of unproductive spending by this crowd for the last 8 years. The CPI is nudging the top of 3 percent. What does that mean? It means that short-term interest rates will be higher for longer. It means that the New Zealand dollar will be higher for longer—higher than necessary. The Labour Government premium—the Cullen premium on New Zealand interest rates—and the discount on our future growth have been embedded in this Budget. Thank you, Mr Assistant Speaker.
Hon DARREN HUGHES (Deputy Leader of the House) Link to this
The debate has almost concluded. We have heard from almost all the speakers who want to participate in it, but we are due to break at 1 p.m. for lunch. I seek the leave of the House to continue the sitting of the House beyond 1 p.m., until we can conclude the third reading of the debate.
Mr DEPUTY SPEAKER Link to this
Leave has been sought for that course to be followed. Is there any objection? There appears to be none.
Hon LUAMANUVAO WINNIE LABAN (Minister of Pacific Island Affairs) Link to this
Kia ora, talofa lava, and warm Pacific greetings. I stand with pride to support the Taxation (Personal Tax Cuts, Annual Rates, and Remedial Matters) Bill. I am very proud to be part of this Labour Government, which is delivering for all Kiwis. I am proud of all the achievements that our Government has made and very excited about our vision and our plan for the future.
I am particularly excited about what this legislation means for Pacific Island peoples. Our people have made great advances under the Labour Government, with unemployment reducing from 12.2 percent in December 1999 to 4.7 percent in December 2007, and our education and income levels are improving. Pacific people in full-time employment are increasing their hourly earnings at a faster rate than those of any other group, and Pacific children are also increasingly taking part in early childhood education, which is critical for future success. Their increase in enrolments is more than twice that for other ethnicities. The number of our students who leave school with National Certificate of Educational Achievement (NCEA) level 2 or above is increasing. Nearly a third of our young Kiwi Pacific people aged between 18 and 24 are taking part in tertiary education, and their degrees and PhDs have improved hugely. That is all good news, and there is also a lot more.
What is fantastic about our Government is that we are continuing to deliver for Pacific peoples and for all New Zealanders with this bill. We know that households have come under considerable pressure. That is happening in New Zealand and across the world, as nations cope with rising food and petrol prices and with higher mortgage repayments driven up by the credit crunch. Those problems are not of New Zealand’s making, but Labour is committed to managing the economy through these challenges. Because of this Government’s responsible economic management, putting aside money in the good years, we are able to deliver relief when it is needed. Labour is helping Kiwis to cope with rising living costs, without driving the public accounts deep into debt or slashing public services in order to do so.
These tax cuts are responsible. They are providing relief, while there is also continued investment in public services like better hospitals, modern classrooms, cheaper doctors’ visits and prescriptions, and more nurses, doctors, teachers, and police officers. The Prime Minister has also recently announced expenditure of $18.5 million to rebuild Porirua College, which is a decile 1 college and is one of the leading schools in terms of its NCEA results in our electorate. Tax cuts will benefit people across the board, and especially those on lower incomes, our families, and our superannuitants. The lowering of the bottom tax rate will benefit those on the lowest incomes and people in part-time work. The people on middle and higher incomes will also be able to earn more before going into higher tax brackets. Families will also receive even more support through a boost to the Working for Families family tax credit. That investment in our families and in our children is critical, because it is an investment in the nation’s future success. It is critical for people to understand those links in order to understand how important this legislation is. This legislation will make a difference, and we will see evidence of that.
For our Pacific people, this legislation will also mean they will have more money in their pockets. Census 2006 showed that 77 percent of Pacific people earn an income of less than $50,000 a year, so our people have a lot to gain from this legislation. A full-time Pacific worker on the average wage will now receive an additional $16.54 a week, and that is great. It is an improvement, and it is really appreciated. Our tax cuts and our Working for Families increases mean that a Pacific family with a husband who earns $35,000 per annum, with a wife who works part-time and earns $10,000 per annum, and with four children aged 4, 6, 12, and 14 will be better off by an additional $1,975 per year. That will increase to $2,273 per year in 2010 and $3,719 in 2011.
