12. JACINDA ARDERN (Labour) Link to this
to the Prime Minister
Does he stand by his statement “the Budget will create in the order of 170,000 jobs”?
Rt Hon JOHN KEY (Prime Minister) Link to this
I stand by my full statement, which was: “The Treasury forecasts are that the Budget will create in the order of 170,000 jobs.”, and that is true.
What specific initiatives did Budget 2011 contain that he predicts will create in the order of 170,000 jobs?
I thank the member for asking that question. It will create an environment where interest rates will certainly stay lower than they would have under a Labour Government. We know that, because Labour members cannot even work out what a research and development tax credit costs. They are out there telling the country it costs $800 million when it costs $1.55 billion. It creates an environment through education, where young New Zealanders will get a chance to be sure that we can be tracking their progress through national standards. It allocates $550 million to early childhood education over the next 4 years, and we are sure that that will make a significant difference. I could go on, but, given that it is question No. 12 and we want to get out of here before 5 o’clock, I will sit down at this point.
Is he aware that the Budget additional information estimate of 155,000 new jobs from now until 2015 is actually 10,000 fewer jobs than the estimate in last year’s Budget; if so, is this Budget a step backwards in terms of job creation, albeit an ambitious one?
Let me just alert the member to a couple of facts. Firstly, just to give her an idea, if we go to Budget 2010 and the forecast that 26,000 new jobs would be created over the year to March 2011, in fact, 39,000 new jobs were created. If one looks at the 170,000 job number, we see it is basically a little over the trend of the last 20 years, at 35,000 new jobs a year. In fact, as I say, we are ahead through creating those 39,000 new jobs against that forecast. I think it is fully achievable.
How will the $19 million cut to industry training made in this year’s Budget help the 77,000 young New Zealanders who are not in school, not in training, and not in work to get the skills they need to get a good job?