The tax cuts will also mean significant increases in the amount paid every fortnight to older New Zealanders. For our superannuitants, our Pacific elderly whom we love very much, the tax cuts will mean an increase from 1 October this year of $45.88 a fortnight for a married couple and of $23.84 a fortnight for a single person who lives alone. There will be even more in 2010 and 2011. This is extremely good news for New Zealand. All members of our families will benefit. I am extremely pleased and happy that during these times, when our elderly will have found the recent increases in the cost of living difficult to manage, we are in a position to support them.
Let us not forget that the last time economic turbulence hit our shores, the National Government cut superannuation and public services. The misery and the violation of Kiwi values and the Kiwi heart caused much misery and anxiety for many of our families.
Our Labour Government has looked at the costs at the petrol pump and at the supermarket checkout, and it has looked at rents and mortgages. It has decided that this support for New Zealanders, which would have been given on 1 April 2009, will now be given on 1 October 2008. We are supporting our people when they need it the most. I would particularly like to acknowledge and thank Dr Michael Cullen for bringing this bill to the House. Under his leadership the public purse has been managed responsibly, which means we are now able to support Kiwis who are dealing with the pressures of today. I am very proud to be part of a Labour Government that is ensuring the people in my Mana electorate, our Pacific peoples, and all New Zealanders and Kiwis have a strong and sustainable future. Thank you, fa’afetai, tele lava, maloaupito, meitakimaata, maloni.
TIM GROSER (National) Link to this
I shall take just a brief call. Obviously I want to leave the next leader of the Labour Party the final word. I recall about an hour ago a Minister of the Crown literally saying that this was the finest Budget in New Zealand’s recent history and describing the author of the Budget, Dr Michael Cullen, as the finest financial administrator New Zealand has seen in recent times. I think we have to agree that in politics a little bit of exaggeration is fair. A little bit of hyperbole is part of the game, and we all understand that. But it reminds me of a very cynical political statement that comes out of the Russian school of politics, which is about as cynical as one can get. Obviously I know only the English version, so I will change it slightly, to keep the language within parliamentary language rules. It states: “You can mislead the people and you can mislead them often, but know when to stop. Know the point where you have completely lost your credibility. You should stop at that point.” A Minister of the Crown is using such language, to describe what is not just one Budget—let us be plain about this. What we are debating today, and what New Zealanders will be debating in their living rooms, is not one Budget; it is a Budget in a sequence of nine. We are debating the legacy of this three-term Labour Government, in terms of economic management.
To use another cliché: “One swallow does not make a summer’s day.” One Budget out of nine is not what we are debating today. We are debating a legacy of 9 years of a definite set of political choices. One thing I absolutely agree with Mr Darren Hughes on is that there is a choice. He is absolutely right. There is a choice to be made. New Zealanders are to be given that choice, as they should be. That choice is between two completely different sets of priorities.
Let us look at this outrageous claim in the context of some facts, rather than just pure rhetoric. Labour inherited an economy that grew, in the last year before it took office, by 4 percent in real terms, and that averaged 3.5 percent real growth in the preceding 8 years. Labour has now delivered us an economy in which everything is going south. Labour inherited an economy in which inflation—by the way, several times this morning we heard some absolutely ludicrously wrong figures from the Government—peaked at about 14 percent, and it was tracking down to about 2 percent when Labour took office. For the last 4 years it has been about 3.5 percent and trending up to 4 percent.
Of course, although I do not have the time to develop the analysis of the difference between tradable and non-tradable contributions to it, people who have looked at the facts know that the fundamental problem here, in terms of inflation peaking upwards on Labour’s watch, has been in the non-tradable sector. What is the gorilla in the room, in the non-tradable sector? It is Government spending, which has increased from $32 billion to $60 billion in this 9-year period. This is the legacy of the finest economic manager New Zealand has ever seen? Labour had unemployment that had peaked at around 11.1 percent in 1991, and from memory the Māori rate of unemployment had peaked at an atrocious 21 or 22 percent in 1991. It had tracked down progressively throughout the 1990s, down to 6 percent unemployment generally, with the Māori rate still unacceptably above that.
Since the roots of good economic performance are of course laid in years, in terms of the past, there was almost nothing short of a Mugabe-style approach to government—which is not the expression I would use personally, because of the same issue about credibility—but there was nothing this Labour Government could do, or did do, that was going to dramatically alter the first 5 years of its term in office. Labour came in with all this favourable wind behind it. What do we have now? We have a very significant, large loss in employment in the last quarter. Unemployment is tracking up. We had interest rates at a little more than half the level 9 years ago of what they are today. That is the legacy we are debating today.
Absolutely right. We had massive surpluses built in by responsible fiscal management and we are now heading south.
The tragedy in all this is that the centrepiece of this ninth debate, if one likes, on this legacy, is about tax; and tax, as many other people have pointed out quite correctly, is not just a matter of putting money in people’s pockets. That is a very important aspect of it when people are under pressure, but it is also fundamentally about incentives. Had Dr Cullen, and this Government, used the good years to put in place 9, 8, or 7 years ago tax structures that would have incentivised New Zealand’s middle class, one can bet one’s bottom dollar we would be seeing real economic consequences of that, right now, in a very positive way. We would have seen productivity, which has tanked in the life of this Government. Total factor productivity growth, which averaged 3.2 percent in the 3 years before it took office, is now 0.4 percent; labour productivity growth, which was around that level, is now 0.5 percent—another aspect of the legacy of the “finest financial administrator” of the generation, as described by a Minister.
We would have seen real economic returns from those decisions, and from those investments in New Zealanders. In fact, we have all seen the estimates from economists that if productivity had actually held up at the rates Labour inherited, New Zealand would not have an inflation problem. If we did not have an inflation problem, we would not have had an interest rate problem; and if we did not have an interest rate problem, we would not have seen exporters—at least they have had some relief in the last few months—buckling under the pressure of an exchange rate that puts them under an enormous competitive disadvantage. So that is the real legacy we are debating.
We have had ambitious words from the Government in this 9-year period, but very little action to back them up. We have had the words: “knowledge wave conference”, “growth and innovation framework”, “economic transformation”, and “sustainability”, in every sentence in every Minister’s speech. We have had this force-fed down our throats for 9 years, but where has been the delivery? When we look at the facts, we are looking at a slowing economy, rising unemployment, high interest rates that are putting New Zealanders under pressure, and drastically reduced productivity gains. Where does this evidence lead? I tell members that it leads to a conclusion that is so radically different from the Minister’s words I quoted at the beginning of my comments. It leads us to the conclusion that New Zealand fundamentally now needs a change of Government.
Hon PHIL GOFF (Minister of Defence) Link to this
Let me start where Tim Groser, the member who has just resumed his seat, left off. He talked about a legacy. I remember the legacy of 1999. I remember that 161,000 people were registered as unemployed. What is that figure today? It is 19,000. As the Minister of Defence, I remember the legacy of that Government in terms of defence. We had a defence force that had been run down year after year, and sent to places like Bosnia with equipment dating back to Viet Nam that was not safe to put our troops in to do the job that we expected of them.
I remember the legacy—the legacy of broken promises. Lockwood Smith said that he would abolish student fees and he doubled them. Lockwood Smith promised that he would resign as Minister of Education if he did not eliminate student fees, and he stayed on for 6 years. I remember the legacy of lies about superannuation right from the beginning. “No ifs no buts, no maybes”—National said that it would get rid of the surtax. It increased the surtax. And Bill English, one of the new-generation National people, was the Minister who, in 1998, pushed down the rates of New Zealand superannuation. The same guy, by the way, today says that superannuitants are handled too generously. That is the same man who said that decile 1 schools were paid too much. That is equity from the National Party. That is what those members believe in.
I say to Mr Groser that we both remember how well National managed governing under MMP. The previous National Government failed to govern this country with stability, because it failed to work with other parties. That Government relied on the vote of Alamein Kopu. We remember that. If New Zealanders can remember that, then why would they want this “new” team that includes Dr Smith—both of them; Nick and Lockwood—Mr English, and Mr Williamson? It is the same failed group. It has no ideas and no vision.
I sat and listened when the Leader of the Opposition was speaking. I took out a blank piece of paper, picked up my pen, and thought that I would take down the substantive points he made. Twenty-five minutes later I had nothing written on that piece of paper. That is exactly what the National Party has offered the House in this debate—nothing.
National members are like stunned mullets. They read about the $10 billion in tax cuts. They have read that the average New Zealand family would be $42 a week better off by 1 October, and they thought: “Where does this leave us? Where have we to go?”. That accounts for the utter failure of the National Party in this debate to be critical of what this Budget does. It is an exceptionally good Budget and this bill is very good legislation.
National members have learnt one thing: they have voted against every tax cut this Government has brought in. They voted against Working for Families, they voted against KiwiSaver, and, I say to Mr Groser, they even voted against bringing down corporate tax rates. You know, National is meant to be the party that supports the business sector. National had 9 years in Government, and did it cut taxes for the business sector? Did National try to lift research and development funding in order for the business sector to go out and do its job? No, it did not. National failed where the Labour Government has succeeded.
This Budget gives tax relief to all New Zealanders. Not only does it give tax relief to all New Zealanders but also it acknowledges the fundamental point that where families have young, dependent children, the Government has to give more support to those families. We have to give help to those families, and that is why we brought in Working for Families. A family on $35,000—a low income—with two kids would not have got more than $10 or $20 in simple tax cuts, but out of Working for Families they will get $190 a week.
I will tell members what I am proud of about this Government. I am proud that we have lifted tens of thousands of kids out of poverty, because we have recognised the cost of raising a family and have done something about it. That is something to be proud of. When I think of people who are working in the social sector, I think of Major Campbell Roberts of the Salvation Army, who has worked for people on low incomes for all of his life. What was his verdict on this Budget? He said that this is a fair Budget because somebody on the lowest income gets more than a 5 percent tax cut.
The member John Hayes, who is making so much noise from his chair, got only a 1.4 percent tax cut. I am very sorry about that, I say to the member, but the truth is that he did not need more than a 1.4 percent tax cut, while a family on a low income needs all of the help it is getting. This Government, which is always good for social justice and builds on the traditions of Michael Joseph Savage, continues to give social justice for working families in this country. That is why I am so proud of this Government.
This is a good Budget because it delivers tax cuts at the same time that it continues to give for our social services. There is a huge investment in the health sector to make sure that we have a public health system that does not ask for somebody’s health insurance card or ask to see the width of people’s wallets before they get treatment. That is another thing that I am proud about with regard to this Labour Government.
Sometimes the older folk in our community get a little grumpy about things and think that things could get better and should be better. There was a couple in the news who said that they had voted for Labour all of their lives, and they thought that maybe they should give the other crowd a go—there is a sense of fairness amongst New Zealanders. They thought: “This group has done pretty well over 9 years. Maybe we should give the other group a go.” Well, I was glad to see when I picked up this morning’s Dominion Post that that couple looked at what this Budget offered them and said: “No, no; we are doing pretty well with this group.”
I even saw that the vice-president of Grey Power said that older New Zealanders would be very pleased with this Budget. People should be very pleased with this Budget. If we calculate what elderly people were getting each fortnight, we find that they were getting $27 extra a fortnight as at 1 April. On 1 October they will get another $45 extra. That is an extra $72 a fortnight that our elderly people will get to help meet the cost of living. That is not bad going. Even National members know that it is not bad going, and that is why they have been so dejected and so pathetic during this debate. They have nowhere to go.
This is a responsible Budget that looks after the elderly, looks after our families, and looks after all New Zealand taxpayers. The Budget was done in a way that did not push this economy so far that we had to think about whether we could sustain social services or whether it would have an inflationary effect.
You see, this Budget gives people money at the time they need it because of the cost pressures that Mr Groser talked about. Mr Groser, when he was in Tokyo, blamed those cost pressures on international inflation, but when he got home he said it was the Government’s fault. Well, I do not know how it could be the Government’s fault that we were paying US$20 a barrel for oil a few years ago and now we are paying US$133 a barrel. When Mr Groser was in Tokyo he said that food price inflation is a worldwide phenomenon that has a crushing effect on people in developing countries, and he was right. But I would ask him why, when he came back to New Zealand, did he say that it is something that the Government has caused?
Of course, the Government is not responsible for that inflation, but this Government has responded by recognising people’s needs and giving them help when they need it. We are able to give them that help, because we have managed this economy responsibly for 8 years and we have the money there. I say to Mr Groser that we have lowered the debt legacy of 35 percent of GDP that the previous National Government left us to less than 20 percent of GDP.
By good management we have created the money that can help New Zealanders when they need it, at a time when the international economy is in some trouble. This is a responsible Budget from a good Government, as opposed to what we have heard from the failed people who sit on the National benches, and this Budget is an election winner.